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Hockey Pack
Special Series $100
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
49.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -27.9% to -7.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$67
0.67× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 87% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Frank Nazar
2024-25 Upper Deck Rookie Debut · psa 10.0
$15
0.15×
—
2.1300%
$0.32
—
2
Nathan MacKinnon
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.1300%
$0.85
—
3
Mark Messier
No Market Comps Found
1997-98 Pinnacle Certified · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.1300%
$0.85
—
4
Patrick Kane/Carey Price/Erik Johnson
No Market Comps Found
2007-08 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.1300%
$0.85
—
5
Claude Giroux
No Market Comps Found
2008-09 Upper Deck Artifacts · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.1300%
$0.85
—
6
Phil Esposito/Bobby Orr
1975-76 Topps · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
2.1300%
$1.06
—
7
Miro Heiskanen
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.1300%
$1.08
—
8
Jack Eichel
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.1300%
$1.08
—
9
Connor Bedard
2023-24 Upper Deck Trilogy · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
2.1300%
$1.11
—
10
Sam Bennett
2015-16 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
2.1300%
$1.13
—
11
Sidney Crosby
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
2.1300%
$1.13
—
12
Logan Stankoven
2025-26 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
2.1300%
$1.13
—
13
Brady Tkachuk
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
—
2.1300%
$1.21
—
14
Alex Ovechkin
2020-21 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$57
0.57×
—
2.1300%
$1.21
—
15
Mario Lemieux
1994-95 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$58
0.58×
—
2.1300%
$1.24
—
16
Connor Bedard
2023-24 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
2.1300%
$1.26
—
17
Matthew Knies
2023-24 Upper Deck Allure · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.1300%
$1.32
—
18
Olen Zellweger
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.1300%
$1.33
—
19
Trevor Zegras
2021-22 Skybox Metal Universe · psa 8.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.1300%
$1.34
—
20
Alexander Ovechkin
2006-07 Upper Deck Power Play · psa 9.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.1300%
$1.34
—
21
Leo Carlsson
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.1300%
$1.37
—
22
Fraser Minten
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
2.1300%
$1.38
—
23
Guy Lafleur
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.1300%
$1.41
—
24
Shea Weber
2006-07 SP Authentic · psa 8.0
$67
0.67×
—
2.1300%
$1.43
—
25
Lukas Dostal
2022-23 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$68
0.68×
—
2.1300%
$1.45
—
26
Aleksander Barkov
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 9.0
$69
0.69×
—
2.1300%
$1.47
—
27
Connor McDavid
2015-16 Upper Deck Connor McDavid Collection · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.1300%
$1.49
—
28
Brandon Hagel
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.1300%
$1.49
—
29
Sidney Crosby
2004-05 In The Game Heroes and Prospects · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.1300%
$1.50
—
30
Morgan Geekie
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
2.1300%
$1.51
—
31
Tuukka Rask
2007-08 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.1300%
$1.53
—
32
Connor McDavid
2021-22 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
2.1300%
$1.53
—
33
Lane Hutson
2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
—
2.1300%
$1.67
—
34
Kyle Connor
2016-17 Upper Deck Series 2 · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
—
2.1300%
$1.68
—
35
Connor Bedard/Adam Fantill
2023-24 Upper Deck Extended Series · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
2.1300%
$1.70
—
36
John Tavares
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$81
0.81×
—
2.1300%
$1.73
—
37
Zach Hyman
2016-17 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$84
0.84×
—
2.1300%
$1.79
—
38
Patrice Bergeron
2003-04 Upper Deck Classic Portraits · psa 9.0
$89
0.89×
—
2.1300%
$1.90
—
39
Alexander Ovechkin
2005-06 Upper Deck Rookie Class · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
—
2.1300%
$2.00
—
40
Evander Kane
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
2.1300%
$2.02
—
41
Kirill Marchenko
2022-23 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$98
0.98×
—
2.1300%
$2.09
—
42
Sergei Fedorov
1990-91 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$102
1.02×
—
2.1300%
$2.17
—
43
Matthew Knies
2023-24 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$112
1.12×
—
2.1300%
$2.39
—
44
Henrik Lundqvist
No Market Comps Found
2004-05 SP Authentic · beckett 9.5
$121
1.21×
—
2.1300%
$2.58
—
45
Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$121
1.21×
—
2.1300%
$2.58
—
46
Connor McDavid
2020-21 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 9.0
$130
1.30×
—
2.1300%
$2.76
—
47
Evan Bouchard
2018-19 Upper Deck Series 1 · psa 10.0
$147
1.47×
—
2.1300%
$3.12
—
48
Connor McDavid
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2015-16 Upper Deck Black · beckett 9.0
$1,000
10.00×
—
0.0300%
$0.30
—
49
Macklin Celebrini
Grail
2024-25 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$4,745
47.45×
—
0.0300%
$1.42
—
50
Sidney Crosby
Grail
2005-06 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$4,898
48.98×
—
0.0300%
$1.47
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$74.65
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