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Soccer
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-16.6%
17h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
44.8×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -34.1% to -16.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
3.77%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$56
0.56× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Erling Haaland
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$4,482
44.82×
—
0.0200%
$0.90
26d
2
Lionel Messi
Grail
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 9.0
$4,302
43.02×
—
0.0200%
$0.86
17d
3
Cristiano Ronaldo
Grail
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 9.0
$3,612
36.12×
—
0.0200%
$0.72
22d
4
Endrick
Chase
2024-25 Topps Chrome Logofractor Edition UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$383
3.83×
—
0.2500%
$0.96
3d
5
Lionel Messi
Chase
2020-21 Topps UEFA Champions League Japan Edition · psa 10.0
$341
3.41×
—
0.2500%
$0.85
4d
6
Lamine Yamal
Chase
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$302
3.02×
—
0.2500%
$0.76
17h
7
Max Dowman
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$290
2.90×
—
0.2500%
$0.72
3d
8
Naomi Girma
2022 Parkside NWSL Paramount · psa 9.0
$290
2.90×
—
1.9600%
$5.68
21h
9
Viktor Gyokeres
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$290
2.90×
—
0.2500%
$0.72
5d
10
Kylian Mbappe
Chase
2021 Panini Mosaic UEFA EURO 2020 · psa 10.0
$240
2.40×
—
0.2500%
$0.60
18h
11
Lionel Messi
Chase
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$207
2.07×
—
0.2500%
$0.52
8d
12
Erling Haaland
Chase
2023-24 Panini Select Premier League · psa 10.0
$197
1.97×
—
0.2500%
$0.49
21h
13
Folarin Balogun
2021-22 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$174
1.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.41
17h
14
Desire Doue
2022-23 Topps UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$168
1.68×
—
1.9600%
$3.29
7h
15
Reece James
2020-21 Topps UEFA Champions League Stickers · psa 10.0
$121
1.21×
—
1.9600%
$2.37
1d
16
Neymar Jr.
2014 Panini World Cup Stickers · psa 10.0
$117
1.17×
—
1.9600%
$2.29
1d
17
Kylian Mbappe
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
1d
18
Christian Pulisic
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
9h
19
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$1.91
7h
20
Alejandro Garnacho
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.80
7h
21
Jude Bellingham
Pop 1
2022-23 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Club · psa 9.0
$89
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$1.74
17h
22
Lionel Messi
2022-23 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Club · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$1.63
14h
23
Lionel Messi
2025 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$1.59
17h
24
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$1.51
3d
25
Willian
2025 Panini Prizm FIFA Club World Cup · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$1.47
22h
26
Claudio Reyna
2023-24 Panini Select Premier League · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.43
1d
27
Cristiano Ronaldo
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.41
9h
28
Lamine Yamal
2024-25 Topps UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$68
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$1.32
1d
29
Christopher Nkunku
2023-24 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 9.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.32
11h
30
Tottenham Hotspur
2024-25 Topps Now UEFA Europa League · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
1d
31
Roony Bardghji
2022-23 Topps Finest Flashbacks UEFA · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
11h
32
Toni Kroos
Pop 1
2022-23 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
13h
33
Official Poster
2010 Panini FIFA World Cup South Africa · psa 10.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
7h
34
Lionel Messi
2025 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$1.19
9h
35
Pio Esposito
2025 Topps Now UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
9h
36
Erling Haaland
2021-22 Topps Finest Bundesliga · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.11
11h
37
Matt Turner
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$1.08
20h
38
Antonio Nusa
2022-23 Topps UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
17h
39
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.97
17h
40
Wayne Rooney
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
1d
41
Luka Modric
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 10.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
11h
42
Jamal Musiala
2020-21 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.93
20h
43
Lionel Messi
2020-21 Topps Merlin Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.91
12h
44
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
19h
45
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
18h
46
Luke Shaw
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
18h
47
Julian Alvarez
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
14h
48
Christian Pulisic
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome Logofractor Edition UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
13h
49
Viktor Gyokeres
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
16h
50
Thomas Partey
No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
14h
51
Cristiano Ronaldo
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Select FIFA · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
52
Jamie Vardy
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Select Premier League · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
9h
53
Wayne Rooney
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023 Topps Pristine Road To Euro 2024 · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
17h
54
Christian Pulisic
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Chrome Logofractor Edition UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
1d
55
Christian Eriksen
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
14h
56
Lionel Messi
2016-17 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$0.72
9h
57
Lennart Karl
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$34
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.66
1d
58
Lennart Karl
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$34
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.66
13h
59
Erling Haaland
2020-21 Topps UEFA Champions League Japan Edition · psa 9.0
$31
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
15h
60
Wayne Rooney
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 10.0
$27
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
11h
61
Kylian Mbappe
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$19
0.19×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
11h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$74.64
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