Should I Rip? Sign up free →
You're viewing the public snapshot — data is 6 hours behind. Create a free account for the 1-hour view plus save & track — Pro unlocks live data + Rip Mode.
Sign up free →

Japanese Pokemon Day

Special Series $75
Track your own pulls. Sign in and link your Arena Club handle to see your hits from this pack.
Sign in →
EV
-20.0%
Snapshot from 59d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
55.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -31.7% to -7.8%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
4.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$45
0.60× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
Upgrade to Pro →
Pool composition
18% of pulls are worth at least the $75 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Japanese Pokemon Day · Special Series · $75 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 12.00% chance .2-.35 12% .35-.55× pack price — 30.00% chance .35-.55 30% .55-.75× pack price — 20.00% chance .55-.75 20% .75-.9× pack price — 10.00% chance .75-.9 10% .9-1× pack price — 10.00% chance .9-1 10% 1-1.25× pack price — 4.00% chance 1-1.25 4% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 10.00% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.00% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.090% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 55× as of Sep 15, 2026 · 9:12 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Live activity is Pro
See pulls and adds as they happen
Upgrade to Pro →

Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Paldean Tauros
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$21
0.27×
—
2.0000%
$0.41
—
2
Mabosstiff
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$21
0.28×
—
2.0000%
$0.42
—
3
Dendra
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$23
0.31×
—
2.0000%
$0.46
—
4
Dudunsparce
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$24
0.31×
—
2.0000%
$0.47
—
5
Toxtricity
2020 Pokemon SWSH JPN · csg 9.5
$25
0.33×
—
2.0000%
$0.50
—
6
Blaine's Vulpix
1999 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$26
0.34×
—
2.0000%
$0.51
—
7
Golem ex
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 9.0
$28
0.38×
—
2.0000%
$0.57
—
8
Joltik
2024 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$30
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.61
—
9
Sobble Pop 1
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$31
0.42×
—
2.0000%
$0.62
—
10
Shuckle
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$31
0.42×
—
2.0000%
$0.63
—
11
Diancie
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$32
0.43×
—
2.0000%
$0.64
—
12
Cynthia's Garchomp ex
2025 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$34
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$0.67
—
13
Glaceon ex
2024 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$34
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$0.67
—
14
Froslass
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 9.0
$34
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$0.68
—
15
Victreebel
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 8.0
$36
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$0.73
—
16
Peonia
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$36
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$0.73
—
17
Sliggoo
2026 Pokemon Mega Evolution JPN · psa 10.0
$37
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$0.74
—
18
Shedinja
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$37
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$0.74
—
19
Ho-Oh
2000 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 8.0
$38
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$0.77
—
20
Lt. Surge's Lanturn
2001 Pokemon VS JPN · psa 9.0
$41
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$0.82
—
21
Gust of Wind
1996 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$41
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$0.82
—
22
Beartic
2025 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$43
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$0.86
—
23
Mega Latias ex
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$44
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$0.88
—
24
Joltik
2025 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$44
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$0.88
—
25
Metang
2026 Pokemon Mega Evolution JPN · psa 10.0
$45
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$0.90
—
26
Ivysaur
2011 Pokemon B&W JPN · psa 9.0
$45
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$0.91
—
27
Kyogre
2020 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$48
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$0.96
—
28
Larvitar
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$49
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$0.97
—
29
Suicune V
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$50
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$1.00
—
30
Sawsbuck
2024 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$50
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$1.01
—
31
Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex
2025 Pokemon Mega JPN · psa 10.0
$51
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$1.02
—
32
Mewtwo V
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$57
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.14
—
33
Tauros
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$60
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.20
—
34
Sudowoodo
2018 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$60
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.20
—
35
Nessa
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$61
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$1.22
—
36
Charmeleon
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$62
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
—
37
Radiant Blastoise
2022 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$69
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$1.38
—
38
Pikachu VMAX
2021 Pokemon SWSH JPN · psa 10.0
$69
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$1.38
—
39
Charmander
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$69
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.39
—
40
Bulbasaur
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$71
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$1.43
—
41
Erika's Vileplume
1998 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$74
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$1.47
—
42
Bulbasaur
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$83
1.10×
—
2.0000%
$1.66
—
43
Iono's Bellibolt ex
2025 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 10.0
$84
1.13×
—
2.0000%
$1.69
—
44
Clefable
1997 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$96
1.27×
—
2.0000%
$1.91
—
45
Typhlosion
2000 Pokemon Neo JPN · psa 8.0
$101
1.34×
—
2.0000%
$2.01
—
46
Rocket's Hitmonchan
1998 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$102
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$2.04
—
47
Sabrina
1999 Pokemon JPN · psa 9.0
$110
1.47×
—
2.0000%
$2.21
—
48
Shiftry ex
2006 Pokemon EX JPN · psa 9.0
$119
1.59×
—
2.0000%
$2.38
—
49
Iono
2023 Pokemon SV JPN · psa 9.0
$158
2.11×
—
2.0000%
$3.16
—
50
Suicune
2000 Pokemon Neo 3 JPN · psa 9.0
$205
2.74×
—
2.0000%
$4.11
—
51
Jirachi
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$2,865
38.20×
—
0.0300%
$0.86
—
52
Sylveon EX
2016 Pokemon XY JPN · psa 10.0
$3,759
50.12×
—
0.0300%
$1.13
—
53
Poncho-wearing Pikachu
2017 Pokemon S&M JPN · psa 10.0
$4,134
55.12×
—
0.0300%
$1.24
—
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$60.03
View Japanese Pokemon Day Special Series on Arena Club → Opens Arena Club in a new tab · we're independent and earn nothing from your click