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Case Hits Elite
Special Series $1000 WARM
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
19.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -24.3% to -15.4%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$629
0.63× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 88% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Jalen Hurts/A.J. Brown
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$431
0.43×
—
2.0396%
$8.79
—
2
Josh Jacobs
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$433
0.43×
—
2.0396%
$8.83
—
3
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$481
0.48×
—
2.0396%
$9.80
—
4
Jalen Hurts
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$482
0.48×
—
2.0396%
$9.84
—
5
Brock Bowers
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$485
0.48×
—
2.0396%
$9.89
—
6
DK Metcalf
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$508
0.51×
—
2.0396%
$10.35
—
7
Rome Odunze
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$515
0.51×
—
2.0396%
$10.49
—
8
Joe Montana
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$517
0.52×
—
2.0396%
$10.54
—
9
Drake London
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$517
0.52×
—
2.0396%
$10.54
—
10
Deebo Samuel
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$525
0.53×
—
2.0396%
$10.71
—
11
De'Von Achane
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$530
0.53×
—
2.0396%
$10.80
—
12
Justin Herbert
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$530
0.53×
—
2.0396%
$10.82
—
13
Marshall Faulk
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$543
0.54×
—
2.0396%
$11.07
—
14
Jordan Love
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$544
0.54×
—
2.0396%
$11.09
—
15
Joe Namath
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$567
0.57×
—
2.0396%
$11.56
—
16
Christian McCaffrey
2022 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$583
0.58×
—
2.0396%
$11.88
55m 43s
17
Pau Gasol
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$584
0.58×
—
2.0396%
$11.91
—
18
Breece Hall
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$588
0.59×
—
2.0396%
$11.99
—
19
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$600
0.60×
—
2.0396%
$12.24
—
20
Malik Nabers
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$605
0.61×
—
2.0396%
$12.35
—
21
Calvin Johnson
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$622
0.62×
—
2.0396%
$12.69
—
22
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$624
0.62×
—
2.0396%
$12.72
—
23
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$624
0.62×
—
2.0396%
$12.73
—
24
Ashton Jeanty/Jack Bech
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$625
0.62×
—
2.0396%
$12.75
—
25
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$629
0.63×
—
2.0396%
$12.83
—
26
Lamar Jackson
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$650
0.65×
—
2.0396%
$13.26
—
27
Jalen Hurts
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$698
0.70×
—
2.0396%
$14.23
—
28
Xavier Worthy
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$707
0.71×
—
2.0396%
$14.41
—
29
Konnor Griffin
2026 Panini Stars & Stripes Prizm USA Baseball · psa 10.0
$707
0.71×
—
2.0396%
$14.42
—
30
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$707
0.71×
—
2.0396%
$14.42
—
31
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$710
0.71×
—
2.0396%
$14.48
—
32
Myles Garrett
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$728
0.73×
—
2.0396%
$14.86
—
33
J.J. McCarthy/Justin Jefferson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$744
0.74×
—
2.0396%
$15.17
—
34
Jonathan Taylor
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$766
0.77×
—
2.0396%
$15.61
—
35
Derrick Rose
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$766
0.77×
—
2.0396%
$15.62
—
36
Saquon Barkley
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$798
0.80×
—
2.0396%
$16.28
—
37
John Elway
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$820
0.82×
—
2.0396%
$16.72
—
38
C.J. Stroud
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$829
0.83×
—
2.0396%
$16.91
—
39
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$884
0.88×
—
2.0396%
$18.04
—
40
Saquon Barkley
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$884
0.88×
—
2.0396%
$18.04
—
41
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$899
0.90×
—
2.0396%
$18.34
—
42
Brett Favre
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$968
0.97×
—
2.0396%
$19.74
35m 45s
43
Christian McCaffrey
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$968
0.97×
—
2.0396%
$19.74
4m 47s
44
John Lynch/Ronde Barber
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$1,200
1.20×
—
2.0396%
$24.48
36m 15s
45
Patrick Mahomes II/Travis Kelce
2024 Donruss Optic · beckett 9.0
$1,200
1.20×
—
2.0396%
$24.48
—
46
CeeDee Lamb
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,315
1.32×
—
2.0396%
$26.83
—
47
Maxx Crosby
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,700
1.70×
—
2.0396%
$34.67
—
48
Drew Brees
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,718
1.72×
—
2.0396%
$35.04
—
49
Barry Sanders
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,745
1.75×
—
2.0396%
$35.60
—
50
Shohei Ohtani
Grail
2022 Panini Diamond Kings · psa 10.0
$19,200
19.20×
—
0.0200%
$3.84
—
51
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0200%
$3.90
—
52
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0200%
$3.90
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$762.27
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