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Red White & Blue

Special Series $250
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EV
-21.7%
Snapshot from 78d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
17.9×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -31.2% to -10.4%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.04%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.040%
grail odds
Median pull
$169
0.68× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Red White & Blue · Special Series · $250 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 10.00% chance .2-.35 10% .35-.55× pack price — 8.00% chance .35-.55 8% .55-.75× pack price — 43.98% chance .55-.75 44% .75-.9× pack price — 19.99% chance .75-.9 20% .9-1× pack price — 2.00% chance .9-1 2% 1-1.25× pack price — 6.00% chance 1-1.25 6% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 8.00% chance 1.25-1.75 8% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.00% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.040% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 18× as of Jul 6, 2026 · 8:35 AM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Stephon Castle · 2025-26 Topps Chrome pulled
78d ago
$166
Luka Doncic · 2019-20 Panini Crown Royale pulled
78d ago
$156
Victor Wembanyama · 2024-25 Panini Select pulled
78d ago
$116
Keyonte George · 2023-24 Panini Mosaic pulled
78d ago
$124
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Tom Brady
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,469
17.88×
0.0133%
$0.60
2
Luka Doncic
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$4,089
16.36×
0.0133%
$0.55
3
Stephen Curry
2013-14 Panini Select · beckett 10.0
$4,089
16.36×
0.0133%
$0.55
4
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$704
2.82×
1.9992%
$14.07
5
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$420
1.68×
1.9992%
$8.40
6
Mookie Betts
2014 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$420
1.68×
1.9992%
$8.40
7
T.J. Watt
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$383
1.53×
1.9992%
$7.66
8
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$313
1.25×
1.9992%
$6.27
9
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$275
1.10×
1.9992%
$5.50
10
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$268
1.07×
1.9992%
$5.36
11
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$251
1.00×
1.9992%
$5.02
12
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$243
0.97×
1.9992%
$4.86
13
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire · psa 9.0
$217
0.87×
1.9992%
$4.33
14
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$215
0.86×
1.9992%
$4.30
15
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$214
0.86×
1.9992%
$4.28
16
Jalen Green
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$202
0.81×
1.9992%
$4.04
17
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$201
0.80×
1.9992%
$4.02
18
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Origins · psa 9.0
$201
0.80×
1.9992%
$4.02
19
Corbin Burnes
2019 Topps Heritage · psa 10.0
$200
0.80×
1.9992%
$4.00
20
Steph Curry
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
1.9992%
$3.92
21
Steph Curry
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
1.9992%
$3.92
22
Jayson Tatum
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$190
0.76×
1.9992%
$3.80
23
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$179
0.72×
1.9992%
$3.58
24
Cinderella
2024 Topps Chrome Disney Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$176
0.70×
1.9992%
$3.52
25
Tee Higgins
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$175
0.70×
1.9992%
$3.50
26
Peyton Manning
2014 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$173
0.69×
1.9992%
$3.46
27
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$171
0.68×
1.9992%
$3.42
28
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
1.9992%
$3.38
29
Matas Buzelis
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$166
0.66×
1.9992%
$3.32
30
Jayson Tatum
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$166
0.66×
1.9992%
$3.32
31
Anthony Black
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$164
0.66×
1.9992%
$3.28
32
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$163
0.65×
1.9992%
$3.26
33
Eduardo Tait
2024 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
1.9992%
$3.10
34
Team USA 3
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$154
0.62×
1.9992%
$3.08
35
Jalen Johnson
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$154
0.62×
1.9992%
$3.08
36
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$152
0.61×
1.9992%
$3.04
37
Rece Hinds
2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$150
0.60×
1.9992%
$3.00
38
Christian McCaffrey
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$150
0.60×
1.9992%
$2.99
39
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$149
0.60×
1.9992%
$2.98
40
Tom Brady
2017 Panini Classics · psa 10.0
$144
0.57×
1.9992%
$2.87
41
Paul Pierce Pop 1
2022-23 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$143
0.57×
1.9992%
$2.86
42
Puka Nacua
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$141
0.56×
1.9992%
$2.82
43
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$139
0.56×
1.9992%
$2.78
44
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$138
0.55×
1.9992%
$2.76
45
Jared Goff
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$133
0.53×
1.9992%
$2.66
46
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$124
0.50×
1.9992%
$2.48
47
Scottie Barnes
2021-22 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$124
0.50×
1.9992%
$2.48
48
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0
$121
0.48×
1.9992%
$2.42
49
Alex Bregman Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$86
0.34×
1.9992%
$1.72
50
Colston Loveland
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$86
0.34×
1.9992%
$1.72
51
Stephen Curry
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$86
0.34×
1.9992%
$1.72
52
LeBron James
2022-23 Panini Select · beckett 8.0
$86
0.34×
1.9992%
$1.72
53
Troy Aikman Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$86
0.34×
1.9992%
$1.72
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$195.86
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