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Baseball
Bronze $25 WARM
Peak 7d
-16.8%
13h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
14.7×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -40.5% to -16.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.03%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$17
0.66× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 82% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $25 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Gavin Lux
2020 Topps Series 1 · beckett 9.5
$5
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.11
7h
2
1st Series Checklist: 1-88
1965 Topps · psa 4.0
$6
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.11
6h
3
Kyle Harrison
2023 Bowman · psa 9.0
$7
0.27×
—
1.9600%
$0.13
6h
4
Wyatt Langford
2024 Topps · psa 9.0
$8
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.17
6h
5
Luis Robert
Ultimate Topps Living Set · psa 10.0
$9
0.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.18
6h
6
Gleyber Torres
2018 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$9
0.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.18
7h
7
Jeff Bagwell
1992 Topps · psa 8.0
$10
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.19
6h
8
Nick Senzel
2018 Bowman · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
9
Delvin Perez
No Market Comps Found
2016 Bowman Draft · beckett 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
7h
10
Lazaro Montes
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Bowman · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
11
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
12
Cal Abrams
1955 Bowman · psa 3.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
13
Ozzie Smith
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012 Topps Allen & Ginter · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
14
A.J. Reed
2014 Bowman Draft · beckett 9.5
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
15
Kenny Rogers
2000 Topps · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
16
Nick Kurtz
2025 Topps Update · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
17
Gleyber Torres
2016 Bowman Draft · psa 8.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
18
Julio Rodriguez
2022 Topps Update · psa 9.0
$12
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.23
6h
19
Jose Adolis Garcia
2018 Bowman Chrome Mega Box · psa 9.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
6h
20
Nate Pearson
2017 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$14
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
21
Triston Casas
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$14
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
22
Juan Soto
No Market Comps Found
2022 Topps Chrome Ben Baller · beckett 9.5
$14
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
6h
23
Raul Mondesi
Pop 1
2016 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
24
Jackson Chourio
2023 Bowman Mega Box · psa 9.0
$16
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$0.30
6h
25
Mike Kekich
1969 Topps · psa 7.0
$16
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
26
Larry Walker
1990 Topps · psa 9.0
$17
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.32
6h
27
Isaac Paredes
2018 Bowman · psa 10.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
28
Randy Johnson
1989 Donruss Baseball's Best · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
29
Mike Trout
2018 Topps Heritage · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
7h
30
Adley Rutschman
2023 Topps Now Road to Opening Day · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
31
Spencer Torkelson
2022 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$18
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
7h
32
Antonio Cabello
2020 Bowman · psa 9.0
$18
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
1h
33
Konnor Griffin
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 8.0
$18
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$0.36
6h
34
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
35
Lars Anderson
2008 Donruss Threads · psa 10.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
36
Spencer Jones
2023 Bowman · psa 8.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
7h
37
Cody Bellinger
2017 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 9.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
38
Phil Ortega
1965 Topps · psa 8.0
$21
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.41
6h
39
Nolan Gorman
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$21
0.85×
—
1.9600%
$0.42
3h
40
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$21
0.85×
—
1.9600%
$0.42
6h
41
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2017 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$24
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$0.46
7h
42
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · psa 9.0
$25
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$0.48
6h
43
Travis Honeyman
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$25
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
44
Seiya Suzuki
2022 Stadium Club Chrome · psa 10.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
7h
45
Jackson Holliday
2022 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
46
Paul Skenes
No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
47
Barry Bonds
1987 Donruss · psa 9.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
48
Len Dykstra
1986 Topps · psa 8.0
$27
1.09×
—
1.9600%
$0.54
6h
49
Al Kaline / Miguel Cabrera
2015 Topps Series 1 · psa 10.0
$28
1.12×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
50
Dave Winfield
1992 Topps · beckett 9.5
$30
1.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
6h
51
Paul Skenes/Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2024 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$50
2.00×
—
0.2500%
$0.12
6h
52
Kyle Tucker
Chase
2025 Topps MLB World Tour Tokyo Series Takashi Murakami Complex Exclusive · psa 10.0
$53
2.12×
—
0.2500%
$0.13
13h
53
Don Mattingly
Chase
1986 Fleer League Leaders · psa 10.0
$59
2.36×
—
0.2500%
$0.15
1d
54
Nick Kurtz
Chase
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$66
2.64×
—
0.2500%
$0.16
7h
55
Shohei Ohtani
Chase
2023 Topps Series 2 · psa 10.0
$78
3.13×
—
0.2500%
$0.20
9h
56
Aaron Judge
Chase
2017 Topps Archives · psa 8.0
$97
3.86×
—
0.2500%
$0.24
7h
57
Juan Soto
Chase
2019 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$115
4.60×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
11h
58
Miguel Cabrera
Chase
2000 Topps Traded & Rookies · psa 9.0
$119
4.75×
—
0.2500%
$0.30
7h
59
Aaron Judge
Grail
2014 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
4d
60
Aaron Judge
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2016 Bowman Inception · beckett 9.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
3d
61
Ronald Acuna
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2017 Bowman · beckett 10.0
$367
14.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.04
21d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$17.65
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