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Card or Watch Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
-10.0%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 367 polls
Max pull
21.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 367 polls
Range: -44.2% to -10.0%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.020%
grail odds
Median pull
$745
0.74× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Topps Stadium Club · beckett 9.0
$212
0.21×
—
5.0000%
$10.62
6h
2
M Grip
Gucci · YA157301
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
3
Commander Automatic Mens Watch
Mido · M021.407.11.411.00
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
4
Ocean Star Captain Automatic Mens Watch
Mido · M0264301104100
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
5
Ocean Star 39
Mido · M0269071705100
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
6
M Dive
Gucci · YA136219
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
7
Airman Automatic Brown Dial Mens Watch GL0166
Glycine · GL0166
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
8
Dive Pro Automatic Blue Dial Mens Watch 241
Victorinox · 241995
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
9
Automatic Mens Desert Sand Dial Watch GL0551
Glycine · GL0551
$400
0.40×
—
5.0000%
$20.00
—
10
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$726
0.73×
—
5.0000%
$36.29
9h
11
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps · psa 9.0
$745
0.74×
—
5.0000%
$37.24
9h
12
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$757
0.76×
—
5.0000%
$37.84
9h
13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$786
0.79×
—
5.0000%
$39.28
19h
14
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$870
0.87×
—
5.0000%
$43.48
9h
15
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$888
0.89×
—
5.0000%
$44.40
1d
16
Chet Holmgren
Pop 1
2022-23 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$893
0.89×
—
5.0000%
$44.64
9h
17
Mike Trout
2009 Bowman Sterling · beckett 9.5
$1,080
1.08×
—
5.0000%
$54.00
7h
18
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
9h
19
M G-Chrono
Gucci · YA101204
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
—
20
M Classic
Gucci · YA166509
$1,170
1.17×
—
5.0000%
$58.53
—
21
Aaron Judge
Grail
2017 Bowman’s Best · psa 10.0
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
22
Rolex Datejust Blue Dial Jubilee
Grail
Rolex · RLX126334BLSJ
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
23
GMT-Master II Automatic Black Dial Batman
Grail
Rolex · 126710BKBLSO
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
24
Roadster Medium Model White Dial
Grail
Cartier · W2RD0009
$7,426
7.43×
—
0.0100%
$0.74
—
25
LeBron James
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$20,331
20.33×
—
0.0100%
$2.03
—
26
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.0
$21,500
21.50×
—
0.0100%
$2.15
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$690.52
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