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Baseball

Silver $50 WARM
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EV
-32.9%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-16.9%
11h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
33.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -33.7% to -16.9%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
3.49%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$24
0.48× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 82% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $50 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Baseball · Silver · $50 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 3.92% chance .1-.2 4% .2-.35× pack price — 11.76% chance .2-.35 12% .35-.55× pack price — 41.16% chance .35-.55 41% .55-.75× pack price — 15.68% chance .55-.75 16% .75-.9× pack price — 7.84% chance .75-.9 8% .9-1× pack price — 1.96% chance .9-1 2% 1-1.25× pack price — 9.80% chance 1-1.25 10% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 4.17% chance 1.25-1.75 4% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 3.21% chance 1.75-2.5 3% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.500% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.010% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.020% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 33× as of Sep 29, 2026 · 6:11 PM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
↓
Mickey Mantle · 1996 Topps · PSA 9 pulled
2m 1s ago
$10
↓
Brady Singer · 2018 Bowman’s Best · PSA 10 pulled
2m 1s ago
$20
↑
C.C. Sabathia · 2004 Topps · PSA 10 added
2m 1s ago
$29
↑
Mookie Betts · 2020 Topps Stadium Club Chrome · PSA 9 added
2m 1s ago
$42
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Mookie Betts Grail
2014 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$1,654
33.08×
0.0100%
$0.17
12d
2
Mickey Mantle Grail
1961 Topps · psa 6.0
$1,555
31.09×
0.0100%
$0.16
6d
3
Aaron Judge Grail
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,224
24.48×
0.0100%
$0.12
5d
4
Willie Mays Chase
1969 Topps · sgc 5.5
$146
2.93×
0.2500%
$0.37
11h
5
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2025 Bowman · psa 10.0
$138
2.76×
0.2500%
$0.34
1d
6
Tony Perez/Kevin Collins/Dave Ricketts Chase
1965 Topps · sgc 6.0
$120
2.40×
0.2500%
$0.30
1d
7
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$116
2.33×
0.2500%
$0.29
1d
8
Aaron Judge Chase
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$116
2.31×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
11h
9
Tony Gwynn
1999 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$104
2.08×
—
1.9600%
$2.04
8h
10
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2018 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$100
2.01×
—
0.2500%
$0.25
1d
11
Nolan Ryan Chase
1973 Topps · sgc 6.5
$90
1.80×
—
0.2500%
$0.22
11h
12
Robin Roberts Chase
1952 Bowman · sgc 5.0
$85
1.70×
—
0.2500%
$0.21
8h
13
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$72
1.45×
—
1.9600%
$1.42
6h
14
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2016 Bowman · psa 10.0
$69
1.39×
—
1.9600%
$1.36
7h
15
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$58
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$1.14
6h
16
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps 50/50 · psa 9.0
$54
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
6h
17
Shohei Ohtani
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$54
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
7h
18
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$52
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
8h
19
Hagen Smith
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$52
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
7h
20
Willie McCovey
1961 Topps · psa 5.0
$49
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$0.97
10h
21
Mike Stanton
2010 Topps Factory Set · psa 10.0
$44
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$0.87
6h
22
Ken Griffey, Jr.
1989 Topps Traded · psa 9.0
$43
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$0.85
8h
23
Aaron Judge
2014 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
8h
24
Fred McGriff
1986 Donruss · psa 9.0
$42
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
6h
25
Juan Soto
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$37
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$0.72
7h
26
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2016 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$36
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
13h
27
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.64
7h
28
Jarren Duran
2020 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
6h
29
Bryce Harper
2013 Topps · psa 9.0
$31
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
6h
30
George Zeber
1978 Topps · psa 9.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
9h
31
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
32
Blake Mitchell
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
8h
33
Len Dykstra
1986 Topps · psa 8.0
$27
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$0.54
8h
34
Manny Machado
2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
35
George Kell
1952 Bowman · psa 2.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
36
Earl Battey No Market Comps Found
1965 Topps · sgc 5.5
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
7h
37
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Bowman · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
38
Los Angeles Dodgers No Market Comps Found
2026 Topps · psa 9.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
7h
39
James Wood
2025 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
9h
40
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
41
Luis Severino Pop 1
2019 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
42
Ryan Mountcastle No Market Comps Found
2021 Topps Chrome Black · psa 9.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
43
Deion Sanders
2025 Donruss · beckett 9.5
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
44
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Bowman · psa 9.0
$23
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.46
6h
45
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 8.0
$22
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.44
3h
46
Dylan Cease
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$22
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
8h
47
Denzel Clarke Pop 1
2022 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
48
Kris Bryant No Market Comps Found
2016 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
49
Mike Trout
2023 Topps Series 1 · sgc 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
50
Junior Fernandez
2020 Topps Stadium Club Chrome · sgc 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
9h
51
Jose Herrera No Market Comps Found
2014 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.5
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
52
James Wood
2025 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
53
Jackson Holliday
2023 Bowman Mega Box · psa 10.0
$19
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
7h
54
Jordan Lawlar
2021 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$17
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
8h
55
The Griffeys
1991 Score · psa 8.0
$14
0.29×
—
1.9600%
$0.28
8h
56
Dennis Eckersley
1996 Topps · psa 9.0
$14
0.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
8h
57
Julio Rodriguez
2022 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 9.0
$14
0.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
58
Luis Robert
2018 Bowman · psa 9.0
$13
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$0.26
7h
59
Freddie Freeman
2025 Topps Now · psa 8.0
$13
0.26×
—
1.9600%
$0.25
9h
60
Randy Johnson
1989 Donruss · psa 7.0
$10
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
61
Wyatt Langford
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$8
0.17×
—
1.9600%
$0.16
7h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$33.57
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