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Boom

Special Series $1000 WARM
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EV
-17.8%
Snapshot from 24d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -26.3% to -14.6%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$752
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Boom · Special Series · $1000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 8.00% chance .35-.55 8% .55-.75× pack price — 42.00% chance .55-.75 42% .75-.9× pack price — 30.00% chance .75-.9 30% .9-1× pack price — 6.00% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.00% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 4.00% chance 1.25-1.75 4% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.020% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.010% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 30× as of Aug 31, 2026 · 12:07 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
DeVonta Smith · 2021 Panini Absolute · PSA 9 pulled
54s ago
$772
Paolo Banchero · 2024-25 Panini Revolution · BECKETT 9 pulled
54s ago
$750
Derrick Rose · 2024-25 Panini Revolution · PSA 9 pulled
54s ago
$904
Josh Jacobs · 2023 Panini Absolute · PSA 10 pulled
54s ago
$372
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Breece Hall
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$498
0.50×
2.0000%
$9.95
24d
2
Ausar Thompson
2023-24 Panini Crown Royale · psa 7.0
$507
0.51×
2.0000%
$10.14
25d
3
Aaron Rodgers
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$513
0.51×
2.0000%
$10.26
24d
4
Jerry Jeudy
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$516
0.52×
2.0000%
$10.31
24d
5
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$569
0.57×
2.0000%
$11.38
24d
6
Chris Paul
2013-14 Panini Innovation · beckett 8.5
$597
0.60×
2.0000%
$11.94
24d
7
Deion Sanders
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 8.0
$597
0.60×
2.0000%
$11.94
24d
8
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$603
0.60×
2.0000%
$12.06
24d
9
Pau Gasol
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
2.0000%
$12.16
24d
10
Micah Parsons
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
2.0000%
$12.16
24d
11
Micah Parsons
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$610
0.61×
2.0000%
$12.20
25d
12
Joe Namath
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$624
0.62×
2.0000%
$12.48
25d
13
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
2.0000%
$12.54
25d
14
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
2.0000%
$12.54
25d
15
Anthony Davis
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5
$650
0.65×
2.0000%
$13.00
25d
16
Kenneth Walker III
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$654
0.65×
2.0000%
$13.08
24d
17
James Harden
2019-20 Panini Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$660
0.66×
2.0000%
$13.20
24d
18
Aaron Donald
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$676
0.68×
2.0000%
$13.53
24d
19
Tracy McGrady
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$693
0.69×
2.0000%
$13.86
24d
20
Myles Garrett
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$694
0.69×
2.0000%
$13.89
24d
21
D'Angelo Russell
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · psa 10.0
$722
0.72×
2.0000%
$14.44
24d
22
Chris Olave
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
2.0000%
$14.56
24d
23
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
2.0000%
$14.56
25d
24
Josh Jacobs
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$737
0.74×
2.0000%
$14.74
24d
25
Tracy McGrady
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · beckett 9.0
$737
0.74×
2.0000%
$14.74
24d
26
Maxx Crosby
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$752
0.75×
2.0000%
$15.03
24d
27
DeVonta Smith
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$754
0.75×
2.0000%
$15.08
1h
28
Deebo Samuel
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$757
0.76×
2.0000%
$15.15
24d
29
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$788
0.79×
2.0000%
$15.76
25d
30
Julius Erving
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$788
0.79×
2.0000%
$15.76
24d
31
Brock Purdy
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$788
0.79×
2.0000%
$15.76
24d
32
Josh Jacobs
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$815
0.81×
2.0000%
$16.30
24d
33
CeeDee Lamb
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 8.0
$819
0.82×
2.0000%
$16.38
24d
34
George Kittle
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$837
0.84×
2.0000%
$16.73
24d
35
Travis Kelce
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$852
0.85×
2.0000%
$17.05
1h
36
Jonathan Taylor
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$862
0.86×
2.0000%
$17.23
24d
37
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$865
0.86×
2.0000%
$17.30
24d
38
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$865
0.86×
2.0000%
$17.30
1h
39
Julius Peppers
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$867
0.87×
2.0000%
$17.34
24d
40
Joe Burrow
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$892
0.89×
2.0000%
$17.84
24d
41
Christian McCaffrey
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$913
0.91×
2.0000%
$18.26
25d
42
Derrick Rose
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$947
0.95×
2.0000%
$18.94
24d
43
Christian McCaffrey
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$983
0.98×
2.0000%
$19.66
24d
44
Damian Lillard
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,054
1.05×
2.0000%
$21.08
24d
45
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,073
1.07×
2.0000%
$21.47
24d
46
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$1,150
1.15×
2.0000%
$22.99
24d
47
Anthony Davis
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,150
1.15×
2.0000%
$22.99
25d
48
Daniel Jones
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,301
1.30×
2.0000%
$26.03
24d
49
Jalen Hurts
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,597
1.60×
2.0000%
$31.93
24d
50
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$2,451
2.45×
2.0000%
$49.02
24d
51
Stephen Curry Grail
2013-14 Panini Innovation · beckett 9.0
$23,183
23.18×
0.0100%
$2.32
26d
52
Tom Brady Grail
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$23,183
23.18×
0.0100%
$2.32
26d
53
Kobe Bryant Grail
2014-15 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$30,000
30.00×
0.0100%
$3.00
26d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$821.69
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