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Serial Hits Starter
Special Series $100 WARM
Peak 7d
+6.7%
9h ago
% life +EV
7%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
24.6×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -30.0% to +6.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$69
0.69× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Corbin Carroll
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$24
0.24×
—
2.0000%
$0.47
2h
2
Jahmyr Gibbs
2023 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$34
0.34×
—
2.0000%
$0.67
6h
3
Terrence Shannon Jr.
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6h
4
Kevin Garnett
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Donruss Elite · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
9h
5
Quinyon Mitchell
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
38m 0s
6
Ben Skowronek
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
8h
7
Bryce Young
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
4h
8
Jhoan Duran
2025 Topps Chrome Update · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
7h
9
Chris Mullin
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
6h
10
Joe Burrow
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
8h
11
Heliot Ramos
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2020 Bowman · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
27m 0s
12
Kyle Harrison
2024 Topps Chrome Black · psa 10.0
$44
0.44×
—
2.0000%
$0.89
7h
13
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
2.0000%
$0.94
9h
14
Gunnar Henderson
2023 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$49
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$0.98
8h
15
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.07
5h
16
Jayden Reed
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$1.08
22m 0s
17
Alperen Sengun
2023-24 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$1.10
3h
18
Jalen Hurts
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$1.20
9h
19
Dustin Harris
2022 Bowman · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$1.22
7h
20
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps High Tek · psa 9.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
8h
21
Malik Willis
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.24
2h
22
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$63
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$1.26
1h
23
LaDainian Tomlinson
2008 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$1.28
10h
24
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$65
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$1.30
1h
25
Bennedict Mathurin
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$1.32
9h
26
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$69
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$1.38
6h
27
Tyreek Hill
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$1.40
1h
28
Nico Collins
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.45
8h
29
Francisco Alvarez
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.46
3h
30
Jaxson Dart
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$1.48
22m 0s
31
Anthony Edwards
2025 Panini National Convention Gold Packs · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.51
1h
32
Lamar Jackson
Pop 1
2022 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$1.52
10h
33
Nick Chubb
2018 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$77
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$1.54
6h
34
Ron Holland II
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$1.54
59m 39s
35
Mike Trout
2024 Topps Brooklyn Collection · psa 10.0
$82
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$1.64
6h
36
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$1.66
2h
37
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.86
7h
38
Patrick Mahomes II
2022 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.86
10h
39
Brian Thomas Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$93
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$1.86
4h
40
Julio Rodriguez
2023 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$104
1.04×
—
2.0000%
$2.08
6h
41
Matas Buzelis
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$2.14
8h
42
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$108
1.08×
—
2.0000%
$2.16
7h
43
Baker Mayfield
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
2.0000%
$2.19
3h
44
Kyle Williams
2006 Upper Deck SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$126
1.26×
—
2.0000%
$2.52
9h
45
Marvin Harrison
2003 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$151
1.51×
—
2.0000%
$3.02
6h
46
Jackson Holliday
2024 Topps Pristine · psa 10.0
$154
1.54×
—
2.0000%
$3.08
8h
47
Alexandre Sarr
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$161
1.61×
—
2.0000%
$3.22
8h
48
Paul Skenes
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$170
1.70×
—
2.0000%
$3.40
8h
49
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$178
1.78×
—
2.0000%
$3.56
4h
50
Patrick Mahomes II
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$252
2.52×
—
2.0000%
$5.04
3h
51
LeBron James
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$1,047
10.47×
—
0.0300%
$0.31
19h
52
Luka Doncic
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$1,306
13.06×
—
0.0300%
$0.39
23h
53
Ben Rice
Grail
2025 Topps Chrome Update Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$2,463
24.63×
—
0.0300%
$0.74
23h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$80.48
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