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Mega GOAT

Special Series $5000

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-23.7%

Snapshot from 50d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

—

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

11.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -32.5% to -12.3%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.59%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.060%

grail odds

Median pull

$3,756

0.75× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 92% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $5000 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

LeBron James · 2018-19 Panini Flawless pulled

51d ago

$4,200

↓

Shohei Ohtani · 2024 Bowman pulled

51d ago

$7,051

↑

Shohei Ohtani · 2024 Bowman · PSA added

51d ago

$7,051

↑

Dan Marino · 2014 Panini Flawless · BECKETT added

51d ago

$1,500

Live activity is Pro

See pulls and adds as they happen

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

43 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Patrick Mahomes II Grail

2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5

$55,000

11.00×

0.0300%

$16.50

—

Tom Brady Grail

2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$50,000

10.00×

0.0300%

$15.00

—

LeBron James/Kobe Bryant Grail

2004-05 Upper Deck Trilogy · beckett 9.5

$27,500

5.50×

0.0300%

$8.25

—

Shohei Ohtani

2025 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$10,572

2.11×

2.5000%

$264.30

—

Shohei Ohtani

2024 Bowman · psa 10.0

$7,051

1.41×

2.5000%

$176.27

—

LeBron James

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0

$6,316

1.26×

2.5000%

$157.91

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$4,805

0.96×

2.5000%

$120.14

—

Aaron Judge

2025 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0

$4,765

0.95×

—

2.5000%

$119.12

—

Stephen Curry

2009-10 Topps · psa 9.0

$4,702

0.94×

—

2.5000%

$117.54

—

Nikola Jokic

2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$4,631

0.93×

—

2.5000%

$115.77

—

Mike Trout

2011 Topps Update · psa 10.0

$4,608

0.92×

—

2.5000%

$115.21

—

LeBron James

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 9.0

$4,528

0.91×

—

2.5000%

$113.21

—

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0

$4,508

0.90×

—

2.5000%

$112.70

—

Tom Brady

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$4,408

0.88×

—

2.5000%

$110.21

—

Stephen Curry

2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$4,318

0.86×

—

2.5000%

$107.96

—

Jerry Rice

1986 Topps · psa 9.0

$4,186

0.84×

—

2.5000%

$104.64

—

Michael Jordan No Market Comps Found

2003-04 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5

$4,139

0.83×

—

2.5000%

$103.48

—

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0

$4,139

0.83×

—

2.5000%

$103.48

—

Mike Trout

2011 Topps Update · psa 10.0

$4,139

0.83×

—

2.5000%

$103.48

—

John Elway

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$4,139

0.83×

—

2.5000%

$103.48

—

Shohei Ohtani

2025 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0

$4,086

0.82×

—

2.5000%

$102.15

—

Albert Pujols

2001 Topps Traded & Rookies · psa 8.0

$3,772

0.75×

—

2.5000%

$94.30

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,756

0.75×

—

2.5000%

$93.89

—

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$3,750

0.75×

—

2.5000%

$93.75

—

Tom Brady

2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$3,700

0.74×

—

2.5000%

$92.50

—

Michael Jordan

1997-98 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0

$3,603

0.72×

—

2.5000%

$90.07

—

Stephen Curry

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 9.0

$3,380

0.68×

—

2.5000%

$84.50

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$3,286

0.66×

—

2.5000%

$82.15

—

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0

$3,238

0.65×

—

2.5000%

$80.96

—

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Gold Reserve · psa 8.0

$3,234

0.65×

—

2.5000%

$80.85

—

Stephen Curry

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$3,141

0.63×

—

2.5000%

$78.52

—

Emmit Smith

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,045

0.61×

—

2.5000%

$76.12

—

Aaron Judge

2017 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0

$3,029

0.61×

—

2.5000%

$75.72

—

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Victory · psa 10.0

$2,968

0.59×

—

2.5000%

$74.19

—

Nikola Jokic

2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0

$2,423

0.48×

—

2.5000%

$60.58

—

Patrick Mahomes II Grail Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2019 Panini Flawless · psa 8.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Stephen Curry

2023-24 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Kevin Durant No Market Comps Found

2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Aaron Judge Grail No Market Comps Found

2022 Topps Transcendent Collection · psa 10.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Shohei Ohtani

2024 Bowman · psa 9.0

$2,000

0.40×

—

2.5000%

$50.00

—

Dan Marino

2014 Panini Flawless · beckett 9.5

$1,500

0.30×

—

2.5000%

$37.50

—

Stephen Curry

2020-21 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0

$1,125

0.23×

—

2.5000%

$28.12

—

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$3814.49

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