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Soccer
Diamond $1000 WARM
Peak 7d
-19.6%
7h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
22.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -22.3% to -19.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.01%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$601
0.60× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 80% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Lionel Messi
Grail
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$22,000
22.00×
0.0300%
$6.60
—
2
Max Dowman
Grail
1 of 1
2025-26 Topps Simplicidad UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$20,500
20.50×
0.0300%
$6.15
25d
3
Lamine Yamal
Grail
2023-24 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$20,500
20.50×
0.0300%
$6.15
—
4
Messi
Chase
2004-05 Panini Megacracks Barca Campeon/Campio · psa 9.0
$4,187
4.19×
0.2400%
$10.05
—
5
Estevao Willian
Chase
2025-26 Topps Finest Premier League · beckett 9.5
$3,500
3.50×
0.2400%
$8.40
25d
6
Lamine Yamal
Chase
2023-24 Topps Crystal Premium UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$3,394
3.39×
0.2400%
$8.14
—
7
Lionel Messi
Chase
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$3,308
3.31×
0.2400%
$7.94
—
8
Erling Haaland
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 9.0
$2,770
2.77×
—
0.2400%
$6.65
21d
9
Lionel Messi
Chase
2023 Topps MLS · psa 9.0
$2,450
2.45×
—
0.2400%
$5.88
—
10
Kylian Mbappe
Chase
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$2,070
2.07×
—
0.2400%
$4.97
12d
11
Lamine Yamal
Chase
2024 Topps Chrome UEFA EURO · psa 9.0
$2,024
2.02×
—
0.2400%
$4.86
25d
12
Diego Maradona
2020-21 Panini Mosaic Serie A · psa 9.0
$1,742
1.74×
—
1.9600%
$34.14
1d
13
Ronaldo
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · beckett 9.0
$1,689
1.69×
—
1.9600%
$33.11
7h
14
Cristiano Ronaldo
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$1,689
1.69×
—
1.9600%
$33.11
6d
15
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$1,604
1.60×
—
1.9600%
$31.44
8d
16
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Jade Edition UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$1,395
1.40×
—
1.9600%
$27.34
1d
17
Vinicius Jr.
2021-22 Panini Donruss Road to Qatar · psa 10.0
$1,327
1.33×
—
1.9600%
$26.00
26d
18
Jude Bellingham
2020-21 Topps Chrome Merlin UEFA · psa 10.0
$1,272
1.27×
—
1.9600%
$24.93
14d
19
Lionel Messi
2020 Panini On the Horizon Multi-Sport Panini Rewards · psa 9.0
$1,190
1.19×
—
1.9600%
$23.32
8d
20
Christian Pulisic
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,002
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$19.64
12d
21
Erling Haaland
2019-20 Panini Fussball Austrian Bundesliga Album Stickers · psa 10.0
$980
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$19.21
7h
22
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Adrenalyn XL La Liga · psa 10.0
$958
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$18.78
2d
23
Arda Guler
2022-23 Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$954
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$18.70
5d
24
Luka Modric
2025-26 Donruss Road to FIFA World Cup · psa 10.0
$948
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$18.58
12d
25
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$916
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$17.96
25d
26
Julian Alvarez
2025 Panini Prizm FIFA Club World Cup · psa 10.0
$887
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$17.39
6d
27
Karim Benzema
2022-23 Donruss FIFA · psa 10.0
$878
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$17.21
12d
28
Kylian Mbappe
2017-18 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$862
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$16.89
2d
29
Sergio Ramos
2020-21 Panini Mosaic La Liga · psa 10.0
$852
0.85×
—
1.9600%
$16.70
8d
30
Bukayo Saka
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$840
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$16.46
1d
31
Toni Kroos
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$754
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.78
14d
32
Kylian Mbappe
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$648
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.71
1d
33
Christian Pulisic
2024 Panini Prizm CONMEBOL Copa America · psa 10.0
$644
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.62
4d
34
Julian Alvarez
2022-23 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$638
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.51
2d
35
Erling Haaland
2019-20 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$612
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$11.99
2d
36
Lionel Messi
2018 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 10.0
$601
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$11.78
13d
37
Heung-min Son
2024-25 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$596
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$11.69
8d
38
Gavi
2022-23 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$560
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$10.98
2d
39
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$557
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$10.91
1d
40
Florian Wirtz
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$551
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$10.80
9d
41
Lionel Messi
2015-16 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$549
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$10.76
2d
42
Lamine Yamal
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$546
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$10.70
17d
43
Christian Pulisic
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$527
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$10.33
8d
44
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$518
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$10.15
9d
45
Endrick
2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · psa 10.0
$506
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$9.91
11d
46
Sergio Aguero
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$481
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$9.42
4d
47
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Jade Edition UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$447
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$8.77
2d
48
Nico Paz
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$442
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$8.66
1d
49
Erling Haaland
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$421
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$8.25
8d
50
Cristiano Ronaldo
2011 Panini Portugal de Ouro · psa 9.0
$416
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$8.15
4d
51
Julian Alvarez
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$405
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.93
14d
52
Christian Pulisic
2024 Panini Prizm CONMEBOL Copa America · psa 10.0
$404
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.92
7h
53
Erling Haaland
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
11d
54
Wayne Rooney
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select FIFA · psa 8.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
15d
55
Christian Pulisic
2019-20 Panini Prizm Premier League · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
11d
56
Pedri
2020-21 Topps Museum Collection UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
2d
57
Cole Palmer
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
58
David Beckham
No Market Comps Found
1995 Raven Manchester United Red Devils · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
15h
59
Max Dowman
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Finest Premier League · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
10d
60
Erling Braut Haland
2019-20 Topps UEFA Champions League Official Stickers · psa 10.0
$269
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$5.28
14d
61
Cristiano Ronaldo
2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · psa 9.0
$243
0.24×
—
1.9600%
$4.76
6d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$803.36
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