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Downtown
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
-11.9%
6d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
32.4×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -24.4% to -11.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
4.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$359
0.72× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
18% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Joe Burrow
Grail
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$16,178
32.36×
—
0.0100%
$1.62
7d
2
Tom Brady
Grail
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$12,537
25.07×
—
0.0100%
$1.25
7d
3
Stephen Curry
Grail
2016-17 Panini Studio · psa 10.0
$12,067
24.13×
—
0.0100%
$1.21
—
4
Justin Jefferson
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,485
2.97×
—
2.0000%
$29.70
5d
5
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,365
2.73×
—
2.0000%
$27.30
4d
6
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$776
1.55×
—
2.0000%
$15.53
5d
7
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$647
1.29×
—
2.0000%
$12.94
5d
8
Rome Odunze
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$576
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$11.51
5d
9
Saquon Barkley
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$574
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$11.48
4d
10
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$574
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$11.48
5d
11
Justin Herbert
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$532
1.06×
—
2.0000%
$10.63
5d
12
Saquon Barkley
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$520
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$10.40
5d
13
DK Metcalf
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$490
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$9.80
4d
14
DK Metcalf
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$481
0.96×
—
2.0000%
$9.62
5d
15
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$420
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$8.40
5d
16
Joe Namath
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$410
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.20
5d
17
Calvin Johnson
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$408
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.16
5d
18
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$405
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.11
5d
19
Russell Wilson
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$398
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$7.95
5d
20
Jalen Hurts
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$397
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$7.94
5d
21
Travis Kelce
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$387
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.74
5d
22
Travis Kelce
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$387
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.74
4d
23
Kyle Pitts
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$382
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.65
5d
24
Breece Hall
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$378
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.56
5d
25
Zay Flowers
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$378
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.55
6d
26
Roger Staubach
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$371
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.42
5d
27
Cooper Kupp
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$361
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.23
5d
28
Dalvin Cook
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$359
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.18
5d
29
Roger Staubach/Drew Pearson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$350
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$7.00
5d
30
Omarion Hampton
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$340
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$6.80
5d
31
Archie Manning
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$336
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.71
5d
32
Quentin Johnston
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$334
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.69
6d
33
Omarion Hampton
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$334
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.69
5d
34
Terrell Davis
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$331
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.62
4d
35
Justin Herbert/Quentin Johnston
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$324
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$6.49
4d
36
Travis Hunter
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$322
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.45
5d
37
Najee Harris
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$316
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.31
5d
38
Najee Harris
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$316
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.31
5d
39
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$308
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$6.15
5d
40
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$306
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.12
5d
41
Brian Thomas Jr.
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$304
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.08
5d
42
Ken Anderson
2024 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 9.0
$300
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$6.00
5d
43
Omarion Hampton
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$285
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.70
5d
44
Jordan Addison
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$284
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.69
4d
45
Sam LaPorta
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$281
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.62
5d
46
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$270
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$5.40
5d
47
Najee Harris
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$268
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$5.36
5d
48
Chase Young
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$263
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.26
6d
49
Earl Campbell
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$262
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$5.25
5d
50
Brian Thomas Jr.
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$251
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$5.02
5d
51
Quentin Johnston
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$246
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.93
5d
52
Terrell Owens
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$144
0.29×
—
2.0000%
$2.88
5d
53
Terrell Owens
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$100
0.20×
—
2.0000%
$2.00
5d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$416.80
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