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Hockey Pack
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
18.2×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -47.5% to -8.2%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.08%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.080%
grail odds
Median pull
$342
0.68× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
14% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Matthew Knies
2023-24 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$99
0.20×
—
2.0000%
$1.98
—
2
Wayne Gretzky
1995-96 Select Certified · psa 9.0
$103
0.21×
—
2.0000%
$2.05
—
3
Ilya Sorokin
2020-21 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$140
0.28×
—
2.0000%
$2.80
—
4
Auston Matthews
2024-25 Upper Deck Allure · psa 9.0
$182
0.36×
—
2.0000%
$3.64
—
5
Luke Hughes
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$185
0.37×
—
2.0000%
$3.70
—
6
Jack Eichel
2015-16 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
7
Juraj Slafkovsky
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Upper Deck Ultimate Collection · psa 8.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
8
Connor Bedard
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · sgc 9.5
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
9
Connor McDavid
2015-16 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
10
Leo Carlsson
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$214
0.43×
—
2.0000%
$4.28
—
11
Cole Caufield
2021-22 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$218
0.44×
—
2.0000%
$4.36
—
12
Connor Bedard
2023 Upper Deck Game Dated Moments · psa 10.0
$222
0.44×
—
2.0000%
$4.44
—
13
Jaromir Jagr
2021-22 Upper Deck Ultimate Collection · psa 8.0
$228
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
14
Taylor Heise
2024 Upper Deck PWHL · psa 10.0
$228
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
15
Connor Hellebuyck
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$229
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.58
—
16
Alexander Ovechkin
2005-06 Parkhurst · psa 10.0
$246
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.92
—
17
Leon Draisaitl
2014-15 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 9.0
$246
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.92
—
18
Brayden Point
2016-17 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$305
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.10
—
19
Macklin Celebrini/Will Smith
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$309
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.18
—
20
Luke Hughes
2023-24 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$310
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.20
—
21
Leon Draisaitl
2014-15 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$315
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.30
—
22
Nick Suzuki
2019-20 SP Game Used · psa 9.0
$319
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.38
—
23
Will Smith
2024-25 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$319
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.38
—
24
Jack Hughes
2019-20 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$330
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.60
—
25
Frank Nazar
2024-25 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$339
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.78
—
26
Patrick Roy
2022-23 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$342
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.84
—
27
Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$348
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$6.95
—
28
Auston Matthews
2016-17 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$348
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$6.95
—
29
Juraj Slafkovsky
2022-23 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$363
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.26
—
30
Connor Bedard
2023-24 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 9.0
$363
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$7.26
—
31
Lane Hutson
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$377
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$7.54
—
32
Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$380
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.59
—
33
Steven Stamkos
2008-09 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$399
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$7.97
—
34
Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 Upper Deck Credentials · psa 10.0
$413
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$8.25
—
35
Logan Cooley
2023-24 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$447
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$8.93
—
36
Evgeni Malkin
2006-07 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$472
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$9.43
—
37
Moritz Seider
2021-22 Upper Deck The Cup · psa 9.0
$472
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$9.44
—
38
Matthew Tkachuk
2016-17 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$472
0.94×
—
2.0000%
$9.44
—
39
Connor McDavid
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$486
0.97×
—
2.0000%
$9.71
—
40
Connor Bedard
2023-24 SP Game Used · psa 9.0
$494
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.88
—
41
Wayne Gretzky
2024 Upper Deck National Sports Collectors Convention Wrapper Redemption · sgc 9.0
$494
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.88
—
42
Simon Edvinsson
2024-25 O-Pee-Chee Platinum · psa 10.0
$494
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.88
—
43
Alexander Ovechkin
2005-06 Upper Deck · beckett 8.5
$494
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.88
—
44
Quinn Hughes
2019-20 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$506
1.01×
—
2.0000%
$10.12
—
45
Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 O-Pee-Chee · psa 10.0
$527
1.05×
—
2.0000%
$10.54
—
46
Connor McDavid
2023-24 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$607
1.21×
—
2.0000%
$12.14
—
47
Connor Bedard
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Upper Deck Clear Cut · psa 9.0
$757
1.51×
—
2.0000%
$15.15
—
48
David Pastrnak
2014-15 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$757
1.51×
—
2.0000%
$15.15
—
49
Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 Upper Deck Extended Series · psa 9.0
$818
1.64×
—
2.0000%
$16.36
—
50
Nikita Kucherov
2013-14 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$941
1.88×
—
2.0000%
$18.81
—
51
Wayne Gretzky
Grail
1979-80 O-Pee-Chee · psa 6.0
$9,117
18.23×
—
0.0800%
$7.29
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$376.36
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