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Quarterback Pack Pro

Special Series $500 COOL
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EV
-36.0%
Snapshot from 52d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 368 polls
Max pull
0.9×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 368 polls
Range: -36.0% to -11.8%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.00%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.000%
grail odds
Median pull
$298
0.60× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 100% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $500 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Quarterback Pack Pro · Special Series · $500 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 37.50% chance .35-.55 38% .55-.75× pack price — 37.50% chance .55-.75 38% .75-.9× pack price — 15.00% chance .75-.9 15% .9-1× pack price — 10.00% chance .9-1 10% 1-1.25× pack price — 0.00% chance 1-1.25 0% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.25-1.75 0% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× as of Jul 29, 2026 · 11:52 PM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Lamar Jackson · 2018 Panini Donruss Optic · PSA 9 pulled
2m 17s ago
$331
Justin Herbert · 2023 Panini Absolute · PSA 10 pulled
2m 17s ago
$1,002
Jalen Hurts · 2020 Panini Obsidian · PSA 10 added
2m 17s ago
$370
Tyler Shough · 2025 Panini Donruss · PSA 10 added
2m 17s ago
$749
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

40 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$219
0.44×
2.5000%
$5.47
2
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$227
0.45×
2.5000%
$5.68
3
Aaron Rodgers
2012 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$239
0.48×
2.5000%
$5.98
4
Patrick Mahomes II Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$254
0.51×
2.5000%
$6.34
5
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$254
0.51×
2.5000%
$6.34
6
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$261
0.52×
2.5000%
$6.53
7
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$264
0.53×
2.5000%
$6.60
8
Caleb Williams Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$269
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.73
9
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$269
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.73
10
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$269
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.73
11
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$269
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.73
12
Lamar Jackson
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$272
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.80
13
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$272
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.80
14
Caleb Williams
2024 Topps Signature Class · psa 9.0
$272
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.80
15
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$272
0.54×
2.5000%
$6.80
16
Jordan Love
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$275
0.55×
2.5000%
$6.88
17
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$278
0.56×
2.5000%
$6.96
18
Baker Mayfield
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$280
0.56×
2.5000%
$7.00
19
Jordan Love
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$282
0.56×
2.5000%
$7.05
20
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$295
0.59×
2.5000%
$7.38
21
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$298
0.60×
2.5000%
$7.45
22
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$299
0.60×
2.5000%
$7.49
23
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$300
0.60×
2.5000%
$7.50
24
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 10.0
$300
0.60×
2.5000%
$7.50
25
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$307
0.61×
2.5000%
$7.67
26
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$325
0.65×
2.5000%
$8.12
27
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$332
0.66×
2.5000%
$8.29
28
Patrick Mahomes II/Len Dawson
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$349
0.70×
2.5000%
$8.72
29
Caleb Williams
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$351
0.70×
2.5000%
$8.78
30
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$359
0.72×
2.5000%
$8.97
31
Lamar Jackson
2023 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$378
0.76×
2.5000%
$9.45
32
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$378
0.76×
2.5000%
$9.45
33
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$405
0.81×
2.5000%
$10.12
34
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$406
0.81×
2.5000%
$10.15
35
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$436
0.87×
2.5000%
$10.90
36
Lamar Jackson
2022 Panini Black · psa 10.0
$445
0.89×
2.5000%
$11.12
37
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$457
0.91×
2.5000%
$11.41
38
Caleb Williams No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Mosaic · beckett 9.0
$457
0.91×
2.5000%
$11.41
39
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$457
0.91×
2.5000%
$11.41
40
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$474
0.95×
2.5000%
$11.85
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$320.11
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