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Baseball
Bronze $25 WARM
Peak 7d
-16.8%
12h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
14.7×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -40.5% to -16.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$16
0.64× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $25 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Aaron Judge
Grail
2014 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
4d
2
Aaron Judge
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2016 Bowman Inception · beckett 9.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
3d
3
Ronald Acuna
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2017 Bowman · beckett 10.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
21d
4
Miguel Cabrera
Chase
2000 Topps Traded & Rookies · psa 9.0
$119
4.75×
—
0.2500%
$0.30
7h
5
Juan Soto
Chase
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$115
4.60×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
11h
6
Miguel Cabrera
Chase
2003 Topps Chrome Traded · psa 9.0
$103
4.13×
—
0.2500%
$0.26
10h
7
Aaron Judge
Chase
2017 Topps Archives · psa 8.0
$97
3.86×
—
0.2500%
$0.24
6h
8
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2023 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$78
3.13×
—
0.2500%
$0.20
8h
9
Nick Kurtz
Chase
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$66
2.64×
—
0.2500%
$0.16
7h
10
Don Mattingly
Chase
1986 Fleer League Leaders · psa 10.0
$59
2.36×
—
0.2500%
$0.15
1d
11
Kyle Tucker
Chase
2025 Topps MLB World Tour Tokyo Series Takashi Murakami Complex Exclusive · psa 10.0
$53
2.12×
—
0.2500%
$0.13
13h
12
Mark McGwire
1985 Topps · psa 8.0
$40
1.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
13
Larry Walker
1990 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$32
1.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
6h
14
Dave Winfield
1992 Topps · beckett 9.5
$30
1.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
15
Bryce Harper
2018 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$29
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
16
Jackson Holliday
2022 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$29
1.15×
—
1.9600%
$0.56
6h
17
Paul Skenes
No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$29
1.15×
—
1.9600%
$0.56
6h
18
Paul Skenes
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$29
1.15×
—
1.9600%
$0.56
6h
19
Seiya Suzuki
2022 Stadium Club Chrome · psa 10.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
7h
20
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · psa 9.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
7h
21
Bo Bichette
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
22
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2017 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$24
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$0.46
6h
23
Juan Soto
2017 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$23
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$0.46
6h
24
Spencer Jones
2023 Bowman · psa 8.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
25
Cody Bellinger
2017 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 9.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
26
John Kuchno
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
27
Mike Trout
2015 Topps Chrome Update · psa 9.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
36m 14s
28
Corbin Carroll
2023 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
29
Graig Nettles
1981 Topps · psa 9.0
$19
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$0.38
6h
30
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
31
Nolan Gorman
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
3h
32
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$18
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
6h
33
Spencer Torkelson
2022 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$18
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
6h
34
Mike Trout
2018 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
35
Christian Yelich
2013 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$17
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
4h
36
Rafael Devers
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$16
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
37
Mike Kekich
1969 Topps · psa 7.0
$16
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
38
Carlos Correa
2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · psa 10.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
39
Triston Casas
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$14
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
40
Jim Hunter
1968 Topps · psa 3.0
$14
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$0.26
6h
41
Bo Jackson
1991 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
14m 14s
42
Delvin Perez
No Market Comps Found
2016 Bowman Draft · beckett 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
43
Henry Davis
No Market Comps Found
2022 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
4h
44
Wilman Diaz
2021 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
45
Charlie Condon
2025 Bowman · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
46
Adrian Gonzalez
2000 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · beckett 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
5h
47
Michael Harris II
2023 Topps Archives · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
4h
48
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
49
Raul Mondesi
Pop 1
2016 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
50
Jasson Dominguez
2020 Bowman · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
51
Gleyber Torres
2018 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$9
0.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.18
6h
52
Jasson Dominguez
2020 Bowman · psa 9.0
$8
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
7h
53
Alex Kirilloff
2016 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$8
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
6h
54
Gavin Lux
2020 Topps Series 1 · psa 9.0
$8
0.30×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
6h
55
Michael Busch
2019 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$7
0.30×
—
1.9600%
$0.14
7h
56
Alec Burleson
Pop 1
2023 Topps Chrome Update · psa 9.0
$7
0.29×
—
1.9600%
$0.14
7h
57
Kyle Harrison
2023 Bowman · psa 9.0
$7
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$0.13
6h
58
Bo Bichette
2020 Topps Series 1 · beckett 9.0
$6
0.24×
—
1.9600%
$0.12
6h
59
1st Series Checklist: 1-88
1965 Topps · psa 4.0
$6
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.11
6h
60
Gavin Lux
2020 Topps Series 1 · beckett 9.5
$5
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.11
6h
61
Luis Robert
2020 Bowman Platinum · psa 9.0
$4
0.18×
—
1.9600%
$0.09
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$17.91
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