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Soccer
Gold $100
Peak 7d
-19.1%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
43.7×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -33.1% to -19.1%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
7.24%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$52
0.52× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
16% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Lionel Messi
Grail
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 9.0
$4,368
43.68×
—
0.0200%
$0.87
—
2
Cristiano Ronaldo
Grail
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 9.0
$3,612
36.12×
—
0.0200%
$0.72
—
3
Erling Haaland
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$3,445
34.45×
—
0.0200%
$0.69
—
4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm FIFA Club World Cup · psa 9.0
$351
3.51×
—
0.2600%
$0.91
6h
5
Lamine Yamal
Chase
2023-24 Topps UEFA Champions League Japan Edition · psa 9.0
$350
3.50×
—
0.2600%
$0.91
1d
6
Cristiano Ronaldo
Chase
2018 Panini Prizm World Cup · beckett 9.0
$275
2.75×
—
0.2600%
$0.71
11d
7
Kylian Mbappe
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Topps UEFA Champions League Japan Edition · psa 10.0
$275
2.75×
—
0.2600%
$0.71
8d
8
Gilberto Silva
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 9.0
$275
2.75×
—
1.9600%
$5.39
4h
9
Arda Guler
2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · psa 10.0
$248
2.48×
—
1.9600%
$4.86
13d
10
David Silva
Chase
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$240
2.40×
—
0.2600%
$0.62
2d
11
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Megacracks LaLiga EA Sports · psa 8.0
$214
2.15×
—
1.9600%
$4.20
2d
12
Gavi
2021-22 Topps Merlin Chrome UEFA League · psa 10.0
$186
1.86×
—
1.9600%
$3.65
6h
13
Cristiano Ronaldo
Chase
2015-16 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$183
1.83×
—
0.2600%
$0.48
21h
14
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Megacracks LaLiga EA Sports · psa 8.0
$182
1.82×
—
1.9600%
$3.56
1d
15
Erling Haaland
2020-21 Topps UEFA Champions League Japan Edition · psa 10.0
$167
1.67×
—
1.9600%
$3.27
5h
16
Karim Benzema
2006-07 Panini Foot Stickers · psa 10.0
$152
1.52×
—
1.9600%
$2.97
6h
17
Jude Bellingham
Chase
2024-25 Panini Select La Liga · psa 9.0
$123
1.23×
—
0.2600%
$0.32
11h
18
Mohammed Kudus
2025-26 Topps Now Premier League · psa 9.0
$96
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$1.88
3h
19
Erling Haaland
2019-20 Topps Crystal UEFA CL · psa 9.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.80
23h
20
Lionel Andres Messi
2019-20 Panini Megacracks LaLiga Santander · beckett 9.5
$86
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$1.69
3h
21
Erling Haaland
Chase
2023 Finest Road to UEFA EURO 2024 · psa 10.0
$86
0.86×
—
0.2600%
$0.22
13d
22
Lionel Messi
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Reverence UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$1.69
4h
23
Cristiano Ronaldo
2023 Topps Pristine Road To Euro 2024 · psa 9.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$1.69
10h
24
Diego Costa
No Market Comps Found
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$1.69
5h
25
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$74
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$1.44
11h
26
Francesco Camarda
2023-24 Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.43
6h
27
Mathys Tel
2021-22 Topps Merlin Chrome UEFA League · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.41
14h
28
Endrick
2024-25 Panini Megacracks · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
12h
29
Sebastián Driussi
Pop 1
2023 Topps Finest MLS · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
2d
30
Lionel Messi
2026 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.32
4h
31
Erling Haaland
2022-23 Topps UEFA Superstars · psa 9.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.31
8h
32
Arnaud Kalimuendo
2022-23 Merlin Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
4h
33
Jude Bellingham
2020-21 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
19h
34
Mohamed Salah
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.28
15h
35
Luka Modric
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 10.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$1.12
15h
36
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$1.03
3h
37
Mohammed Kudus
2025-26 Topps Now Premier League · psa 10.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
10h
38
Jude Bellingham
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
7h
39
Cristiano Ronaldo
2018 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.89
9h
40
Ricardo Pepi
2021 Topps Chrome MLS · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.85
9h
41
Ethan Nwaneri
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
8h
42
Jude Bellingham
2020-21 Topps Finest UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
12h
43
Eden Hazard
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Obsidian · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
11h
44
Maximilian Mittelstadt
Pop 1
2025-26 Topps Chrome Bundesliga · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
4h
45
Federico Valverde
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
46
Christian Pulisic
No Market Comps Found
2016-17 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
1d
47
Juan Mata/Mason Greenwood
No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini FIFA 365 · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
2h
48
Christian Pulisic
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Mosaic Premier League · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
5h
49
Daniel Yanez
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
3h
50
Andrea Pirlo
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
9h
51
Mohammed Kudus
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
1d
52
Bellingham
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Megacracks LaLiga EA Sports · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
1d
53
Givairo Read
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
1d
54
Rui Costa
2024-25 Topps Reverence UEFA Club Competitions · arena_club 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
15h
55
Julian Alvarez
2022-23 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$33
0.33×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
9h
56
Endrick
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$28
0.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
8h
57
Folarin Balogun
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$25
0.25×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
58
Lionel Messi
2021-22 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$18
0.18×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
9h
59
Brenden Aaronson
2020 Bowman MLS · psa 10.0
$15
0.15×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
7h
60
Julian Alvarez
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$14
0.14×
—
1.9600%
$0.26
10h
61
Kylian Mbappe
2018-19 Panini Donruss · arena_club 9.0
$9
0.09×
—
1.9600%
$0.17
8h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$78.58
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