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The Chase - Baseball

Special Series $100
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EV
-15.3%
Snapshot from 43d ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
14.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -32.9% to -7.7%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
4.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$75
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
The Chase - Baseball · Special Series · $100 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 2.00% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 2.00% chance .2-.35 2% .35-.55× pack price — 18.00% chance .35-.55 18% .55-.75× pack price — 28.00% chance .55-.75 28% .75-.9× pack price — 24.00% chance .75-.9 24% .9-1× pack price — 6.00% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 10.00% chance 1-1.25 10% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 4.00% chance 1.25-1.75 4% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.00% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 4.00% chance 2.5-4 4% 4-7× pack price — 0.030% chance 4-7 <0.1% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.060% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 14× as of Oct 1, 2026 · 9:52 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

53 cards · sorted by value ▲
1
Trey Sweeney
2022 Bowman · psa 9.0
$14
0.14×
—
2.0000%
$0.28
—
2
Larry Doby
1957 Topps · sgc 4.0
$29
0.29×
—
2.0000%
$0.58
—
3
Shohei Ohtani
2023-24 Topps Now Off-Season · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
—
4
Aaron Judge
2025-26 Topps Now Off-Season · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$0.80
—
5
Corbin Carroll
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$44
0.44×
—
2.0000%
$0.88
—
6
Murry Dickson
1957 Topps · psa 8.0
$48
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$0.96
—
7
Walter Johnson/All-Time Shutout Leaders
1973 Topps · psa 8.0
$50
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$1.00
—
8
Elly De La Cruz
2024 Topps Complete · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$1.01
—
9
Leo De Vries
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$1.02
—
10
Cal Raleigh
2022 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$1.03
—
11
Aaron Judge
2014 Bowman Draft · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$1.07
—
12
Riley Greene
2023 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$58
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$1.16
—
13
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.25
—
14
Aaron Judge/Greg Bird
2017 Topps Update · beckett 9.5
$62
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$1.25
—
15
Paul Skenes
2025 Topps · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$1.27
—
16
Shohei Ohtani/Yoshinobu Yamamoto/Roki Sasaki
2025 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$64
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$1.28
—
17
Shohei Ohtani
2019 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$1.30
—
18
Walker Jenkins
2024 Bowman · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$1.33
—
19
Michael Jordan
1991 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$66
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$1.33
—
20
Jordan Walker
2023 Topps Archives · psa 9.0
$68
0.68×
—
2.0000%
$1.36
—
21
Ken Griffey Jr.
2000 Topps · psa 8.0
$70
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$1.39
—
22
Paul Skenes
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$1.42
—
23
Aaron Judge
2025 Topps All Star Game · psa 10.0
$72
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$1.43
—
24
Albert Pujols
2001 Topps Gallery · psa 9.0
$73
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$1.46
—
25
Barry Bonds
1986 Topps Traded · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$1.50
—
26
Jackson Chourio No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$1.50
—
27
Christian Yelich Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2022 Topps Chrome Sonic · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$1.50
—
28
Bryce Rainer
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
2.0000%
$1.50
—
29
Justin Verlander
2006 Topps Turkey Red · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$1.54
—
30
Anthony Volpe
2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$78
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$1.56
—
31
Bo Jackson
1990 Score · psa 10.0
$78
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$1.56
—
32
Clayton Kershaw
2008 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · psa 9.0
$79
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$1.58
—
33
Pedro Leon
2021 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$1.58
—
34
Spencer Schwellenbach
2025 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.60
—
35
Bob Friend
1956 Topps · psa 7.0
$80
0.80×
—
2.0000%
$1.60
—
36
Julio Rodriguez
2024 Topps NSCC Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$1.62
—
37
Derek Jeter
1993 Fleer ProCards South Atlantic League All-Stars · psa 9.0
$82
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$1.64
—
38
Travis Bazzana
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$90
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$1.80
—
39
Duke Snider
1952 Topps · sgc 2.0
$95
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$1.90
—
40
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$98
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$1.97
—
41
Shohei Ohtani/Babe Ruth
2023 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$108
1.07×
—
2.0000%
$2.15
—
42
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps MLB World Tour Tokyo Series Takashi Murakami Complex Exclusive · psa 8.0
$116
1.16×
—
2.0000%
$2.33
—
43
Barry Bonds
1987 Fleer Baseball's Hottest Stars · psa 9.0
$117
1.17×
—
2.0000%
$2.35
—
44
Travis Bazzana
2024 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$121
1.21×
—
2.0000%
$2.42
—
45
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Holiday · psa 10.0
$124
1.24×
—
2.0000%
$2.49
—
46
Colt Keith
2024 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$127
1.27×
—
2.0000%
$2.53
—
47
Ken Griffey Jr.
1992 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$168
1.68×
—
2.0000%
$3.35
—
48
Anthony Volpe
2023 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$176
1.76×
—
2.0000%
$3.52
—
49
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Update · psa 10.0
$250
2.50×
—
2.0000%
$5.00
—
50
Shohei Ohtani
2025 Topps · psa 9.0
$252
2.52×
—
2.0000%
$5.04
—
51
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Topps Chrome Logofractor · psa 9.0
$430
4.30×
—
0.0300%
$0.13
—
52
Ken Griffey Jr.
2001 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$1,284
12.84×
—
0.0300%
$0.39
—
53
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 9.0
$1,432
14.32×
—
0.0300%
$0.43
—
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$84.73
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