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Case Hits Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
21.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -22.0% to -8.1%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$803
0.80× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
28% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Baker Mayfield
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$256
0.26×
—
2.0000%
$5.12
—
2
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$486
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.73
—
3
Peyton Manning
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$500
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$9.99
—
4
Tyreek Hill
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$513
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.26
—
5
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$514
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.28
—
6
Randy Moss
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$515
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.31
—
7
Deion Sanders
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$517
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.33
—
8
Omarion Hampton
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$522
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.44
—
9
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · beckett 9.0
$570
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.39
—
10
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$570
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.39
—
11
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$583
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.66
—
12
Pau Gasol
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.16
—
13
Travis Hunter
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$610
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.21
—
14
Justin Herbert
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$618
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.37
—
15
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Grail
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$646
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$12.92
—
16
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$655
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.10
—
17
Breece Hall
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$687
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.74
—
18
Justin Herbert
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$695
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.89
—
19
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$703
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$14.06
—
20
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$706
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.12
—
21
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$710
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.20
—
22
Nico Collins
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$725
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.50
—
23
Breece Hall
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$745
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$14.90
—
24
Myles Garrett
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$786
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$15.72
—
25
Emmitt Smith
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$790
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$15.79
—
26
Saquon Barkley
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$803
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$16.06
—
27
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2021-22 Panini One and One · psa 9.0
$824
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$16.48
—
28
Paul George
2016-17 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$824
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$16.48
—
29
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$866
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.32
—
30
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$874
0.87×
—
2.0000%
$17.47
—
31
James Harden
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$892
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$17.84
—
32
Trevor Lawrence
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$899
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$17.99
—
33
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$904
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$18.08
—
34
Bill Russell
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$928
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$18.56
—
35
CeeDee Lamb
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$957
0.96×
—
2.0000%
$19.14
—
36
Travis Hunter
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$979
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$19.58
—
37
CeeDee Lamb
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,045
1.05×
—
2.0000%
$20.90
—
38
Rob Gronkowski
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,116
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$22.31
—
39
Deion Sanders
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,154
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$23.07
—
40
Kyle Pitts
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,183
1.18×
—
2.0000%
$23.66
—
41
Ladd McConkey
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,250
1.25×
—
2.0000%
$25.00
—
42
Ben Roethlisberger
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,296
1.30×
—
2.0000%
$25.92
—
43
Brock Purdy
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,298
1.30×
—
2.0000%
$25.96
—
44
Randy Moss
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,332
1.33×
—
2.0000%
$26.64
—
45
Justin Jefferson
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,350
1.35×
—
2.0000%
$27.00
—
46
Brett Favre
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,353
1.35×
—
2.0000%
$27.06
—
47
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,525
1.52×
—
2.0000%
$30.50
—
48
Bo Nix
2024 Panini One · psa 10.0
$1,789
1.79×
—
2.0000%
$35.78
—
49
Ja'Marr Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,789
1.79×
—
2.0000%
$35.78
—
50
Kurt Warner
No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,789
1.79×
—
2.0000%
$35.78
—
51
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0300%
$5.85
—
52
LeBron James
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$21,542
21.54×
—
0.0300%
$6.46
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$897.25
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