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Sports Card Investor Starter

Special Series $100
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EV
-16.9%
Snapshot from 26d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -29.2% to -3.3%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$74
0.74× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Sports Card Investor Starter · Special Series · $100 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 4.08% chance .2-.35 4% .35-.55× pack price — 22.44% chance .35-.55 22% .55-.75× pack price — 30.60% chance .55-.75 31% .75-.9× pack price — 14.28% chance .75-.9 14% .9-1× pack price — 8.16% chance .9-1 8% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.16% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 6.12% chance 1.25-1.75 6% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 4.08% chance 1.75-2.5 4% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.04% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.020% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 30× as of Oct 18, 2026 · 9:27 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

51 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Ken Griffey Jr. Grail
1996 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$3,006
30.06×
—
0.0100%
$0.30
27d
2
Barry Sanders
1997 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$2,786
27.86×
—
0.0100%
$0.28
29d
3
Juan Soto
2017 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$281
2.81×
—
2.0400%
$5.73
27d
4
Adrian Peterson
2007 Score · psa 10.0
$188
1.88×
—
2.0400%
$3.84
27d
5
Paul Pierce
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$178
1.78×
—
2.0400%
$3.63
26d
6
Kobe Bryant
2003-04 Topps Bazooka · psa 9.0
$136
1.36×
—
2.0400%
$2.77
27d
7
David Robinson
1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · psa 9.0
$128
1.28×
—
2.0400%
$2.62
26d
8
Cooper Kupp
2017 Panini Certified · psa 9.0
$126
1.26×
—
2.0400%
$2.57
27d
9
Jaylen Brown
2016-17 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$117
1.17×
—
2.0400%
$2.38
26d
10
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 9.0
$116
1.16×
—
2.0400%
$2.36
26d
11
Allen Iverson
1997 SPx · psa 7.0
$112
1.12×
—
2.0400%
$2.28
27d
12
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0
$101
1.01×
—
2.0400%
$2.07
26d
13
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$96
0.96×
—
2.0400%
$1.96
26d
14
Randy Moss
1998 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
—
2.0400%
$1.93
26d
15
Ben Roethlisberger
2004 Upper Deck Rookie Premiere · psa 10.0
$94
0.94×
—
2.0400%
$1.92
26d
16
Adrian Peterson
2007 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$91
0.91×
—
2.0400%
$1.86
26d
17
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$85
0.85×
—
2.0400%
$1.73
27d
18
John Elway Pop 1
2018 Panini Black Friday · psa 9.0
$82
0.82×
—
2.0400%
$1.67
26d
19
Brett Favre
1991 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
2.0400%
$1.65
27d
20
Shohei Ohtani
2020 Bowman · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
2.0400%
$1.65
26d
21
Ben Roethlisberger
2004 Score · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0400%
$1.55
26d
22
Matthew Stafford
2009 Topps · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0400%
$1.53
26d
23
Shaquille O'Neal
2020-21 Panini Illusions · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0400%
$1.53
27d
24
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Fleer · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0400%
$1.53
26d
25
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0400%
$1.52
26d
26
Tom Brady
2016 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0400%
$1.50
26d
27
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 10.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0400%
$1.50
27d
28
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0400%
$1.49
27d
29
Saquon Barkley
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0400%
$1.49
26d
30
Ernie Banks
1961 Topps · psa 5.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.0400%
$1.47
26d
31
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$71
0.71×
—
2.0400%
$1.46
26d
32
Michael Jordan
1994-95 Flair · psa 8.0
$71
0.71×
—
2.0400%
$1.45
26d
33
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0400%
$1.35
27d
34
David Robinson Pop 1
2023-24 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.0400%
$1.29
26d
35
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0400%
$1.27
26d
36
LeBron James
2017-18 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
—
2.0400%
$1.16
26d
37
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2022-23 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
2.0400%
$1.14
26d
38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
2.0400%
$1.12
27d
39
Dan Marino No Market Comps Found
2014 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0400%
$1.10
26d
40
Barry Sanders
1994 Pacific · psa 8.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0400%
$1.10
26d
41
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$54
0.54×
—
2.0400%
$1.10
26d
42
Kevin Garnett
2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0400%
$1.10
26d
43
LeBron James
2017-18 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.0400%
$1.07
27d
44
Shaquille O'Neal Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Finest · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.0400%
$1.07
26d
45
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Ionix · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.0400%
$1.07
26d
46
Shaquille O'Neal
2000-01 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.0400%
$1.06
26d
47
Larry Bird
2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.0400%
$1.04
26d
48
Allen Iverson
1996-97 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
2.0400%
$1.01
26d
49
LeBron James
2022-23 Panini Revolution · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.0400%
$0.82
26d
50
Jayson Tatum
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$31
0.31×
—
2.0400%
$0.63
26d
51
Klay Thompson
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$21
0.21×
—
2.0400%
$0.43
27d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$83.14
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