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Mega GOAT

Special Series $5000

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-13.8%

Snapshot from 46d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

—

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

10.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -30.4% to -8.8%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.53%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$4,055

0.81× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

18% of pulls are worth at least the $5000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

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Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

43 cards · sorted by value ▲

Card · Set

Value ▲

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Topps · beckett 9.5

$1,146

0.23×

—

2.5000%

$28.66

—

Kobe Bryant

2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$1,201

0.24×

—

2.5000%

$30.03

—

Drew Brees/Tom Brady

2009 Topps Unique · beckett 8.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

LeBron James

2025-26 Bowman · beckett 10.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

LeBron James

2005-06 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5

$2,706

0.54×

—

2.5000%

$67.64

—

LeBron James

2003-04 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0

$2,800

0.56×

—

2.5000%

$70.00

—

Babe Ruth Grail

2026 Topps · psa 9.0

$2,822

0.56×

—

2.5000%

$70.56

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$2,901

0.58×

—

2.5000%

$72.51

—

Tom Brady

2009 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0

$2,930

0.59×

—

2.5000%

$73.26

—

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 8.0

$2,964

0.59×

—

2.5000%

$74.10

—

Shohei Ohtani

2025 Topps · psa 10.0

$3,116

0.62×

—

2.5000%

$77.90

—

Paul Skenes

2023 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0

$3,318

0.66×

—

2.5000%

$82.95

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2020 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0

$3,505

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.63

—

Nikola Jokic

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,562

0.71×

—

2.5000%

$89.05

—

Kobe Bryant

2016-17 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5

$3,600

0.72×

—

2.5000%

$90.00

—

Tom Brady

2000 Pacific · psa 10.0

$3,627

0.73×

—

2.5000%

$90.67

—

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · beckett 9.5

$3,650

0.73×

—

2.5000%

$91.25

—

Ichiro Suzuki

2001 Topps Traded · psa 9.0

$3,758

0.75×

—

2.5000%

$93.95

—

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 10.0

$3,897

0.78×

—

2.5000%

$97.42

—

Tom Brady Grail

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$4,032

0.81×

—

2.5000%

$100.79

—

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0

$4,055

0.81×

—

2.5000%

$101.37

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Topps Silver Pack · psa 9.0

$4,085

0.82×

—

2.5000%

$102.12

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Bowman · psa 9.0

$4,297

0.86×

—

2.5000%

$107.44

—

Mike Trout

2011 Topps Update · psa 10.0

$4,355

0.87×

—

2.5000%

$108.88

—

Stephen Curry

2023-24 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0

$4,362

0.87×

—

2.5000%

$109.05

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0

$4,364

0.87×

—

2.5000%

$109.10

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2016 Panini Select · beckett 9.5

$4,373

0.87×

—

2.5000%

$109.33

—

Michael Jordan

2005-06 Upper Deck Reflections · psa 9.0

$4,376

0.88×

—

2.5000%

$109.40

—

Patrick Mahomes II Grail

2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$4,440

0.89×

—

2.5000%

$110.99

—

Peyton Manning

1998 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$4,441

0.89×

—

2.5000%

$111.03

—

Michael Jordan

1997-98 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0

$4,586

0.92×

—

2.5000%

$114.64

—

Tom Brady

2013 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$4,741

0.95×

—

2.5000%

$118.53

—

Michael Jordan

1998-99 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0

$4,885

0.98×

—

2.5000%

$122.12

—

LeBron James

2003-04 Topps Pristine · psa 10.0

$5,713

1.14×

—

2.5000%

$142.83

—

Shohei Ohtani

2024 Bowman · psa 10.0

$6,903

1.38×

—

2.5000%

$172.57

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$7,095

1.42×

—

2.5000%

$177.37

—

Barry Sanders

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$7,749

1.55×

—

2.5000%

$193.73

—

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 E-X2000 · psa 9.0

$8,235

1.65×

—

2.5000%

$205.87

—

Peyton Manning

2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$8,266

1.65×

—

2.5000%

$206.65

—

Shohei Ohtani Grail

2018 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$8,378

1.68×

—

0.0300%

$2.51

—

LeBron James Grail

2005-06 Upper Deck Exquisite Collection · beckett 8.5

$9,000

1.80×

—

0.0300%

$2.70

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$10,648

2.13×

—

2.5000%

$266.20

—

Tom Brady Grail

2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$50,000

10.00×

—

0.0300%

$15.00

—

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$4307.78

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