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Hockey Pack

Special Series $100
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EV
-25.4%
Snapshot from 35d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
49.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -27.9% to -7.6%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$67
0.67× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 87% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Hockey Pack · Special Series · $100 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 2.13% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 23.43% chance .35-.55 23% .55-.75× pack price — 42.60% chance .55-.75 43% .75-.9× pack price — 12.78% chance .75-.9 13% .9-1× pack price — 6.39% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.52% chance 1-1.25 9% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 4.26% chance 1.25-1.75 4% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.030% chance 7-12 <0.1% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.060% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 49× as of Aug 18, 2026 · 9:33 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Connor Bedard · 2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 pulled
35d ago
$58
Mika Zibanejad · 2011-12 Upper Deck pulled
35d ago
$60
Wayne Gretzky · 1988-89 Topps pulled
35d ago
$71
Wayne Gretzky · 1998-99 Upper Deck pulled
35d ago
$144
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

50 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Sidney Crosby Grail
2005-06 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$4,898
48.98×
0.0300%
$1.47
2
Macklin Celebrini Grail
2024-25 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$4,745
47.45×
0.0300%
$1.42
3
Connor McDavid Grail No Market Comps Found
2015-16 Upper Deck Black · beckett 9.0
$1,000
10.00×
0.0300%
$0.30
4
Evan Bouchard
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$147
1.47×
2.1300%
$3.12
5
Connor McDavid
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$130
1.30×
2.1300%
$2.76
6
Henrik Lundqvist No Market Comps Found
2004-05 SP Authentic · beckett 9.5
$121
1.21×
2.1300%
$2.58
7
Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$121
1.21×
2.1300%
$2.58
8
Matthew Knies
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$112
1.12×
2.1300%
$2.39
9
Sergei Fedorov
1990-91 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$102
1.02×
2.1300%
$2.17
10
Kirill Marchenko
2022-23 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$98
0.98×
2.1300%
$2.09
11
Evander Kane
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
2.1300%
$2.02
12
Alexander Ovechkin
2005-06 Upper Deck Rookie Class · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
2.1300%
$2.00
13
Patrice Bergeron
2003-04 Upper Deck Classic Portraits · psa 9.0
$89
0.89×
2.1300%
$1.90
14
Zach Hyman
2016-17 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$84
0.84×
2.1300%
$1.79
15
John Tavares
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$81
0.81×
2.1300%
$1.73
16
Connor Bedard/Adam Fantill
2023-24 Upper Deck Extended Series · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
2.1300%
$1.70
17
Kyle Connor
2016-17 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
2.1300%
$1.68
18
Lane Hutson
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
2.1300%
$1.67
19
Tuukka Rask
2007-08 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$72
0.72×
2.1300%
$1.53
20
Connor McDavid
2021-22 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
2.1300%
$1.53
21
Morgan Geekie
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
2.1300%
$1.51
22
Sidney Crosby
2004-05 In The Game Heroes and Prospects · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
2.1300%
$1.50
23
Brandon Hagel
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
2.1300%
$1.49
24
Connor McDavid
2015-16 Upper Deck Connor McDavid Collection · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
2.1300%
$1.49
25
Aleksander Barkov
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$69
0.69×
2.1300%
$1.47
26
Lukas Dostal
2022-23 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$68
0.68×
2.1300%
$1.45
27
Shea Weber
2006-07 SP Authentic · psa 8.0
$67
0.67×
2.1300%
$1.43
28
Guy Lafleur
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
2.1300%
$1.41
29
Fraser Minten
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
2.1300%
$1.38
30
Leo Carlsson
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
2.1300%
$1.37
31
Trevor Zegras
2021-22 Skybox Metal Universe · psa 8.0
$63
0.63×
2.1300%
$1.34
32
Alexander Ovechkin
2006-07 Upper Deck Power Play · psa 9.0
$63
0.63×
2.1300%
$1.34
33
Olen Zellweger
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
2.1300%
$1.33
34
Matthew Knies
2023-24 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
2.1300%
$1.32
35
Connor Bedard
2023-24 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
2.1300%
$1.26
36
Mario Lemieux
1994-95 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$58
0.58×
2.1300%
$1.24
37
Alex Ovechkin
2020-21 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$57
0.57×
2.1300%
$1.21
38
Brady Tkachuk
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
2.1300%
$1.21
39
Sam Bennett
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
2.1300%
$1.13
40
Sidney Crosby
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
2.1300%
$1.13
41
Logan Stankoven
2025-26 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
2.1300%
$1.13
42
Connor Bedard
2023-24 Upper Deck Trilogy · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
2.1300%
$1.11
43
Jack Eichel
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$51
0.51×
2.1300%
$1.08
44
Miro Heiskanen
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
2.1300%
$1.08
45
Phil Esposito/Bobby Orr
1975-76 Topps · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
2.1300%
$1.06
46
Nathan MacKinnon Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
2.1300%
$0.85
47
Mark Messier No Market Comps Found
1997-98 Pinnacle Certified · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
2.1300%
$0.85
48
Patrick Kane/Carey Price/Erik Johnson No Market Comps Found
2007-08 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
2.1300%
$0.85
49
Claude Giroux No Market Comps Found
2008-09 Upper Deck Artifacts · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
2.1300%
$0.85
50
Frank Nazar
2024-25 Upper Deck Rookie Debut · psa 10.0
$15
0.15×
2.1300%
$0.32
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$74.65
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