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Combat Red
Special Series $250
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
4.9×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -34.5% to -11.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.000%
grail odds
Median pull
$183
0.73× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
22% of pulls are worth at least the $250 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Sean O'Malley
Grail
2023 Panini Chronicles UFC · psa 10.0
$1,232
4.93×
—
0.0300%
$0.37
—
2
Islam Makhachev
Grail
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$1,134
4.54×
—
0.0300%
$0.34
—
3
Israel Adesanya
2022 Donruss Optic UFC · psa 9.0
$475
1.90×
—
2.0000%
$9.50
—
4
Bo Nickal
2023 Donruss Optic UFC · psa 9.0
$381
1.52×
—
2.0000%
$7.62
—
5
Raul Rosas
2023 Panini Chronicles UFC · psa 8.0
$350
1.40×
—
2.0000%
$7.00
—
6
Dustin Poirier
2023 Donruss Optic UFC · psa 8.0
$337
1.35×
—
2.0000%
$6.74
—
7
Jon Jones
Grail
2023 Panini Chronicles UFC · psa 9.0
$314
1.26×
—
0.0300%
$0.09
—
8
Bo Nickal
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$307
1.23×
—
2.0000%
$6.14
—
9
Khamzat Chimaev
2021 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 9.0
$305
1.22×
—
2.0000%
$6.10
—
10
Alex Pereira
2024 Topps Finest UFC · psa 9.0
$282
1.13×
—
2.0000%
$5.65
—
11
Conor McGregor
2023 Panini Chronicles UFC · psa 10.0
$279
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$5.58
—
12
Alex Pereira
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$276
1.10×
—
2.0000%
$5.52
—
13
Daniel Cormier
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$250
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$5.00
—
14
Bruce Buffer
2019 Topps UFC Knockout MMA · beckett
$250
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$5.00
—
15
Paddy Pimblett
2022 Panini Donruss UFC · psa 10.0
$249
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$4.98
—
16
Georges St-Pierre
2009 Topps UFC Round 2 · psa 10.0
$248
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$4.96
—
17
Conor McGregor
2019 Topps UFC Knockout MMA · psa 9.0
$230
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$4.60
—
18
Sean O'Malley
2024 Topps Gold Label UFC · psa 10.0
$227
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$4.54
—
19
Chael Sonnen/Demian Maia
2009 Topps UFC Round 2 · psa 10.0
$223
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$4.46
—
20
Conor McGregor
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$209
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$4.18
—
21
Israel Adesanya
2019 Topps UFC Chrome · psa 9.0
$200
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
22
Anthony Hernandez
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$200
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
23
Brock Lesnar
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$197
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$3.94
—
24
Khamzat Chimaev
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$3.92
—
25
Jiri Prochazka
2021 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 9.0
$190
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$3.80
—
26
Jack Della Maddalena
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$190
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$3.80
—
27
Khabib Nurmagomedov
2013 UFC Finest · psa 9.0
$189
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$3.78
—
28
Shavkat Rakhmonov
2022 Donruss Optic UFC · psa 10.0
$183
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$3.66
—
29
Tabatha Ricci
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$172
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$3.44
—
30
Rinat Fakhretdinov
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$3.38
—
31
UFC 12: Judgement Day
2009 Topps UFC Round 2 · psa 10.0
$168
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$3.36
—
32
Brandon Moreno
2023 Panini Chronicles UFC · psa 10.0
$167
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$3.34
—
33
Anderson Silva
2023 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$3.10
—
34
Alex Pereira
2025 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$3.10
—
35
Jon Jones
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$147
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$2.94
—
36
Chuck Liddell
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$140
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$2.80
—
37
Brock Lesnar/Frank Mir
2009 Topps UFC Round 1 · psa 9.0
$134
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$2.68
—
38
Ilia Topuria
2022 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$131
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$2.62
—
39
Kayla Harrison
2024 Topps Finest UFC · psa 9.0
$130
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$2.60
—
40
Bo Nickal
2023 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 9.0
$127
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$2.54
—
41
Jailton Malhadinho
2023 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$125
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$2.50
—
42
Shara Magomedov
2024 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$120
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$2.39
—
43
Alex Pereira
2023 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$104
0.41×
—
2.0000%
$2.07
—
44
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Topps Now UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
45
Manel Kape
Pop 1
2025 Topps Chrome UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
46
Kevin Holland
2021 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
47
Israel
2024 Topps Midnight UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
48
Shogun Rua
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
49
Jon Jones/Andre Gusmao
2009 Topps UFC Round 2 · beckett 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
50
Henry Cejudo
No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
51
Rose Namajunas
2021 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
—
52
Jailton Almeida
2024 Topps Midnight UFC · psa 10.0
$68
0.27×
—
2.0000%
$1.36
—
53
Nassourdine Imavov
2023 Panini Select UFC · psa 10.0
$62
0.25×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$190.74
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