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1st Edition Pokemon

Special Series $300
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EV
-11.3%
Snapshot from 53d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
50.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -22.2% to -10.1%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$224
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
24% of pulls are worth at least the $300 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
1st Edition Pokemon · Special Series · $300 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 8.00% chance .35-.55 8% .55-.75× pack price — 44.00% chance .55-.75 44% .75-.9× pack price — 12.00% chance .75-.9 12% .9-1× pack price — 12.00% chance .9-1 12% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.00% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 10.00% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 6.00% chance 1.75-2.5 6% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.030% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 50× as of Sep 21, 2026 · 9:14 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Venusaur Grail
1999 Pokemon · csg 10.0
$15,000
50.00×
—
0.0100%
$1.50
—
2
Shining Celebi Grail
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$12,825
42.75×
—
0.0100%
$1.28
—
3
Charizard Grail
1999 Pokemon · psa 3.0
$9,690
32.30×
—
0.0100%
$0.97
—
4
Rocket's Scyther
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 9.0
$624
2.08×
—
2.0000%
$12.48
—
5
Chansey
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$556
1.85×
—
2.0000%
$11.12
—
6
Totodile
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$528
1.76×
—
2.0000%
$10.55
—
7
Arcanine
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$450
1.50×
—
2.0000%
$9.00
—
8
Growlithe
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$445
1.48×
—
2.0000%
$8.89
—
9
Charmander
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$445
1.48×
—
2.0000%
$8.89
—
10
Azumarill
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$410
1.37×
—
2.0000%
$8.20
—
11
Dragonite
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$384
1.28×
—
2.0000%
$7.67
—
12
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$370
1.23×
—
2.0000%
$7.40
—
13
Koga's Ditto
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 9.0
$367
1.22×
—
2.0000%
$7.34
—
14
Giovanni's Machamp
2000 Pokemon GH · csg 9.0
$323
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$6.46
—
15
Heracross
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 8.0
$323
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$6.46
—
16
Beedrill
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$298
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$5.95
—
17
Rocket's Scyther
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 7.0
$287
0.96×
—
2.0000%
$5.74
—
18
Dratini
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$284
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$5.67
—
19
Erika's Venusaur
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 6.0
$282
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$5.65
—
20
Machamp
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$278
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$5.57
—
21
Machamp
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$278
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$5.57
—
22
Hypno
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$256
0.85×
—
2.0000%
$5.12
—
23
Farfetch'd
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$237
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$4.74
—
24
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · csg 9.5
$232
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$4.65
—
25
Kabutops
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 5.0
$232
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$4.65
—
26
Unown A
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$228
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
27
Rhyhorn
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$225
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$4.51
—
28
Misty's Golduck
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 8.0
$224
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$4.48
—
29
Dark Electrode
2000 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$216
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$4.32
—
30
Ditto
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$209
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$4.19
—
31
Togepi
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$205
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$4.11
—
32
Dark Vileplume
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$205
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$4.09
—
33
Jolteon
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$196
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$3.91
—
34
Shellder
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$192
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$3.85
—
35
Shellder
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$192
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$3.85
—
36
Snorlax
1999 Pokemon · psa 2.0
$192
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$3.84
—
37
Dark Raichu
2000 Pokemon · psa 6.0
$192
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$3.83
—
38
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$186
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$3.71
—
39
Dark Charizard
2000 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$185
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$3.70
—
40
Dark Gyarados
2000 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$184
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.68
—
41
Wobbuffet
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 8.0
$184
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.68
—
42
Spearow
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$184
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.67
—
43
Machamp
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$183
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.65
—
44
Heracross
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · csg 9.0
$183
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.65
—
45
Articuno
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$183
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.65
—
46
Zapdos
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$178
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$3.56
—
47
Charmander
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$174
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$3.48
—
48
Venonat
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$173
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$3.45
—
49
Giovanni
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 9.0
$172
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$3.43
—
50
Caterpie
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$156
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$3.12
—
51
Dark Charmeleon
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$144
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$2.88
—
52
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · csg 9.0
$143
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$2.87
—
53
Dark Alakazam
2000 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$143
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$2.87
—
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$266.11
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