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Japanese Pokemon Night

Special Series $500
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EV
-12.2%
Snapshot from 50d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
29.4×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -25.6% to -5.6%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
6.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$311
0.62× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $500 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Japanese Pokemon Night · Special Series · $500 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 30.00% chance .35-.55 30% .55-.75× pack price — 32.00% chance .55-.75 32% .75-.9× pack price — 14.00% chance .75-.9 14% .9-1× pack price — 10.00% chance .9-1 10% 1-1.25× pack price — 8.00% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.25-1.75 0% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 4.00% chance 1.75-2.5 4% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 2.00% chance 4-7 2% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.060% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.030% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 29× as of Aug 3, 2026 · 8:06 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Feraligatr · 2000 Pokemon Neo JPN pulled
50d ago
$306
Shibuya's Pikachu · 2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · PSA added
50d ago
$224
Umbreon VMAX · 2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN pulled
50d ago
$186
Espeon · 2023 Pokemon SV JPN · PSA added
50d ago
$185
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Psyduck Grail
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$14,681
29.36×
0.0300%
$4.40
2
Pikachu Grail
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$12,315
24.63×
0.0300%
$3.69
3
Latios & Latias GX Grail
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$7,888
15.78×
0.0300%
$2.37
4
Regigigas LV.X
2009 Pokemon JPN Regigigas LV. X Collection Pack · psa 10.0
$3,240
6.48×
2.0000%
$64.80
5
Grimer
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 10.0
$1,118
2.24×
2.0000%
$22.36
6
Lugia V
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$1,053
2.11×
2.0000%
$21.05
7
Charizard
1996 Pokemon JPN · psa 6.0
$605
1.21×
2.0000%
$12.09
8
Lugia EX
2013 Pokemon B&W JPN · psa 10.0
$586
1.17×
2.0000%
$11.72
9
Charizard
2000 Pokemon Neo 2 JPN · psa 9.0
$545
1.09×
2.0000%
$10.90
10
Dark Espeon
2001 Pokemon Neo 4 JPN · psa 9.0
$517
1.03×
2.0000%
$10.33
11
Dragonite
1998 Pokemon JPN · psa 8.0
$493
0.99×
2.0000%
$9.87
12
Mew ex
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$492
0.98×
2.0000%
$9.85
13
Ancient Mew II
1999 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$473
0.95×
2.0000%
$9.46
14
Pikachu ex
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$460
0.92×
2.0000%
$9.21
15
Dark Espeon
2001 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 9.0
$453
0.91×
2.0000%
$9.07
16
Jirachi
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$443
0.89×
2.0000%
$8.86
17
Jirachi
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$443
0.89×
2.0000%
$8.86
18
Charizard ex
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$436
0.87×
2.0000%
$8.72
19
Eevee & Snorlax GX
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$429
0.86×
2.0000%
$8.58
20
Charizard
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$423
0.85×
2.0000%
$8.46
21
M Rayquaza EX
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$388
0.78×
2.0000%
$7.76
22
M Rayquaza EX
2017 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$379
0.76×
2.0000%
$7.58
23
Umbreon V
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 9.0
$342
0.68×
2.0000%
$6.85
24
Dark Blastoise
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$338
0.68×
2.0000%
$6.75
25
Gengar/Mimikyu GX
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$325
0.65×
2.0000%
$6.50
26
Magikarp & Wailord GX
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$324
0.65×
2.0000%
$6.47
27
Rocket's Articuno ex
2004 Pokemon EX JPN · psa 8.0
$320
0.64×
2.0000%
$6.40
28
Mimikyu GX
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$311
0.62×
2.0000%
$6.22
29
Dark Charizard
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 8.0
$310
0.62×
2.0000%
$6.21
30
M Charizard EX
2014 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$310
0.62×
2.0000%
$6.19
31
Meganium
2000 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 10.0
$308
0.62×
2.0000%
$6.16
32
Charizard VSTAR
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · beckett 10.0
$306
0.61×
2.0000%
$6.11
33
Mega Greninja ex
2026 Pokemon Mega Evolution JPN · psa 10.0
$306
0.61×
2.0000%
$6.11
34
Misty's Tears
1998 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$306
0.61×
2.0000%
$6.11
35
Light Arcanine
2001 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 9.0
$304
0.61×
2.0000%
$6.08
36
Celebi
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$297
0.59×
2.0000%
$5.94
37
Pikachu VMAX
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$292
0.58×
2.0000%
$5.84
38
Espeon & Deoxys GX
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$291
0.58×
2.0000%
$5.82
39
Umbreon
2003 Pokemon JPN · psa 8.0
$272
0.54×
2.0000%
$5.45
40
Pikachu V
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$271
0.54×
2.0000%
$5.42
41
Hitmontop
2009 Pokemon LGND JPN · psa 10.0
$261
0.52×
2.0000%
$5.22
42
Mewtwo/Mew GX
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 9.0
$249
0.50×
2.0000%
$4.98
43
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$247
0.49×
2.0000%
$4.94
44
Blue's Tactics
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 9.0
$244
0.49×
2.0000%
$4.88
45
Umbreon
2000 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 9.0
$236
0.47×
2.0000%
$4.71
46
Pikachu
2017 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$233
0.47×
2.0000%
$4.65
47
Shibuya's Pikachu
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 9.0
$224
0.45×
2.0000%
$4.47
48
Mewtwo VSTAR
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$221
0.44×
2.0000%
$4.41
49
Chansey
1996 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$208
0.42×
2.0000%
$4.16
50
Mega Meganium ex
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · csg 10.0
$202
0.40×
2.0000%
$4.05
51
Umbreon/Darkrai GX
2019 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$202
0.40×
2.0000%
$4.05
52
Eevee
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · csg 10.0
$200
0.40×
2.0000%
$4.00
53
Espeon
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$185
0.37×
2.0000%
$3.71
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$438.87
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