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Crown Jewel

Special Series $5000

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-18.2%

Snapshot from 72d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

—

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

15.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -28.6% to -17.3%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

0.15%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.050%

grail odds

Median pull

$3,756

0.75× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

18% of pulls are worth at least the $5000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

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Live activity is Pro

See pulls and adds as they happen

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

43 cards · sorted by value ▲

Card · Set

Value ▲

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Elly De La Cruz

2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome · psa 10.0

$2,250

0.45×

—

2.5000%

$56.25

—

Paul Skenes

2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0

$2,520

0.50×

—

2.5000%

$63.00

—

Kevin Durant No Market Comps Found

2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0

$2,520

0.50×

—

2.5000%

$63.00

—

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$2,838

0.57×

—

2.5000%

$70.95

—

Aaron Judge 1 of 1

2017 Topps Transcendent Collection · psa 9.0

$2,910

0.58×

—

2.5000%

$72.75

—

Peyton Manning Grail No Market Comps Found

2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · beckett 9.5

$2,910

0.58×

—

2.5000%

$72.75

—

Konnor Griffin

2025 Bowman · psa 10.0

$2,973

0.59×

—

2.5000%

$74.33

—

Aaron Judge

2017 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$3,000

0.60×

—

2.5000%

$75.00

—

Josh Allen

2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$3,046

0.61×

—

2.5000%

$76.15

—

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$3,151

0.63×

—

2.5000%

$78.79

—

Paul Skenes

2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0

$3,204

0.64×

—

2.5000%

$80.10

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,236

0.65×

—

2.5000%

$80.90

—

Tim Duncan No Market Comps Found

2015-16 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Paul Skenes No Market Comps Found

2024 Bowman Sterling · psa 9.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Shohei Ohtani

2021 Topps 1989 Bowman X Keith Shore · psa 9.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Jac Caglianone No Market Comps Found

2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Brett Favre 1 of 1

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Tom Brady No Market Comps Found

2003 Topps Finest · beckett 9.5

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Lamar Jackson No Market Comps Found

2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Luka Doncic

2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0

$3,519

0.70×

—

2.5000%

$87.98

—

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,756

0.75×

—

2.5000%

$93.89

—

Paul Skenes

2024 Panini Three and Two · psa 10.0

$4,085

0.82×

—

2.5000%

$102.13

—

Nick Kurtz

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$4,087

0.82×

—

2.5000%

$102.17

—

Tom Brady

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$4,138

0.83×

—

2.5000%

$103.46

—

Jerry Rice

1986 Topps · psa 9.0

$4,186

0.84×

—

2.5000%

$104.64

—

Nikola Jokic

2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$4,259

0.85×

—

2.5000%

$106.48

—

Aaron Judge

2026 Bowman · psa 10.0

$4,400

0.88×

—

2.5000%

$110.00

—

Paul Skenes

2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0

$4,558

0.91×

—

2.5000%

$113.95

—

Travis Kelce/Patrick Mahomes II

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$4,677

0.94×

—

2.5000%

$116.94

—

Justin Jefferson

2020 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0

$4,722

0.94×

—

2.5000%

$118.05

—

Nikola Jokic

2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$4,802

0.96×

—

2.5000%

$120.05

—

Shohei Ohtani

2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$4,843

0.97×

—

2.5000%

$121.07

—

Troy Aikman

2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$4,914

0.98×

—

2.5000%

$122.84

—

Carmelo Anthony

2015-16 Panini Excalibur · psa 10.0

$5,080

1.02×

—

2.5000%

$127.00

—

Stephen Curry

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0

$5,084

1.02×

—

2.5000%

$127.09

—

Aaron Judge

2017 Topps Now · psa 10.0

$5,500

1.10×

—

2.5000%

$137.50

—

Jalen Brunson

2024-25 Panini One and One · psa 10.0

$5,574

1.11×

—

2.5000%

$139.34

—

Joe Montana

2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$5,600

1.12×

—

2.5000%

$140.00

—

Bobby Witt Jr.

2022 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$5,727

1.15×

—

2.5000%

$143.18

—

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$7,674

1.53×

—

2.5000%

$191.85

—

Tom Brady Grail

2016 Panini National Treasures · beckett 8.5

$43,000

8.60×

—

0.0500%

$21.50

—

Anthony Edwards Grail

2024-25 Panini Flawless · psa 10.0

$43,920

8.78×

—

0.0500%

$21.96

—

Aaron Judge Grail

2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · beckett 9.5

$75,000

15.00×

—

0.0500%

$37.50

—

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$4090.35

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From the blog

Crown Jewel Hit +5.3% EV Peak in a 20-Minute Window Jul 19, 2026 · 11:42 AM PDT