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Rookie Black
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
21.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -28.6% to -18.0%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$676
0.68× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Travis Hunter
Pop 1
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
2
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Fire · psa 9.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
3
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Sticker & Card Collection · psa 10.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
4
RJ Barrett
2019-20 Panini Crown Royale · beckett 9.5
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
5
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.5
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
6
Tom Brady
2000 Upper Deck · beckett 8.5
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
7
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
8
Baker Mayfield
No Market Comps Found
2018 Panini Playoff · psa 10.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
9
Jalen Johnson
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
10
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$376
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$7.52
—
11
DeVonta Smith
2021 Panini Clearly Donruss · beckett 9.5
$400
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.00
—
12
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$457
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$9.13
—
13
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Origins · psa 10.0
$489
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.78
—
14
De'Aaron Fox
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$490
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.80
—
15
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Fleer · psa 10.0
$509
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.18
—
16
Nolan Ryan/Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Throwback Thursday · psa 10.0
$520
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.41
—
17
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Triple Dimensions · psa 8.0
$538
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.76
—
18
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$544
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.88
—
19
Chris Paul
2005-06 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5
$560
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.20
—
20
Josh Allen
2018 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$570
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.40
—
21
Mike Trout
2011 Bowman Chrome Draft · psa 10.0
$571
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.43
—
22
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.54
—
23
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$631
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.62
—
24
Jaxson Dart
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$661
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.22
—
25
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice Los Angeles Lakers · psa 10.0
$664
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.27
—
26
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Holiday · psa 10.0
$676
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$13.52
—
27
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 10.0
$688
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.76
—
28
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 8.0
$709
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.18
—
29
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$737
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$14.74
—
30
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 9.0
$763
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.26
—
31
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$783
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$15.66
—
32
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$808
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$16.15
—
33
Quinshon Judkins
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$856
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.13
—
34
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$856
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.13
—
35
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Bowman’s Best · psa 10.0
$859
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$17.18
—
36
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$875
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.50
—
37
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$880
0.88×
—
2.0000%
$17.60
—
38
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Advent Calendar · psa 10.0
$889
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$17.78
—
39
Malik Nabers
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$897
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$17.94
—
40
Tom Brady
No Market Comps Found
2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · psa 8.0
$1,075
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$21.50
—
41
George Kittle
2017 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$1,075
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$21.50
—
42
Elly De La Cruz
2024 Topps Heritage · psa 10.0
$1,099
1.10×
—
2.0000%
$21.98
—
43
LeBron James
2003-04 Bowman · psa 9.0
$1,118
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$22.36
—
44
Ken Griffey Jr.
1989 Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,154
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$23.08
—
45
Saquon Barkley
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$1,200
1.20×
—
2.0000%
$24.00
—
46
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$1,218
1.22×
—
2.0000%
$24.36
—
47
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,371
1.37×
—
2.0000%
$27.43
—
48
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · beckett 9.0
$1,371
1.37×
—
2.0000%
$27.43
—
49
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,582
1.58×
—
2.0000%
$31.65
—
50
Cooper Flagg
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Finest · psa 9.0
$1,582
1.58×
—
2.0000%
$31.65
—
51
Aaron Judge
2017 Bowman · psa 10.0
$13,622
13.62×
—
0.0100%
$1.36
—
52
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2023-24 Topps Royalty · psa 9.0
$14,650
14.65×
—
0.0100%
$1.47
—
53
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.0
$21,500
21.50×
—
0.0100%
$2.15
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$747.26
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