You're viewing the public snapshot — data is 6 hours behind. Create a free account for the 1-hour view plus save & track — Pro unlocks live data + Rip Mode.
Sign up free →
Case Hits Pro
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
21.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -16.3% to -3.3%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
4.08%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.080%
grail odds
Median pull
$402
0.80× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
Upgrade to Pro →
Pool composition
26% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Aaron Judge
2026 Topps · psa 10.0
$10,515
21.03×
—
0.0400%
$4.21
25d
2
Ja'Marr Chase
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$8,132
16.26×
—
0.0400%
$3.25
25d
3
Rob Gronkowski
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,318
2.63×
—
2.0000%
$26.35
24d
4
Ja'Marr Chase
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$1,132
2.26×
—
2.0000%
$22.64
23d
5
Travis Kelce
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$858
1.72×
—
2.0000%
$17.15
24d
6
Russell Westbrook
2019-20 Panini One and One · psa 9.0
$668
1.34×
—
2.0000%
$13.36
23d
7
Baker Mayfield
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$644
1.29×
—
2.0000%
$12.88
23d
8
Malik Nabers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$609
1.22×
—
2.0000%
$12.18
24d
9
Micah Parsons
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$605
1.21×
—
2.0000%
$12.10
23d
10
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$571
1.14×
—
2.0000%
$11.42
24d
11
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$553
1.11×
—
2.0000%
$11.06
23d
12
Lamar Jackson
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$523
1.05×
—
2.0000%
$10.46
23d
13
Calvin Johnson
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$522
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$10.44
23d
14
Kyle Pitts
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$518
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$10.36
23d
15
Garrett Wilson
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$510
1.02×
—
2.0000%
$10.19
23d
16
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$500
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$9.99
24d
17
Julio Jones
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$480
0.96×
—
2.0000%
$9.60
23d
18
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$474
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$9.47
23d
19
Saquon Barkley
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$464
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$9.28
24d
20
Rob Dillingham
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$458
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$9.16
23d
21
Julius Peppers
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$438
0.88×
—
2.0000%
$8.76
24d
22
Michael Vick
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$437
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$8.74
23d
23
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$420
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$8.40
24d
24
Christian McCaffrey
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$418
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$8.36
23d
25
Joe Namath
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$410
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.20
23d
26
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$403
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.06
24d
27
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
24d
28
DK Metcalf
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$382
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.63
23d
29
Mookie Betts
2024 Bowman · psa 10.0
$378
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.56
24d
30
Magic Johnson
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$378
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.55
23d
31
Christian Okoye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$373
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$7.46
24d
32
Rome Odunze
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$351
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$7.03
24d
33
Cooper Kupp
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$346
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$6.92
24d
34
Chase Young
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$342
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.84
23d
35
Drew Brees
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$341
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.82
24d
36
Bub Carrington
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$338
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.77
23d
37
Reed Sheppard
2024-25 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$337
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.75
23d
38
Kristaps Porzingis
2017-18 Panini Cornerstones · psa 10.0
$331
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.62
24d
39
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$330
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.59
24d
40
Jordan Addison
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$328
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.55
24d
41
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$324
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$6.48
23d
42
Zay Flowers
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$321
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.42
23d
43
Najee Harris
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$316
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.31
24d
44
Paolo Banchero
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$315
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.30
23d
45
Ken Anderson
2024 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 9.0
$300
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$6.00
23d
46
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$297
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$5.95
24d
47
Aaron Judge
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$277
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.54
24d
48
Nick Chubb
2023 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$277
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.53
24d
49
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$263
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.25
24d
50
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Series 1 · psa 8.0
$240
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$4.79
23d
51
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$237
0.47×
—
2.0000%
$4.74
24d
52
Alexandre Sarr
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$140
0.28×
—
2.0000%
$2.80
23d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$451.31
View Case Hits Pro Special Series on Arena Club →
Opens Arena Club in a new tab · we're independent and earn nothing from your click