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Serial Hits Pro

Special Series $500
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EV
-27.5%
Snapshot from 20d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.6×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -33.1% to -22.9%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$322
0.64× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Serial Hits Pro · Special Series · $500 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.030% chance .05-.1 <0.1% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 2.00% chance .2-.35 2% .35-.55× pack price — 36.00% chance .35-.55 36% .55-.75× pack price — 30.00% chance .55-.75 30% .75-.9× pack price — 12.00% chance .75-.9 12% .9-1× pack price — 0.00% chance .9-1 0% 1-1.25× pack price — 10.00% chance 1-1.25 10% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 10.00% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.00% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.030% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.030% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 31× as of Oct 24, 2026 · 10:01 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Patrick Mahomes II Grail 1 of 1
2020 Panini Encased · psa 8.0
$15,300
30.60×
—
0.0300%
$4.59
22d
2
Ja'Marr Chase
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$8,132
16.26×
—
0.0300%
$2.44
22d
3
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$750
1.50×
—
2.0000%
$15.00
21d
4
Gunnar Henderson
2019 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$723
1.45×
—
2.0000%
$14.45
21d
5
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$711
1.42×
—
2.0000%
$14.22
21d
6
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$671
1.34×
—
2.0000%
$13.41
20d
7
Kevin Durant
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$644
1.29×
—
2.0000%
$12.88
20d
8
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Pristine · psa 10.0
$586
1.17×
—
2.0000%
$11.72
20d
9
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$573
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$11.46
20d
10
Josue Briceno
2025 Bowman · psa 9.0
$532
1.06×
—
2.0000%
$10.64
20d
11
Patrick Mahomes II
2019 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$531
1.06×
—
2.0000%
$10.62
20d
12
LeBron James
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$500
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$10.00
20d
13
Ricky Williams
1999 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$445
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$8.90
20d
14
Jayson Tatum
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$436
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$8.72
20d
15
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$414
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$8.29
20d
16
Kevin Durant
2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$395
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$7.90
20d
17
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman Sterling · psa 10.0
$387
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.74
20d
18
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$380
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$7.61
21d
19
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$370
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.40
21d
20
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$359
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.18
20d
21
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$358
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.16
20d
22
Paul Skenes
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$353
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$7.06
20d
23
Ken Griffey Jr.
2021 Topps Gold Label · psa 10.0
$350
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$7.00
21d
24
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Instant · psa 10.0
$336
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.73
20d
25
LeBron James
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$332
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.63
20d
26
Magic Johnson
2007-08 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$323
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$6.46
20d
27
Cade Cunningham
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$322
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.44
21d
28
Keyonte George
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$321
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$6.42
20d
29
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$315
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$6.30
20d
30
Cal Ripken Jr.
2025 Topps Black & White · psa 10.0
$304
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.08
21d
31
James Harden
2009-10 Bowman '48 · psa 10.0
$300
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$6.00
21d
32
Maxx Crosby
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$292
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$5.84
20d
33
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps · psa 10.0
$286
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.73
20d
34
Anthony Edwards Pop 1
2021-22 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
21d
35
Puka Nacua Grail
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$270
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$5.40
21d
36
Paolo Banchero
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$263
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.27
20d
37
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps 50/50 · psa 9.0
$259
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$5.18
21d
38
Ajay Mitchell
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$248
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$4.96
20d
39
Alex Sarr
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$248
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$4.96
21d
40
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$231
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.62
20d
41
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Bowman Mega Box · psa 10.0
$225
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$4.51
20d
42
Tony Parker No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
21d
43
Kevin Durant
2016-17 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
21d
44
Alonzo Mourning Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
20d
45
Luka Doncic
2018 Panini The National VIP · beckett 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
20d
46
Aaron Judge Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2026 Topps Chrome Black · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
20d
47
Kon Knueppel No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 8.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
20d
48
Pedro Martinez 1 of 1
2025 Topps Transcendent · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
21d
49
Stan Musial
2005 Upper Deck Baseball Heroes · beckett 9.5
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
21d
50
Nikola Jokic
2020-21 Panini Select · beckett 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
21d
51
Nikola Jokic No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
20d
52
Dodgers Duo
2026 Topps · psa 10.0
$157
0.31×
—
2.0000%
$3.14
20d
53
LeBron James Grail
2014-15 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.5
$35
0.07×
—
0.0300%
$0.01
22d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$362.54
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