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Serial Hits Pro
Special Series $500 WARM
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
6.9×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -42.5% to -16.2%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
4.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.000%
grail odds
Median pull
$288
0.58× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $500 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Kobe Bryant
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$3,451
6.90×
—
0.0300%
$1.04
28d
2
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2017 Panini Encased · beckett 9.5
$3,451
6.90×
—
0.0300%
$1.04
27d
3
Shohei Ohtani
Grail
2022 Stadium Club Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,451
6.90×
—
0.0300%
$1.04
28d
4
Tom Brady
2014 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,082
2.16×
—
2.0000%
$21.64
26d
5
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,062
2.12×
—
2.0000%
$21.24
26d
6
LeBron James
2021-22 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$756
1.51×
—
2.0000%
$15.13
26d
7
Josh Allen
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$679
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$13.58
26d
8
Aaron Judge
No Market Comps Found
2019 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5
$679
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$13.58
26d
9
Tom Brady
2005 Topps Draft Picks & Prospects · psa 8.0
$540
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$10.80
26d
10
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$514
1.03×
—
2.0000%
$10.28
26d
11
Mikal Bridges
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$506
1.01×
—
2.0000%
$10.12
4m 11s
12
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$436
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$8.73
26d
13
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$431
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.62
26d
14
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$426
0.85×
—
2.0000%
$8.52
26d
15
Peyton Manning
No Market Comps Found
2013 Topps Supreme · beckett 9.5
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
16
Derrick Henry
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2018 Panini National Treasures · psa 10.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
17
Stephon Castle
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
18
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
19
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
20
Stephen Curry
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Origins · psa 9.0
$402
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$8.04
26d
21
Bijan Robinson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$389
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$7.78
26d
22
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$384
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$7.68
26d
23
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$337
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.74
26d
24
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$333
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$6.66
26d
25
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$331
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.62
26d
26
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$306
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$6.12
26d
27
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0
$292
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$5.84
2h
28
Nik Bonitto
Pop 1
2022 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$288
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$5.76
26d
29
Mike Alstott
1998 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$288
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$5.76
26d
30
Jalen Hurts
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$283
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.66
26d
31
Jared McCain
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
32
Devin Booker
2015-16 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
33
Dan Marino
No Market Comps Found
2015 Topps Triple Threads · beckett 9.5
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
34
Tom Brady
No Market Comps Found
2008 Upper Deck Masterpieces · psa 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
35
Derrick Rose
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
36
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
37
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2023 Topps Dynasty · beckett 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
38
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps Update · beckett 9.5
$274
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$5.48
26d
39
Jackson Holliday
2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome · psa 10.0
$265
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.30
26d
40
Drake Maye
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$257
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$5.14
26d
41
Roman Anthony
2025 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$254
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$5.08
26d
42
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$254
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$5.08
26d
43
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman Sterling · psa 10.0
$253
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$5.06
26d
44
Jamal Murray
2016-17 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$246
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.92
26d
45
Corbin Carroll
2023 Topps Chrome Update · psa 9.0
$237
0.47×
—
2.0000%
$4.74
26d
46
Peyton Manning
2006 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$209
0.42×
—
2.0000%
$4.18
26d
47
Kyle Lodise
No Market Comps Found
2025 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
26d
48
Magic Johnson
2021-22 Panini One and One · beckett 8.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
26d
49
Christian McCaffrey
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2018 Panini Honors · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
26d
50
Felnin Celesten
No Market Comps Found
2023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
26d
51
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Topps High Tek · psa 9.0
$142
0.28×
—
2.0000%
$2.84
26d
52
Tom Brady
2008 Leaf Limited · psa 9.0
$90
0.18×
—
2.0000%
$1.80
26d
53
Jonah Cox
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$23
0.05×
—
2.0000%
$0.45
26d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$362.64
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