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Baseball
Silver $50 WARM
Peak 7d
-16.9%
12h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
33.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -33.7% to -16.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.28%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$25
0.50× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $50 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Mookie Betts
Grail
2014 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$1,654
33.08×
—
0.0100%
$0.17
12d
2
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1961 Topps · psa 6.0
$1,555
31.09×
—
0.0100%
$0.16
6d
3
Aaron Judge
Grail
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,224
24.48×
—
0.0100%
$0.12
5d
4
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2025 Bowman · psa 10.0
$138
2.76×
—
0.2500%
$0.34
1d
5
Tony Perez/Kevin Collins/Dave Ricketts
Chase
1965 Topps · sgc 6.0
$120
2.40×
—
0.2500%
$0.30
1d
6
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$116
2.33×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
1d
7
Aaron Judge
Chase
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$116
2.31×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
11h
8
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2018 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$100
2.01×
—
0.2500%
$0.25
1d
9
Nolan Ryan
Chase
1973 Topps · sgc 6.5
$90
1.80×
—
0.2500%
$0.22
12h
10
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Pristine · psa 9.0
$88
1.75×
—
1.9600%
$1.72
6h
11
Robin Roberts
Chase
1952 Bowman · sgc 5.0
$85
1.70×
—
0.2500%
$0.21
8h
12
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2023 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$81
1.62×
—
0.2500%
$0.20
6h
13
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$72
1.45×
—
1.9600%
$1.42
7h
14
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2016 Bowman · psa 10.0
$69
1.39×
—
1.9600%
$1.36
8h
15
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps 50/50 · psa 9.0
$54
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
7h
16
Shohei Ohtani
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$54
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
7h
17
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$52
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
8h
18
Hagen Smith
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$52
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
7h
19
Willie McCovey
1961 Topps · psa 5.0
$49
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$0.97
10h
20
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$45
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$0.88
6h
21
Yordan Alvarez
2020 Topps Holiday Mega Box · psa 10.0
$45
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$0.87
6h
22
Mike Stanton
2010 Topps Factory Set · psa 10.0
$44
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$0.87
7h
23
Billy Martin
1978 Topps · psa 8.0
$44
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$0.87
6h
24
Aaron Judge
2014 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
9h
25
Fred McGriff
1986 Donruss · psa 9.0
$42
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
7h
26
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2016 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$36
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
14h
27
Ronald Acuna Jr.
2018 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.64
7h
28
Shohei Ohtani
2022 Bowman · psa 9.0
$32
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$0.64
6h
29
Jarren Duran
2020 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
6h
30
Bryce Harper
2013 Topps · psa 9.0
$31
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
6h
31
George Zeber
1978 Topps · psa 9.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
9h
32
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
33
Blake Mitchell
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
8h
34
Roger Clemens
1987 Topps · psa 9.0
$29
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
35
Len Dykstra
1986 Topps · psa 8.0
$27
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$0.54
9h
36
Manny Machado
2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
7h
37
Shohei Ohtani
2021 Bowman · psa 9.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
38
George Kell
1952 Bowman · psa 2.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
7h
39
Los Angeles Dodgers
No Market Comps Found
2026 Topps · psa 9.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
7h
40
James Wood
2025 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
10h
41
Justin Wrobleski
Pop 1
2025 Topps · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
42
Deion Sanders
2025 Donruss · beckett 9.5
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
43
Paul Skenes
2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 8.0
$22
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.44
4h
44
Dylan Cease
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$22
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
8h
45
Alex Johnson
1971 Topps · psa 7.0
$22
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.42
6h
46
Earl Battey
No Market Comps Found
1965 Topps · sgc 5.5
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.40
7h
47
Mike Trout
2015 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.40
6h
48
Luis Severino
Pop 1
2019 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.40
7h
49
Ryan Mountcastle
No Market Comps Found
2021 Topps Chrome Black · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.40
6h
50
Denzel Clarke
Pop 1
2022 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
51
Kris Bryant
No Market Comps Found
2016 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
52
Junior Fernandez
2020 Topps Stadium Club Chrome · sgc 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
10h
53
Jose Herrera
No Market Comps Found
2014 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.5
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
54
James Wood
2025 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
55
Jackson Holliday
2023 Bowman Mega Box · psa 10.0
$19
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
7h
56
Jordan Lawlar
2021 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$17
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
8h
57
Mike Trout
2023 Topps Series 1 · sgc 10.0
$15
0.30×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
58
Dennis Eckersley
1996 Topps · psa 9.0
$14
0.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
8h
59
Luis Robert
2018 Bowman · psa 9.0
$13
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$0.26
7h
60
Freddie Freeman
2025 Topps Now · psa 8.0
$13
0.26×
—
1.9600%
$0.25
10h
61
Randy Johnson
1989 Donruss · psa 7.0
$10
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
7h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$33.54
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