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Prizm

Special Series $200
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EV
-20.1%
Snapshot from 83d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
37.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -28.5% to -2.9%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.02%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$150
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 73% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $200 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Prizm · Special Series · $200 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 24.99% chance .35-.55 25% .55-.75× pack price — 22.91% chance .55-.75 23% .75-.9× pack price — 24.99% chance .75-.9 25% .9-1× pack price — 0.00% chance .9-1 0% 1-1.25× pack price — 18.74% chance 1-1.25 19% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 8.34% chance 1.25-1.75 8% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.020% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 38× as of Jul 1, 2026 · 9:29 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Joe Burrow · 2020 Panini Prizm pulled
83d ago
$212
Jalen Hurts · 2020 Panini Prizm pulled
83d ago
$117
George Pickens · 2022 Panini Prizm pulled
83d ago
$200
Jordan Love · 2020 Panini Prizm · PSA added
83d ago
$125
Live activity is Pro
See pulls and adds as they happen
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

51 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Stephen Curry Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0
$7,500
37.50×
0.0100%
$0.75
2
Kobe Bryant
2012-13 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.5
$7,500
37.50×
0.0100%
$0.75
3
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$331
1.66×
2.0827%
$6.90
4
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$331
1.66×
2.0827%
$6.90
5
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$331
1.66×
2.0827%
$6.90
6
Patrick Mahomes II
2020 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.5
$331
1.66×
0.0100%
$0.03
7
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$290
1.45×
2.0827%
$6.04
8
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$224
1.12×
2.0827%
$4.67
9
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$224
1.12×
2.0827%
$4.67
10
Donovan Mitchell
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$224
1.12×
2.0827%
$4.67
11
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$207
1.03×
2.0827%
$4.31
12
Reed Sheppard
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$200
1.00×
2.0827%
$4.17
13
Anfernee Hardaway
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$200
1.00×
2.0827%
$4.17
14
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$200
1.00×
2.0827%
$4.17
15
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$200
1.00×
2.0827%
$4.17
16
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$200
1.00×
2.0827%
$4.17
17
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$171
0.85×
2.0827%
$3.56
18
Brock Purdy No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$171
0.85×
2.0827%
$3.55
19
Ladd McConkey
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$171
0.85×
2.0827%
$3.55
20
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$170
0.85×
2.0827%
$3.54
21
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$170
0.85×
2.0827%
$3.54
22
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$166
0.83×
2.0827%
$3.46
23
Travis Kelce
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$166
0.83×
2.0827%
$3.46
24
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$152
0.76×
2.0827%
$3.16
25
Brock Purdy
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$150
0.75×
2.0827%
$3.12
26
Alperen Sengun No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$150
0.75×
2.0827%
$3.12
27
Jalen Johnson
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$150
0.75×
2.0827%
$3.12
28
Daniel Jones
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$150
0.75×
2.0827%
$3.12
29
Karl-Anthony Towns
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$138
0.69×
2.0827%
$2.87
30
Rob Dillingham
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$138
0.69×
2.0827%
$2.87
31
Jahmyr Gibbs
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$125
0.63×
2.0827%
$2.61
32
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$125
0.63×
2.0827%
$2.61
33
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$125
0.62×
2.0827%
$2.60
34
Franz Wagner Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$125
0.62×
2.0827%
$2.60
35
Stephen Curry
2014-15 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$125
0.62×
2.0827%
$2.60
36
Ja’Marr Chase
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$125
0.62×
2.0827%
$2.60
37
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$125
0.62×
2.0827%
$2.60
38
Pat Tillman
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$120
0.60×
2.0827%
$2.50
39
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$117
0.58×
2.0827%
$2.44
40
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$105
0.53×
2.0827%
$2.19
41
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$105
0.53×
2.0827%
$2.19
42
Lamar Jackson
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$102
0.51×
2.0827%
$2.12
43
Stephen Curry No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$95
0.47×
2.0827%
$1.98
44
Scottie Barnes
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$95
0.47×
2.0827%
$1.98
45
Zay Flowers
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$95
0.47×
2.0827%
$1.98
46
Edgerrin Cooper
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$95
0.47×
2.0827%
$1.98
47
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$95
0.47×
2.0827%
$1.98
48
Devin Booker
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$90
0.45×
2.0827%
$1.88
49
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$80
0.40×
2.0827%
$1.67
50
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$80
0.40×
2.0827%
$1.67
51
Anthony Edwards
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$75
0.38×
2.0827%
$1.56
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$159.85
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