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1st Edition Pokemon

Special Series $300 WARM
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EV
-13.0%
Snapshot from 35d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
50.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -20.6% to -5.2%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$220
0.73× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 76% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $300 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
1st Edition Pokemon · Special Series · $300 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 10.00% chance .35-.55 10% .55-.75× pack price — 44.00% chance .55-.75 44% .75-.9× pack price — 16.00% chance .75-.9 16% .9-1× pack price — 6.00% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.00% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 12.00% chance 1.25-1.75 12% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.00% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.030% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 50× as of Aug 14, 2026 · 9:23 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Rocket's Hitmonchan · 2000 Pokemon GH · PSA 8 pulled
1m 50s ago
$185
Delibird · 2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · PSA 9 pulled
1m 50s ago
$191
Dark Blastoise · 2000 Pokemon · PSA 7 pulled
1m 50s ago
$452
Starmie · 1999 Pokemon · PSA 9 pulled
1m 50s ago
$156
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Venusaur Grail
1999 Pokemon · csg 10.0
$15,000
50.00×
0.0100%
$1.50
2
Light Dragonite Grail
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$13,722
45.74×
0.0100%
$1.37
3
Shining Celebi Grail
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$10,083
33.61×
0.0100%
$1.01
4
Feraligatr
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$947
3.16×
2.0000%
$18.94
5
Chansey
1999 Pokemon · psa 6.0
$532
1.77×
2.0000%
$10.65
6
Nidoking
1999 Pokemon · psa 6.0
$473
1.58×
2.0000%
$9.45
7
Dark Alakazam
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$435
1.45×
2.0000%
$8.70
8
Dragonite
1999 Pokemon · psa 6.0
$406
1.35×
2.0000%
$8.12
9
Raichu
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$401
1.34×
2.0000%
$8.02
10
Dark Feraligatr
2002 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 7.0
$396
1.32×
2.0000%
$7.92
11
Dark Raichu
2000 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$382
1.27×
2.0000%
$7.63
12
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$321
1.07×
2.0000%
$6.42
13
Rocket's Zapdos
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 8.0
$321
1.07×
2.0000%
$6.42
14
Dark Persian
2000 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$315
1.05×
2.0000%
$6.30
7m 21s
15
Ampharos
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$303
1.01×
2.0000%
$6.06
16
Articuno
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$299
1.00×
2.0000%
$5.99
17
Misty's Seadra
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 9.0
$298
0.99×
2.0000%
$5.96
57m 54s
18
Skarmory
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$272
0.91×
2.0000%
$5.44
19
Houndoom
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 8.0
$256
0.85×
2.0000%
$5.12
20
Rocket's Moltres
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 7.0
$245
0.82×
2.0000%
$4.90
13m 21s
21
Moltres
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$233
0.78×
2.0000%
$4.67
22
Dark Kadabra
2000 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$233
0.78×
2.0000%
$4.67
23
Grimer
1999 Pokemon · csg 10.0
$233
0.78×
2.0000%
$4.67
24
Raichu
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$230
0.77×
2.0000%
$4.61
25
Wartortle
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$229
0.76×
2.0000%
$4.58
26
Jolteon
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$229
0.76×
2.0000%
$4.58
27
Misty's Poliwhirl
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 10.0
$221
0.74×
2.0000%
$4.42
28
Weepinbell
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$220
0.73×
2.0000%
$4.41
29
Omanyte
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$210
0.70×
2.0000%
$4.20
13m 21s
30
Dodrio
1999 Pokemon · psa 10.0
$206
0.69×
2.0000%
$4.13
31
Misty's Tentacruel
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 9.0
$203
0.68×
2.0000%
$4.07
32
Magneton
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$199
0.66×
2.0000%
$3.98
33
Scyther
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$194
0.65×
2.0000%
$3.89
13m 21s
34
Jumpluff
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 9.0
$193
0.64×
2.0000%
$3.86
46m 25s
35
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$193
0.64×
2.0000%
$3.85
36
Dark Slowbro
2000 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$193
0.64×
2.0000%
$3.85
37
Farfetch'd
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$191
0.64×
2.0000%
$3.82
38
Meganium
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 7.0
$187
0.62×
2.0000%
$3.74
39
Pidgeotto
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$186
0.62×
2.0000%
$3.72
40
Pidgeotto
1999 Pokemon · psa 8.0
$186
0.62×
2.0000%
$3.72
41
Dark Vileplume
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$181
0.60×
2.0000%
$3.62
46m 25s
42
Feraligatr
2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 5.0
$179
0.60×
2.0000%
$3.58
43
Giovanni's Nidoking
2000 Pokemon GH · psa 7.0
$177
0.59×
2.0000%
$3.54
44
Charmander
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$177
0.59×
2.0000%
$3.54
35m 58s
45
Charmander
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$173
0.58×
2.0000%
$3.45
46
Farfetch'd
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 10.0
$172
0.57×
2.0000%
$3.45
47
Scizor
2001 Pokemon Neo Genesis · psa 6.0
$170
0.57×
2.0000%
$3.40
48
Vaporeon
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$170
0.57×
2.0000%
$3.39
49
Machamp
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$157
0.52×
2.0000%
$3.14
50
Starmie
1999 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$156
0.52×
2.0000%
$3.12
51
Charmeleon
1999 Pokemon · psa 7.0
$136
0.45×
2.0000%
$2.72
52
Dark Golduck
2000 Pokemon · csg 10.0
$120
0.40×
2.0000%
$2.40
53
Dark Vaporeon
2000 Pokemon · psa 9.0
$120
0.40×
2.0000%
$2.40
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$261.10
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