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Boom
Special Series $1000 WARM
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -26.3% to -14.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$752
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Kobe Bryant
Grail
2014-15 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$30,000
30.00×
0.0100%
$3.00
26d
2
Stephen Curry
Grail
2013-14 Panini Innovation · beckett 9.0
$23,183
23.18×
0.0100%
$2.32
26d
3
Tom Brady
Grail
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$23,183
23.18×
0.0100%
$2.32
26d
4
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$2,451
2.45×
2.0000%
$49.02
24d
5
Jalen Hurts
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,597
1.60×
2.0000%
$31.93
24d
6
Daniel Jones
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,301
1.30×
2.0000%
$26.03
24d
7
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$1,150
1.15×
2.0000%
$22.99
24d
8
Anthony Davis
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,150
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$22.99
25d
9
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,073
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$21.47
24d
10
Damian Lillard
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,054
1.05×
—
2.0000%
$21.08
24d
11
Christian McCaffrey
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$983
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$19.66
24d
12
Derrick Rose
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$947
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$18.94
24d
13
Christian McCaffrey
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$913
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$18.26
25d
14
Joe Burrow
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$892
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$17.84
24d
15
Julius Peppers
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$867
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.34
24d
16
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$865
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.30
1h
17
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$865
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.30
24d
18
Jonathan Taylor
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$862
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.23
24d
19
Travis Kelce
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$852
0.85×
—
2.0000%
$17.05
1h
20
George Kittle
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$837
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$16.73
24d
21
CeeDee Lamb
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 8.0
$819
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$16.38
24d
22
Josh Jacobs
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$815
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$16.30
24d
23
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$788
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$15.76
25d
24
Julius Erving
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$788
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$15.76
24d
25
Brock Purdy
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$788
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$15.76
24d
26
Deebo Samuel
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$757
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.15
24d
27
DeVonta Smith
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$754
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$15.08
1h
28
Maxx Crosby
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$752
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$15.03
24d
29
Josh Jacobs
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$737
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$14.74
24d
30
Tracy McGrady
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · beckett 9.0
$737
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$14.74
24d
31
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.56
25d
32
Chris Olave
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.56
24d
33
D'Angelo Russell
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · psa 10.0
$722
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$14.44
24d
34
Myles Garrett
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$694
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.89
24d
35
Tracy McGrady
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$693
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.86
24d
36
Aaron Donald
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$676
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$13.53
24d
37
James Harden
2019-20 Panini Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$660
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.20
24d
38
Kenneth Walker III
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$654
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.08
24d
39
Anthony Davis
2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5
$650
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.00
25d
40
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.54
25d
41
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.54
25d
42
Joe Namath
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$624
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.48
25d
43
Micah Parsons
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$610
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.20
25d
44
Micah Parsons
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.16
24d
45
Pau Gasol
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.16
24d
46
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$603
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.06
24d
47
Chris Paul
2013-14 Panini Innovation · beckett 8.5
$597
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$11.94
24d
48
Deion Sanders
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 8.0
$597
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$11.94
24d
49
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$569
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.38
24d
50
Jerry Jeudy
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$516
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.31
24d
51
Aaron Rodgers
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$513
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.26
24d
52
Ausar Thompson
2023-24 Panini Crown Royale · psa 7.0
$507
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.14
25d
53
Breece Hall
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$498
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$9.95
24d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$821.69
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