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Serial Hits Starter
Special Series $100 WARM
Peak 7d
+6.7%
8h ago
% life +EV
7%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
24.6×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -30.0% to +6.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$70
0.70× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 80% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Ben Rice
Grail
2025 Topps Chrome Update Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$2,463
24.63×
0.0300%
$0.74
22h
2
Luka Doncic
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$1,306
13.06×
0.0300%
$0.39
22h
3
LeBron James
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$1,047
10.47×
0.0300%
$0.31
18h
4
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$170
1.70×
2.0000%
$3.40
8h
5
Tom Brady
2008 Topps Finest · beckett 9.5
$170
1.70×
2.0000%
$3.40
9h
6
Alexandre Sarr
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$161
1.61×
2.0000%
$3.22
7h
7
Jackson Holliday
2024 Topps Pristine · psa 10.0
$154
1.54×
2.0000%
$3.08
7h
8
Marvin Harrison
2003 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$151
1.51×
—
2.0000%
$3.02
6h
9
Justin Jefferson
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$147
1.47×
—
2.0000%
$2.94
56m 23s
10
Kyle Williams
2006 Upper Deck SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$126
1.26×
—
2.0000%
$2.52
8h
11
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$108
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$2.16
6h
12
Matas Buzelis
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$2.14
7h
13
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$104
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$2.08
6h
14
Patrick Mahomes II
2022 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.86
9h
15
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.86
6h
16
Randy Moss
2002 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$92
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$1.84
7h
17
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$91
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$1.82
2h
18
Paolo Banchero
2023 Panini The National VIP · psa 10.0
$85
0.85×
—
2.0000%
$1.70
3h
19
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$1.66
1h
20
Ron Holland II
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$1.54
12m 1s
21
Lamar Jackson
Pop 1
2022 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.52
9h
22
Jaxson Dart
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$1.48
6h
23
Jaycee Horn
No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$1.48
7h
24
Anthony Edwards
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.46
1h
25
Francisco Alvarez
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.46
3h
26
Nico Collins
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.45
7h
27
Ladd McConkey
2024 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$1.43
1h
28
Tyreek Hill
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$1.40
39m 31s
29
Jayson Tatum
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$69
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$1.38
6h
30
Bennedict Mathurin
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$1.32
8h
31
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$65
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$1.30
1h
32
LaDainian Tomlinson
2008 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$1.28
9h
33
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$1.26
17m 32s
34
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps High Tek · psa 9.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
7h
35
Malik Willis
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
1h
36
Dustin Harris
2022 Bowman · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$1.22
6h
37
Jalen Hurts
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$1.20
8h
38
Jayden Reed
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.08
7h
39
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.07
4h
40
Gunnar Henderson
2023 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$49
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$0.98
8h
41
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
2.0000%
$0.94
8h
42
Kyle Harrison
2024 Topps Chrome Black · psa 10.0
$44
0.44×
—
2.0000%
$0.89
6h
43
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6h
44
Isaac Okoro
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
9h
45
Kevin Garnett
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Donruss Elite · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
8h
46
Alfredo Duno
2023 Bowman Inception · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
7h
47
Ben Skowronek
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
7h
48
Bryce Young
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
3h
49
Jhoan Duran
2025 Topps Chrome Update · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6h
50
Joe Burrow
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
7h
51
Heliot Ramos
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2020 Bowman · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6h
52
Dirk Nowitzki
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6m 22s
53
Corbin Carroll
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$24
0.24×
—
2.0000%
$0.47
1h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$78.24
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