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Soccer

Silver $50
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EV
-30.7%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-15.6%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
53.4×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -36.5% to -15.6%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.10%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$23
0.46× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
16% of pulls are worth at least the $50 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Soccer · Silver · $50 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 3.92% chance .2-.35 4% .35-.55× pack price — 50.96% chance .35-.55 51% .55-.75× pack price — 19.60% chance .55-.75 20% .75-.9× pack price — 3.92% chance .75-.9 4% .9-1× pack price — 5.88% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 3.92% chance 1-1.25 4% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 9.80% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 1.36% chance 1.75-2.5 1% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.340% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.340% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.060% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 53× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:17 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

59 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Jude Bellingham Grail
2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · psa 10.0
$2,671
53.42×
—
0.0200%
$0.53
—
2
Erling Haaland Grail
2020-21 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$1,865
37.30×
—
0.0200%
$0.37
9d
3
Lamine Yamal Grail
2023-24 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$1,519
30.38×
—
0.0200%
$0.30
—
4
Arda Guler Chase
2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · psa 10.0
$248
4.96×
—
0.3400%
$0.84
6h
5
Gavi Chase
2021-22 Topps Merlin Chrome UEFA League · psa 10.0
$186
3.72×
—
0.3400%
$0.63
6h
6
Lionel Andres Messi Chase
2019-20 Panini Megacracks LaLiga Santander · beckett 9.5
$108
2.17×
—
0.3400%
$0.37
10h
7
Vinicius Junior Chase
2020-21 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$108
2.17×
—
0.3400%
$0.37
6h
8
Lionel Messi Chase No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Reverence UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$108
2.17×
—
0.3400%
$0.37
5h
9
Diego Costa Chase No Market Comps Found
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$108
2.17×
—
0.3400%
$0.37
11h
10
Samuel Mbangula
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$76
1.52×
—
1.9600%
$1.49
7h
11
Lionel Messi
2026 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$66
1.31×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
9h
12
Sergio Aguero No Market Comps Found
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 8.0
$66
1.31×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
16h
13
Weston McKennie
2018-19 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$65
1.30×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
7h
14
Jude Bellingham
2020-21 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$63
1.26×
—
1.9600%
$1.23
14h
15
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$53
1.07×
—
1.9600%
$1.05
17h
16
Mohammed Kudus
2025-26 Topps Now Premier League · psa 10.0
$50
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
9h
17
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$48
0.97×
—
1.9600%
$0.95
8h
18
Estevao
2025-26 Topps Now Premier League · psa 10.0
$47
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
10h
19
Max Dowman
2025-26 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$46
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
4h
20
Wael Mohya
2025-26 Topps Now Bundesliga · psa 10.0
$41
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$0.80
11h
21
Zidane
2004-05 Panini Megacracks · psa 8.0
$41
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$0.80
8h
22
Lionel Messi
2026 Topps Now MLS · psa 9.0
$36
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
7h
23
Robert Lewandowski
2016-17 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$36
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$0.70
4h
24
Lionel Messi
2022-23 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Club · psa 9.0
$35
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
6h
25
Lamine Yamal
2025 Topps Now Ballon d'Or · psa 9.0
$35
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
9h
26
Erling Haaland
Ultimate Topps Living Set UEFA CL · psa 9.0
$35
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
2h
27
Julian Alvarez
2022-23 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
14h
28
Matias Soule
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
2h
29
Phil Foden
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
2h
30
Kadidiatou Diani Pop 1
2022-23 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Women's Champions League · psa 9.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
4h
31
Josh Sargent
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$28
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
10h
32
Sandro Tonali
2021-22 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
5h
33
Sean Johnson Pop 1
2022 Topps Chrome MLS · psa 10.0
$24
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.47
6h
34
Neymar Jr.
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$23
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.45
4h
35
Vincent Kompany Pop 1
2017-18 Topps Premier League Gold · psa 10.0
$22
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
8h
36
Leroy Sane Pop 1
2017-18 Topps Premier League Gold · psa 10.0
$22
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
2h
37
Youssoufa Moukoko
2021-22 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
4h
38
Ethan Nwaneri No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
9h
39
Lucas Torreira Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
8h
40
Ricardo Pepi
2024 Panini Prizm CONMEBOL Copa America · sgc 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
4h
41
Lionel Messi
2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
8h
42
Lamine Yamal No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
8h
43
John Obi Mikel No Market Comps Found
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
44
Rasmus Hojlund Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
9h
45
Wilfried Zaha No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Mosaic Premier League · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
9h
46
Romelu Lukaku No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
11h
47
Jarrad Branthwaite Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
2h
48
Archie Gray No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
1d
49
Gabriel Jesus No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Select Premier League · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
11h
50
Alexander Isak No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Now Liverpool · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
2h
51
Adrien Truffert Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Premier League · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
4h
52
Clement Lenglet Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini Select UEFA Euro · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
3h
53
Lewis Miley Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
9h
54
Luka Modric No Market Comps Found
2018 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
55
Vladimír Smicer Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
33m 42s
56
Josko Gvardiol No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
57
Alex Baena Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
2h
58
Brenden Aaronson
2020 Bowman MLS · psa 10.0
$15
0.30×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
2h
59
Erling Haaland
2021-22 Panini Mosaic Road to FIFA World Cup · psa 9.0
$12
0.25×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
8h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$34.67
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