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Perfect 10 Elite

Special Series $1000
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EV
-26.8%
Snapshot from 96d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
19.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -34.7% to -21.2%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$618
0.62× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
12% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Perfect 10 Elite · Special Series · $1000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 2.00% chance .2-.35 2% .35-.55× pack price — 30.00% chance .35-.55 30% .55-.75× pack price — 38.00% chance .55-.75 38% .75-.9× pack price — 14.00% chance .75-.9 14% .9-1× pack price — 4.00% chance .9-1 4% 1-1.25× pack price — 4.00% chance 1-1.25 4% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 6.00% chance 1.25-1.75 6% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.060% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 20× as of Aug 10, 2026 · 9:51 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Dirk Nowitzki
2008-09 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$284
0.28×
—
2.0000%
$5.68
—
2
Quinshon Judkins
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$379
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.58
—
3
Jackson Chourio No Market Comps Found
2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.00
—
4
Randy Johnson Grail 1 of 1
2025 Topps Transcendent · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.00
—
5
Paolo Banchero Pop 1
2022-23 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.00
—
6
Emmitt Smith
2020 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$489
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.78
—
7
Juan Soto
2020 Topps Stadium Club Chrome · psa 10.0
$500
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$10.00
—
8
Nick Kurtz
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$506
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.11
—
9
Cal Raleigh
2022 Bowman Sterling · psa 10.0
$510
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.20
—
10
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$522
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.43
—
11
Jaylen Waddle
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$523
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.47
—
12
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$527
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.54
—
13
Travis Bazzana
2025 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$532
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.64
—
14
Colston Loveland
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$539
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.78
—
15
David Robinson
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$545
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.89
—
16
Bo Jackson
1990 Score · psa 10.0
$548
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$10.96
—
17
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini One · psa 10.0
$551
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.02
—
18
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$564
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.28
—
19
Ty Law
1995 SP Championship · psa 10.0
$565
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.30
—
20
Kirk Cousins
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$567
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.34
—
21
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$569
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.38
—
22
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 10.0
$572
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.45
—
23
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$586
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$11.71
—
24
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$590
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$11.80
—
25
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$612
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.25
—
26
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$618
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.35
—
27
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$618
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.37
—
28
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$626
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.52
—
29
Jared Goff
2016 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$641
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.82
—
30
Bobby Witt Jr.
2022 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0
$650
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.00
—
31
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$666
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$13.32
—
32
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$670
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$13.39
—
33
Russell Wilson
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 10.0
$676
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$13.52
—
34
Michael Jordan
1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · psa 10.0
$690
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.79
—
35
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$717
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$14.33
—
36
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$760
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.20
—
37
Elorky Rodriguez
2025 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$770
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$15.40
—
38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$772
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$15.44
—
39
Victor Wembanyama
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$782
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$15.63
—
40
Dak Prescott
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$814
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$16.28
—
41
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$871
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.43
—
42
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$875
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.50
—
43
Giannis Antetokounmpo Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$947
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$18.93
—
44
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$994
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$19.88
—
45
George Herman Ruth
2023 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,079
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$21.58
—
46
Juan Soto
2018 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$1,249
1.25×
—
2.0000%
$24.97
—
47
Bijan Robinson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,254
1.25×
—
2.0000%
$25.08
—
48
Parroted Paul
2024 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,325
1.32×
—
2.0000%
$26.49
—
49
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,738
1.74×
—
2.0000%
$34.75
—
50
Deion Sanders
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,458
2.46×
—
2.0000%
$49.17
—
51
Patrick Mahomes II Grail
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$18,000
18.00×
—
0.0200%
$3.60
—
52
Shohei Ohtani Grail
2022 Panini Diamond Kings · psa 10.0
$19,200
19.20×
—
0.0200%
$3.84
—
53
Victor Wembanyama Grail
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0200%
$3.90
—
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$732.09
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