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GOAT-Starter
Special Series $100
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
25.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -26.8% to -10.3%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
3.08%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$66
0.66× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
16% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
John Elway
Grail
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$2,527
25.27×
0.0200%
$0.51
—
2
Aaron Judge
2017 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$542
5.42×
1.0200%
$5.53
—
3
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$403
4.03×
1.0200%
$4.11
—
4
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Topps Silver Pack · psa 10.0
$242
2.42×
1.0200%
$2.46
—
5
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$168
1.68×
1.0200%
$1.71
—
6
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$164
1.64×
1.0200%
$1.68
—
7
Hank Aaron
1976 Topps · psa 7.0
$144
1.44×
1.0200%
$1.47
—
8
Peyton Manning
2000 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$138
1.38×
—
1.0200%
$1.41
—
9
Tom Brady
2008 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$135
1.35×
—
1.0200%
$1.38
—
10
Emmitt Smith
1990 Fleer Update · psa 10.0
$126
1.26×
—
1.0200%
$1.29
—
11
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck HoloGrFX · psa 8.0
$120
1.20×
—
1.0200%
$1.22
—
12
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Panini Zenith · psa 10.0
$115
1.15×
—
1.0200%
$1.17
—
13
Aaron Judge
2023 Bowman Mega Box · psa 10.0
$111
1.11×
—
1.0200%
$1.13
—
14
Michael Jordan
1998-99 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$106
1.06×
—
1.0200%
$1.08
—
15
Kevin Durant
Pop 1
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$103
1.03×
—
1.0200%
$1.05
—
16
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Fleer · psa 8.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.0200%
$1.03
—
17
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.0200%
$1.03
—
18
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0
$100
0.99×
—
1.0200%
$1.01
—
19
Freddie Freeman
2011 Bowman · psa 9.0
$98
0.97×
—
1.0200%
$0.99
—
20
Aaron Judge
2017 Topps Archives · psa 8.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.0200%
$0.99
—
21
Jerry Rice
2013 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
—
1.0200%
$0.96
—
22
Patrick Mahomes II
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
1.0200%
$0.95
—
23
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Archives · psa 8.0
$93
0.93×
—
1.0200%
$0.95
—
24
Ken Griffey Jr.
1996 Fleer · psa 10.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.0200%
$0.93
—
25
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.0200%
$0.88
—
26
Deion Sanders
2000 Leaf Certified · psa 9.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.0200%
$0.88
—
27
Barry Sanders
1989 Score · psa 8.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.0200%
$0.87
—
28
Michael Jordan
1990-91 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$85
0.85×
—
1.0200%
$0.87
—
29
LeBron James
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.0200%
$0.86
—
30
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · psa 10.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.0200%
$0.86
—
31
Mickey Mantle
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.0200%
$0.85
—
32
Dan Marino
1998 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.0200%
$0.85
—
33
Mike Trout
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$82
0.82×
—
1.0200%
$0.84
—
34
Tom Brady
2006 Upper Deck SPx · psa 9.0
$81
0.81×
—
1.0200%
$0.83
—
35
LeBron James
2024-25 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
1.0200%
$0.83
—
36
Michael Jordan
1998-99 UD Choice Preview · psa 9.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.0200%
$0.82
—
37
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.0200%
$0.81
—
38
Shohei Ohtani
2026 Topps Now World Baseball Classic · psa 10.0
$78
0.78×
—
1.0200%
$0.79
—
39
Michael Jordan
1995 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$76
0.76×
—
1.0200%
$0.77
—
40
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.0200%
$0.77
—
41
Michael Jordan
2001-02 Topps TCC · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
1.0200%
$0.75
—
42
Mookie Betts
2014 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.0200%
$0.73
—
43
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.0200%
$0.72
—
44
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.0200%
$0.71
—
45
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.0200%
$0.71
—
46
Brett Favre
1991 Fleer Ultra Update · psa 10.0
$69
0.69×
—
1.0200%
$0.70
—
47
Deion Sanders
1990 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.0200%
$0.68
47m 22s
48
Walter Payton
2015 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.0200%
$0.67
—
49
Mike Trout
2011 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · psa 8.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.0200%
$0.67
—
50
Shohei Ohtani
2022 Topps Holiday · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.0200%
$0.67
—
51
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Bowman · psa 10.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.0200%
$0.66
—
52
Shohei Ohtani
2025-26 Topps Now Off-Season · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
—
1.0200%
$0.64
—
53
Shohei Ohtani
2023-24 Topps Now Off-Season · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
1.0200%
$0.63
—
54
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 SAGE Hit Premier Draft High Series · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.0200%
$0.62
—
55
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.0200%
$0.61
—
56
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Fleer · psa 9.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.0200%
$0.61
—
57
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now World Series Champions Los Angeles Dodgers · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.0200%
$0.61
—
58
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.0200%
$0.61
—
59
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
60
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
61
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
62
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
63
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
64
Shohei Ohtani/Aaron Judge
2025-26 Topps Now Off-Season · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
65
LeBron James
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.0200%
$0.60
—
66
Shohei Ohtani/Aaron Judge
2025-26 Topps Now Off-Season · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.0200%
$0.59
—
67
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.0200%
$0.59
—
68
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.0200%
$0.57
—
69
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.0200%
$0.56
—
70
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.0200%
$0.54
—
71
Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Shohei Ohtani
2023-24 Topps Now Off-Season · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.0200%
$0.54
—
72
Ichiro Suzuki
2000 Upper Deck Ovation Japan · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.0200%
$0.54
—
73
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.0200%
$0.54
—
74
Tom Brady
2005 Upper Deck Rookie Debut · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.0200%
$0.53
—
75
Ken Griffey, Jr.
1993 Kenner Starting Lineup Cards · psa 9.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.0200%
$0.52
—
76
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.0200%
$0.51
—
77
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.0200%
$0.51
—
78
Brett Favre
1992 Stadium Club · beckett 8.5
$50
0.50×
—
1.0200%
$0.51
—
79
Shaquille O'Neal
1994-95 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.0200%
$0.51
—
80
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.0200%
$0.51
—
81
Kobe Bryant
2000-01 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.0200%
$0.50
—
82
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.0200%
$0.48
—
83
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps Series 1 · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.0200%
$0.48
—
84
Cal Ripken
1983 Topps · psa 9.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.0200%
$0.46
—
85
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 8.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.0200%
$0.46
—
86
Freddie Freeman
2011 Topps · psa 9.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.0200%
$0.46
—
87
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps Holiday · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.0200%
$0.44
—
88
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Fleer · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.0200%
$0.43
—
89
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.0200%
$0.43
—
90
Mike Trout
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.0200%
$0.43
—
91
Cal Ripken Jr.
1995 Star Cal Ripken Jr. · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.0200%
$0.41
—
92
Stephen Curry
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.0200%
$0.41
—
93
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.0200%
$0.41
—
94
Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant
2024 Topps Now Olympics · beckett 9.5
$38
0.38×
—
1.0200%
$0.39
—
95
Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant
2024 Topps Now Olympics · beckett 9.5
$38
0.38×
—
1.0200%
$0.39
1h
96
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$33
0.33×
—
1.0200%
$0.34
—
97
LeBron James
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$32
0.32×
—
1.0200%
$0.33
—
98
Patrick Mahomes II
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$25
0.25×
—
1.0200%
$0.26
—
99
Deion Sanders
1993 Topps · psa 9.0
$25
0.25×
—
1.0200%
$0.25
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$81.44
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