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Baseball

Bronze $25
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EV
-18.3%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-7.6%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
4000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -50.6% to -7.6%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.11%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$18
0.71× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
32% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Baseball · Bronze · $25 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 1.96% chance .2-.35 2% .35-.55× pack price — 31.36% chance .35-.55 31% .55-.75× pack price — 17.64% chance .55-.75 18% .75-.9× pack price — 17.64% chance .75-.9 18% .9-1× pack price — 0.00% chance .9-1 0% 1-1.25× pack price — 23.52% chance 1-1.25 24% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 5.88% chance 1.25-1.75 6% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.78% chance 1.75-2.5 1% 2.5-4× pack price — 1.30% chance 2.5-4 1% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.020% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.010% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 4000× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:19 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
4000.00×
—
0.0000%
$0.05
14d
2
Paul Skenes Grail
2026 Bowman · psa 9.0
$692
27.68×
—
0.0100%
$0.07
1d
3
Ken Griffey Jr. Grail
1994 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$551
22.06×
—
0.0100%
$0.06
10d
4
Bobby Witt Jr. Grail
2026 Bowman · psa 9.0
$412
16.48×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
10h
5
Jackson Merrill Chase
2024 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$90
3.59×
—
0.2600%
$0.23
6h
6
Nolan Ryan Chase
1990 Topps · psa 10.0
$79
3.15×
—
0.2600%
$0.21
6h
7
Bo Jackson Chase
1989 Score · psa 9.0
$78
3.11×
—
0.2600%
$0.20
8h
8
Luisangel Acuna Chase
2025 Topps Black & White · psa 10.0
$73
2.92×
—
0.2600%
$0.19
6h
9
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Chase Pop 1
2023 Topps Archives Signature Series Active Player Edition · psa 10.0
$65
2.60×
—
0.2600%
$0.17
6h
10
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2018 Topps Update · beckett 9.0
$60
2.40×
—
0.2600%
$0.16
6h
11
Elly De La Cruz Chase Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024 Topps Brooklyn Collection · psa 8.0
$60
2.40×
—
0.2600%
$0.16
8h
12
James Wood Chase
2022 Bowman Sterling · psa 10.0
$60
2.40×
—
0.2600%
$0.16
6h
13
Harmon Killebrew
1964 Topps · psa 6.0
$43
1.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
6h
14
Alfredo Duno
2023 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$35
1.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
6h
15
Ken Griffey, Jr.
1989 Score Rookie & Traded · psa 9.0
$34
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$0.66
6h
16
Cal Raleigh
2022 Topps Chrome Sonic · psa 10.0
$30
1.21×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
17
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$30
1.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
18
Randy Johnson
1989 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$29
1.17×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
19
Albert Pujols
2019 Bowman Platinum · psa 10.0
$28
1.13×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
20
Freddy Peralta
Ultimate Topps Living Set · psa 10.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
21
Freddy Peralta
Ultimate Topps Living Set · psa 10.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
22
Paul DeJong
Ultimate Topps Living Set · psa 10.0
$26
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$0.52
6h
23
Pancho Snyder
1940 Play Ball · psa 4.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
3h
24
Jackson Chourio
2024 Topps Holiday · psa 9.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
25
Luis Urias
2018 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.5
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
26
Ben Hess Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
27
Dizzy Dean
1983 Donruss Hall Of Fame Heroes · psa 8.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
7h
28
Carlton Fisk
1980 Topps · psa 8.0
$22
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
29
Kevin Cron
2019 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$22
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
30
CC Sabathia
2006 Topps · psa 10.0
$22
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
31
Frank Robinson
2010 Topps National Chicle · psa 10.0
$22
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$0.42
6h
32
Ron Cey
1975 Topps · psa 6.0
$21
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.41
6h
33
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Chrome Update · psa 8.0
$20
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$0.40
7h
34
Darryl Strawberry
2019 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
35
Ken Tatum
1971 Topps · psa 7.0
$20
0.79×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
36
Jim Thome
2009 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 10.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
37
Patrick Bailey
2023 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$18
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
6h
38
Gunnar Henderson
2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
3h
39
Rickey Henderson
1996 Pinnacle Zenith · psa 9.0
$17
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
7h
40
Greg Maddux
1987 Donruss · psa 8.0
$16
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
41
Dave Winfield
1984 Topps · psa 9.0
$16
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
42
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps Complete Set · psa 9.0
$16
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
2h
43
Jackson Merrill
2024 Topps Now · beckett 9.5
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
4h
44
Tyler Whitaker
2022 Bowman · psa 10.0
$14
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
45
Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 9.0
$14
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
46
Ethan Salas
2024 Bowman · psa 9.0
$13
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.26
7h
47
Curt Schilling
1989 Donruss · psa 9.0
$13
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.25
43m 49s
48
Jo Adell
2021 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$13
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$0.25
4h
49
Coby Mayo
2025 Topps · psa 9.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
6h
50
Adley Rutschman
2023 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
7h
51
Keston Hiura
2019 Topps Heritage HN · psa 10.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.23
6h
52
Corey Seager
2016 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$11
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
53
Dylan Crews
2025 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$11
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
54
Francisco Alvarez
2023 Topps Chrome Update · sgc 9.5
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
5h
55
Joey Votto
2018 Bowman’s Best · arena_club 10.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
7h
56
Manny Machado
2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · arena_club 10.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
57
Shane McClanahan
2018 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
58
Barry Bonds
1991 Bowman · sgc 8.5
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
59
Willie Mays
2019 Topps Update · sgc 10.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
60
Orel Hershiser
1986 Topps · psa 8.0
$10
0.41×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
61
Kyle Lewis
2020 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
62
Paul Skenes
2025 Topps · psa 8.0
$9
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.17
6h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$20.43
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