Should I Rip? Sign up free →
You're viewing the public snapshot — data is 6 hours behind. Create a free account for the 1-hour view plus save & track — Pro unlocks live data + Rip Mode.
Sign up free →

Rising Stars Pro

Special Series $400
Track your own pulls. Sign in and link your Arena Club handle to see your hits from this pack.
Sign in →
EV
-8.6%
Snapshot from 13d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
34.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -15.4% to -5.4%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
4.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$305
0.76× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
Upgrade to Pro →
Pool composition
You're underwater on 82% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $400 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Rising Stars Pro · Special Series · $400 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 12.00% chance .35-.55 12% .55-.75× pack price — 36.00% chance .55-.75 36% .75-.9× pack price — 28.00% chance .75-.9 28% .9-1× pack price — 6.00% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 6.00% chance 1-1.25 6% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 6.00% chance 1.25-1.75 6% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 4.00% chance 2.5-4 4% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.030% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.060% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 34× as of Sep 9, 2026 · 8:32 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Victor Wembanyama · 2023-24 Panini Prizm · PSA 9 pulled
13d ago
$336
Travis Hunter · 2025 Panini Prizm · PSA 9 pulled
13d ago
$204
Kon Knueppel · 2025-26 Topps Chrome · PSA 10 added
13d ago
$266
Cade Cunningham · 2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · PSA 10 added
13d ago
$360
Live activity is Pro
See pulls and adds as they happen
Upgrade to Pro →

Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Bobby Witt Jr. Grail
2020 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$13,603
34.01×
0.0300%
$4.08
13d
2
Anthony Edwards Grail
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$13,003
32.51×
0.0300%
$3.90
15d
3
Jacob Misiorowski Grail
2026 Topps · psa 10.0
$9,783
24.46×
0.0300%
$2.93
15d
4
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$1,307
3.27×
2.0000%
$26.14
13d
5
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$1,126
2.81×
2.0000%
$22.52
14d
6
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$746
1.86×
2.0000%
$14.91
13d
7
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$597
1.49×
2.0000%
$11.94
13d
8
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$548
1.37×
2.0000%
$10.95
14d
9
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$538
1.34×
2.0000%
$10.76
13d
10
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$496
1.24×
2.0000%
$9.92
14d
11
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$433
1.08×
2.0000%
$8.65
13d
12
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$414
1.03×
2.0000%
$8.27
13d
13
Bijan Robinson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$389
0.97×
2.0000%
$7.78
13d
14
Drake Maye
2023 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$384
0.96×
2.0000%
$7.68
13d
15
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$365
0.91×
2.0000%
$7.30
13d
16
Cade Cunningham
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$360
0.90×
2.0000%
$7.20
13d
17
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$358
0.90×
2.0000%
$7.16
13d
18
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$342
0.85×
2.0000%
$6.83
13d
19
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$336
0.84×
2.0000%
$6.71
13d
20
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$329
0.82×
2.0000%
$6.59
13d
21
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$328
0.82×
2.0000%
$6.55
14d
22
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$328
0.82×
2.0000%
$6.55
13d
23
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$323
0.81×
2.0000%
$6.46
13d
24
Drake Maye
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$318
0.80×
2.0000%
$6.36
13d
25
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$315
0.79×
2.0000%
$6.30
13d
26
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$313
0.78×
2.0000%
$6.26
14d
27
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$306
0.77×
2.0000%
$6.12
13d
28
Caleb Williams
2023 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$305
0.76×
2.0000%
$6.09
14d
29
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$300
0.75×
2.0000%
$6.00
13d
30
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$290
0.72×
2.0000%
$5.80
13d
31
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$288
0.72×
2.0000%
$5.77
13d
32
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$287
0.72×
2.0000%
$5.73
14d
33
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$285
0.71×
2.0000%
$5.70
14d
34
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$282
0.70×
2.0000%
$5.64
13d
35
Jahmyr Gibbs
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$274
0.69×
2.0000%
$5.48
13d
36
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$266
0.67×
2.0000%
$5.32
13d
37
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$264
0.66×
2.0000%
$5.27
14d
38
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$262
0.65×
2.0000%
$5.23
14d
39
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$257
0.64×
2.0000%
$5.14
14d
40
Caleb Williams
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$253
0.63×
2.0000%
$5.06
13d
41
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$251
0.63×
2.0000%
$5.02
13d
42
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$251
0.63×
2.0000%
$5.02
13d
43
Nick Kurtz
2025 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$245
0.61×
2.0000%
$4.90
13d
44
Bobby Witt Jr.
2022 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$243
0.61×
2.0000%
$4.86
14d
45
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$240
0.60×
2.0000%
$4.81
13d
46
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$235
0.59×
2.0000%
$4.70
13d
47
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$220
0.55×
2.0000%
$4.41
14d
48
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$206
0.51×
2.0000%
$4.12
13d
49
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$203
0.51×
2.0000%
$4.06
13d
50
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$199
0.50×
2.0000%
$3.98
14d
51
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$195
0.49×
2.0000%
$3.89
13d
52
Victor Wembanyama No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · beckett 10.0
$173
0.43×
2.0000%
$3.46
13d
53
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$173
0.43×
2.0000%
$3.46
14d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$365.74
View Rising Stars Pro Special Series on Arena Club → Opens Arena Club in a new tab · we're independent and earn nothing from your click