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Rising Stars Starter
Special Series $100
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
26.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -31.1% to -0.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
6.08%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.080%
grail odds
Median pull
$75
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 74% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Jackson Chourio
Grail
2022 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$2,631
26.31×
—
0.0800%
$2.10
14d
2
Malik Nabers
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$340
3.40×
—
2.0000%
$6.80
12d
3
Bobby Witt Jr.
2022 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$317
3.17×
—
2.0000%
$6.34
12d
4
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$250
2.50×
—
2.0000%
$5.00
12d
5
Malik Nabers
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$152
1.52×
—
2.0000%
$3.04
12d
6
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$149
1.49×
—
2.0000%
$2.98
12d
7
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$144
1.44×
—
2.0000%
$2.88
12d
8
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$127
1.27×
—
2.0000%
$2.54
12d
9
Paul Skenes
2024 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$125
1.25×
—
2.0000%
$2.51
12d
10
Caleb Williams/Jayden Daniels/Drake Maye
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$115
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$2.29
12d
11
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$114
1.14×
—
2.0000%
$2.28
12d
12
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$113
1.13×
—
2.0000%
$2.26
12d
13
Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Black & White · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
2.0000%
$2.19
12d
14
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$104
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$2.08
12d
15
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$1.89
12d
16
Malik Nabers
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$94
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$1.88
12d
17
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$88
0.88×
—
2.0000%
$1.75
12d
18
Jaxson Dart
2025 Donruss Rookies & Highlights · psa 10.0
$82
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$1.65
12d
19
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$1.62
12d
20
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.60
12d
21
Rome Odunze
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.59
12d
22
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$78
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$1.56
12d
23
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$1.54
12d
24
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.52
12d
25
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.52
12d
26
Puka Nacua
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$1.50
12d
27
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Heritage · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$1.44
12d
28
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$1.44
12d
29
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$1.40
12d
30
Anthony Edwards
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$1.40
12d
31
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$68
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$1.36
12d
32
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$1.32
12d
33
Cam Ward
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$1.28
12d
34
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$1.25
12d
35
Jahmyr Gibbs
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$1.16
12d
36
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$1.16
12d
37
Brock Bowers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$1.11
12d
38
Jahmyr Gibbs
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$1.11
12d
39
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$1.11
12d
40
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$1.10
12d
41
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.08
12d
42
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.07
12d
43
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$1.06
12d
44
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$1.04
12d
45
Jackson Chourio
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$50
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$1.01
12d
46
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$49
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$0.98
12d
47
Jahmyr Gibbs
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini National Treasures · psa 8.0
$48
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$0.96
12d
48
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$0.96
12d
49
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$46
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$0.92
12d
50
Anthony Edwards
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$0.91
12d
51
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$0.91
12d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$93.49
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