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Quarterback Pack Pro
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.6×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -17.6% to -5.3%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
6.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$384
0.77× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
24% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Jalen Hurts
2024 Panini Prestige · psa 10.0
$206
0.41×
—
2.0000%
$4.12
—
2
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$206
0.41×
—
2.0000%
$4.12
—
3
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$223
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$4.46
—
4
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$226
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$4.51
—
5
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$228
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
6
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$228
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
7
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$244
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.88
—
8
Joe Burrow
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$244
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.88
—
9
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$248
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$4.97
—
10
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$259
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$5.18
—
11
Brock Purdy
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$263
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.26
—
12
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$265
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.30
—
13
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$272
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$5.44
—
14
Josh Allen
2018 Panini The National VIP · psa 10.0
$291
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$5.82
—
15
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$310
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.21
—
16
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Encased · beckett 9.5
$310
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.21
—
17
Patrick Mahomes II
2019 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$311
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.22
—
18
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$335
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.70
—
19
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$336
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.72
—
20
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$346
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$6.93
—
21
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$360
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.21
—
22
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$364
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.28
—
23
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$365
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.29
—
24
Jaxson Dart
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$378
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.57
—
25
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$384
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.69
—
26
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$384
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.69
—
27
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$396
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$7.92
—
28
Patrick Mahomes II/Len Dawson
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$404
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.07
—
29
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$404
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.09
—
30
Lamar Jackson
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$408
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.15
—
31
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$410
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.19
—
32
Matthew Stafford
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$428
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.57
—
33
Matthew Stafford
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$430
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.60
—
34
Baker Mayfield
2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$432
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.64
—
35
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$449
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$8.98
—
36
Caleb Williams
2025 Panini Origins · psa 9.0
$470
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$9.40
—
37
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$470
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$9.41
—
38
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0
$473
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$9.46
—
39
Aaron Rodgers
2012 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$517
1.03×
—
2.0000%
$10.34
—
40
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$535
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$10.70
—
41
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$554
1.11×
—
2.0000%
$11.08
—
42
Aaron Rodgers
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$562
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$11.25
—
43
Matthew Stafford
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$576
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$11.52
—
44
Justin Herbert
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$618
1.24×
—
2.0000%
$12.37
—
45
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$656
1.31×
—
2.0000%
$13.12
—
46
Matthew Stafford
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$678
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$13.56
—
47
Jalen Hurts
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$705
1.41×
—
2.0000%
$14.10
—
48
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,567
3.13×
—
2.0000%
$31.34
—
49
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,646
3.29×
—
2.0000%
$32.92
—
50
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,706
3.41×
—
2.0000%
$34.13
—
51
Joe Burrow
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$6,412
12.82×
—
0.0200%
$1.28
—
52
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$6,412
12.82×
—
0.0200%
$1.28
—
53
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
1 of 1
2020 Panini Encased · psa 8.0
$15,300
30.60×
—
0.0200%
$3.06
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$467.32
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