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GOAT-Elite
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
2.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -26.8% to -12.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.00%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.000%
grail odds
Median pull
$366
0.73× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $500 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$1,054
2.11×
—
2.0000%
$21.07
—
2
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$941
1.88×
—
2.0000%
$18.82
29d
3
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps · psa 10.0
$768
1.54×
—
2.0000%
$15.37
29d
4
Michael Jordan
1995 Upper Deck Collector's Choice SE · psa 10.0
$666
1.33×
—
2.0000%
$13.32
29d
5
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$508
1.02×
—
2.0000%
$10.17
29d
6
Babe Ruth
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$506
1.01×
—
2.0000%
$10.12
29d
7
Michael Jordan
2003-04 Upper Deck Standing O · psa 10.0
$504
1.01×
—
2.0000%
$10.08
—
8
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0
$500
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$10.00
29d
9
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1998-99 Fleer Tradition · beckett 9.5
$495
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.90
29d
10
Michael Jordan
1993-94 SkyBox Premium · psa 10.0
$495
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.90
29d
11
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Gold Label · psa 9.0
$474
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$9.49
29d
12
Mike Trout
2013 Topps Heritage · psa 10.0
$464
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$9.28
29d
13
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$459
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$9.18
29d
14
Ken Griffey Jr.
1989 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$456
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$9.12
29d
15
Ken Griffey Jr.
1997 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 9.0
$447
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$8.94
29d
16
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$446
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$8.92
—
17
LeBron James
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$403
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.06
—
18
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$393
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$7.87
—
19
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0
$392
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$7.84
—
20
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$388
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$7.75
—
21
Peyton Manning
2003 Upper Deck SP Signature Edition · psa 10.0
$371
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.42
29d
22
Kobe Bryant
2019-20 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$369
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.38
29d
23
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$368
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.36
29d
24
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Topps Stadium Club · psa 8.0
$367
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.34
29d
25
Mickey Mantle
1958 Topps · psa 1.0
$366
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.32
29d
26
Tom Brady
2010 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$352
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$7.03
29d
27
Mookie Betts
2014 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$347
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$6.95
29d
28
Shohei Ohtani
2022 Topps Gold Label · psa 10.0
$337
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.74
29d
29
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Upper Deck HoloGrFX · psa 9.0
$333
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.65
29d
30
Shohei Ohtani
2018-19 Topps Now Offseason · psa 10.0
$329
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.58
—
31
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Now Moment of the Week · psa 10.0
$323
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$6.46
—
32
Shohei Ohtani
2022 Stadium Club Chrome · psa 10.0
$322
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.44
29d
33
LeBron James
2003-04 Topps Bazooka · psa 9.0
$320
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.40
—
34
Mickey Mantle
1961 Topps · psa 1.0
$316
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.33
29d
35
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$315
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.30
29d
36
Mickey Mantle
1962 Topps · psa 2.0
$315
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.30
—
37
Kobe Bryant/Lebron James
2004-05 SkyBox Fresh Ink · psa 9.0
$307
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.13
29d
38
Pete Rose
1987 Topps · psa 10.0
$301
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$6.02
29d
39
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Topps X Sports Illustrated · psa 10.0
$287
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.74
—
40
Roberto Clemente
1971 Topps · psa 5.5
$283
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.66
29d
41
Hank Aaron/Willie Mays
1964 Topps · psa 6.0
$281
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.62
29d
42
Tom Brady
2000 Impact · psa 8.0
$272
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$5.44
29d
43
Mickey Mantle
1959 Topps · psa 1.0
$264
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.29
—
44
Tim Duncan
No Market Comps Found
2018-19 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
29d
45
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
46
Mookie Betts
1 of 1
2022 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
29d
47
Tom Brady
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$185
0.37×
—
2.0000%
$3.70
—
48
Michael Jordan
2021 Skybox Metal Universe Champions · psa 8.0
$168
0.34×
—
2.0000%
$3.36
29d
49
Tom Brady
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$101
0.20×
—
2.0000%
$2.02
—
50
Patrick Mahomes II
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$90
0.18×
—
2.0000%
$1.80
29d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$387.00
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