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Downtown Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
-21.5%
6d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
18.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -29.5% to -18.0%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$647
0.65× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
15% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Peyton Manning
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$460
0.46×
—
2.1700%
$9.98
6d
2
Zay Flowers
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$461
0.46×
—
2.1700%
$10.01
5d
3
Brock Purdy
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$500
0.50×
—
2.1700%
$10.86
4d
4
Jaylen Waddle
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$502
0.50×
—
2.1700%
$10.89
4d
5
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$505
0.51×
—
2.1700%
$10.97
5d
6
Adrian Peterson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$525
0.53×
—
2.1700%
$11.40
5d
7
Justin Herbert
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$532
0.53×
—
2.1700%
$11.53
4d
8
Steve Young
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$535
0.54×
—
2.1700%
$11.61
4d
9
Roger Staubach/Drew Pearson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$535
0.54×
—
2.1700%
$11.61
5d
10
Zay Flowers
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$538
0.54×
—
2.1700%
$11.68
5d
11
Derrick Henry
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$539
0.54×
—
2.1700%
$11.70
5d
12
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$552
0.55×
—
2.1700%
$11.98
4d
13
Joe Montana
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$565
0.56×
—
2.1700%
$12.25
5d
14
DeVonta Smith
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$570
0.57×
—
2.1700%
$12.37
6d
15
Travis Kelce
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$573
0.57×
—
2.1700%
$12.43
4d
16
Saquon Barkley
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$574
0.57×
—
2.1700%
$12.46
6d
17
Rome Odunze
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$576
0.58×
—
2.1700%
$12.49
6d
18
Drake London
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$592
0.59×
—
2.1700%
$12.85
4d
19
Jordan Love
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$615
0.62×
—
2.1700%
$13.35
6d
20
Aaron Jones
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$620
0.62×
—
2.1700%
$13.45
4d
21
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$620
0.62×
—
2.1700%
$13.45
5d
22
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$622
0.62×
—
2.1700%
$13.49
6d
23
Alvin Kamara
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$627
0.63×
—
2.1700%
$13.61
4d
24
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$647
0.65×
—
2.1700%
$14.04
5d
25
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$647
0.65×
—
2.1700%
$14.04
4d
26
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$648
0.65×
—
2.1700%
$14.07
5d
27
Dereck Lively II
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$649
0.65×
—
2.1700%
$14.08
6d
28
Garrett Wilson
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$660
0.66×
—
2.1700%
$14.31
5d
29
Rob Gronkowski
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$678
0.68×
—
2.1700%
$14.71
5d
30
Rob Gronkowski
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$689
0.69×
—
2.1700%
$14.95
4d
31
Dak Prescott
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$757
0.76×
—
2.1700%
$16.43
6d
32
T.J. Watt
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$812
0.81×
—
2.1700%
$17.62
6d
33
Justin Jefferson
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$815
0.81×
—
2.1700%
$17.69
6d
34
Jerry Rice
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$824
0.82×
—
2.1700%
$17.88
5d
35
Adrian Peterson
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$830
0.83×
—
2.1700%
$18.01
7d
36
Travis Hunter
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$835
0.83×
—
2.1700%
$18.12
5d
37
Odell Beckham Jr.
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$864
0.86×
—
2.1700%
$18.75
5d
38
Adrian Peterson
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$887
0.89×
—
2.1700%
$19.25
6d
39
Brock Purdy
2024 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 8.0
$920
0.92×
—
2.1700%
$19.96
6d
40
Lamar Jackson
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,120
1.12×
—
2.1700%
$24.30
5d
41
Ja'Marr Chase
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,122
1.12×
—
2.1700%
$24.34
5d
42
Karl-Anthony Towns
2016-17 Panini Studio · psa 10.0
$1,141
1.14×
—
2.1700%
$24.77
7d
43
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Panini One and One · psa 9.0
$1,194
1.19×
—
2.1700%
$25.91
7d
44
Troy Aikman
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,284
1.28×
—
2.1700%
$27.85
6d
45
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,365
1.36×
—
2.1700%
$29.62
4d
46
Brett Favre
2019 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,376
1.38×
—
2.1700%
$29.85
6d
47
Peyton Manning
Grail
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$6,596
6.60×
—
0.0100%
$0.66
7d
48
Tom Brady
Grail
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$12,537
12.54×
—
0.0100%
$1.25
—
49
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$18,000
18.00×
—
0.0100%
$1.80
7d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$730.70
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