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Card or Watch Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
-10.0%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 354 polls
Max pull
21.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 354 polls
Range: -44.2% to -10.0%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$851
0.85× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.0
$21,500
21.50×
—
0.0100%
$2.15
—
2
LeBron James
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$20,331
20.33×
—
0.0100%
$2.03
—
3
Aaron Judge
Grail
2017 Bowman’s Best · psa 10.0
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
4
Rolex Datejust Blue Dial Jubilee
Grail
Rolex · RLX126334BLSJ
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
5
GMT-Master II Automatic Black Dial Batman
Grail
Rolex · 126710BKBLSO
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
6
Roadster Medium Model White Dial
Grail
Cartier · W2RD0009
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
7
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
8h
8
M G-Chrono
Gucci · YA101204
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
—
9
M Classic
Gucci · YA166509
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
—
10
Mike Trout
2009 Bowman Sterling · beckett 9.5
$1,080
1.08×
—
5.0000%
$54.00
7h
11
Chet Holmgren
Pop 1
2022-23 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$893
0.89×
—
5.0000%
$44.64
8h
12
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$885
0.89×
—
5.0000%
$44.26
1d
13
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$870
0.87×
—
5.0000%
$43.48
8h
14
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Big League · psa 9.0
$851
0.85×
—
5.0000%
$42.55
12h
15
Ocean Star 39
Mido · M0269071705100
$851
0.85×
—
5.0000%
$42.55
—
16
M Dive
Gucci · YA136219
$851
0.85×
—
5.0000%
$42.55
—
17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$786
0.79×
—
5.0000%
$39.28
19h
18
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$757
0.76×
—
5.0000%
$37.84
8h
19
M Grip
Gucci · YA157301
$757
0.76×
—
5.0000%
$37.84
—
20
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps · psa 9.0
$745
0.74×
—
5.0000%
$37.24
8h
21
Dive Pro Automatic Blue Dial Mens Watch 241
Victorinox · 241995
$745
0.74×
—
5.0000%
$37.24
—
22
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
8h
23
Commander Automatic Mens Watch
Mido · M021.407.11.411.00
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
—
24
Ocean Star Captain Automatic Mens Watch
Mido · M0264301104100
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
—
25
Airman Automatic Brown Dial Mens Watch GL0166
Glycine · GL0166
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
—
26
Automatic Mens Desert Sand Dial Watch GL0551
Glycine · GL0551
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$867.64
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