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Baseball

Crown Jewel $5000
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EV
-17.4%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-17.4%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
11.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.9% to -17.4%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
4.41%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.050%
grail odds
Median pull
$3,831
0.77× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
11% of pulls are worth at least the $5000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Baseball · Crown Jewel · $5000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 3.06% chance .1-.2 3% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 9.18% chance .35-.55 9% .55-.75× pack price — 24.48% chance .55-.75 24% .75-.9× pack price — 42.84% chance .75-.9 43% .9-1× pack price — 9.18% chance .9-1 9% 1-1.25× pack price — 6.12% chance 1-1.25 6% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 0.480% chance 1.25-1.75 0% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 3.78% chance 1.75-2.5 4% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.770% chance 2.5-4 1% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.100% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 11× as of Oct 28, 2026 · 8:06 PM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

43 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Bobby Witt Jr. Grail 1 of 1
2025 Topps Dynasty · psa 9.0
$55,000
11.00×
0.0500%
$27.50
—
2
Mickey Mantle/Ken Griffey Jr. Grail
1994 Upper Deck · beckett 8.0
$35,000
7.00×
0.0500%
$17.50
—
3
Aaron Judge Grail
2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · beckett 9.5
$18,331
3.67×
0.0500%
$9.17
22d
4
Aaron Judge Chase
2017 Bowman · psa 10.0
$18,256
3.65×
0.2400%
$43.81
—
5
Mike Trout/Shohei Ohtani Chase Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2023 Topps Sterling · psa 8.0
$14,438
2.89×
0.2400%
$34.65
6d
6
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2022 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0
$14,438
2.89×
0.2400%
$34.65
12h
7
Aaron Judge Chase No Market Comps Found
2017 Topps Finest · beckett 9.5
$11,290
2.26×
0.2400%
$27.10
—
8
Paul Skenes
2023 Bowman Draft Sapphire · psa 9.0
$11,290
2.26×
—
3.0600%
$345.47
6d
9
Ronald Acuna Chase
2018 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.5
$11,000
2.20×
—
0.2400%
$26.40
6d
10
Jacob Misiorowski Chase
2026 Topps · psa 10.0
$9,783
1.96×
—
0.2400%
$23.48
6d
11
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire · psa 10.0
$8,027
1.61×
—
0.2400%
$19.26
—
12
Shohei Ohtani Chase
2022 Topps Chrome Logofractor · psa 10.0
$6,809
1.36×
—
0.2400%
$16.34
6d
13
Bobby Witt Jr.
2022 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$5,065
1.01×
—
3.0600%
$154.99
5d
14
Ichiro/Albert Pujols 1 of 1
2023 Topps Transcendent Collection · psa 10.0
$5,000
1.00×
—
3.0600%
$153.00
24d
15
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome Update · psa 9.0
$4,894
0.98×
—
3.0600%
$149.76
4h
16
Nick Kurtz
2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$4,712
0.94×
—
3.0600%
$144.17
4d
17
Shohei Ohtani
2024 Bowman's Best · psa 10.0
$4,540
0.91×
—
3.0600%
$138.91
26d
18
Tarik Skubal
2020 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$4,429
0.89×
—
3.0600%
$135.53
5d
19
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Bowman · psa 9.0
$4,297
0.86×
—
3.0600%
$131.50
8d
20
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$4,120
0.82×
—
3.0600%
$126.07
5d
21
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2026 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$4,099
0.82×
—
3.0600%
$125.43
5d
22
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2016 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$4,000
0.80×
—
3.0600%
$122.40
12d
23
Elly De La Cruz
2022 Bowman · psa 10.0
$4,000
0.80×
—
3.0600%
$122.40
6d
24
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,983
0.80×
—
3.0600%
$121.88
2d
25
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,983
0.80×
—
3.0600%
$121.88
6d
26
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,983
0.80×
—
3.0600%
$121.88
5d
27
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 10.0
$3,831
0.77×
—
3.0600%
$117.23
14d
28
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Heritage High Number · psa 10.0
$3,831
0.77×
—
3.0600%
$117.23
20d
29
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$3,802
0.76×
—
3.0600%
$116.34
5d
30
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$3,802
0.76×
—
3.0600%
$116.34
8d
31
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome Update · psa 10.0
$3,802
0.76×
—
3.0600%
$116.34
6d
32
Ichiro Suzuki
2001 Topps Traded · psa 9.0
$3,631
0.73×
—
3.0600%
$111.11
6d
33
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2024 Topps Gilded Collection · psa 10.0
$3,622
0.72×
—
3.0600%
$110.83
12h
34
Mookie Betts
2014 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$3,600
0.72×
—
3.0600%
$110.16
7h
35
Shohei Ohtani No Market Comps Found
2026 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$3,400
0.68×
—
3.0600%
$104.04
3d
36
Ken Griffey Jr.
1998 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,400
0.68×
—
3.0600%
$104.04
5d
37
Paul Skenes
2023 Bowman Draft · psa 10.0
$3,320
0.66×
—
3.0600%
$101.59
6d
38
Aaron Judge
2017 Bowman Chrome National Convention · psa 10.0
$3,227
0.65×
—
3.0600%
$98.75
7h
39
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,166
0.63×
—
3.0600%
$96.89
4d
40
Shohei Ohtani
2018 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$2,132
0.43×
—
3.0600%
$65.22
14d
41
Don Mattingly/Aaron Judge Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2021 Topps Sterling · psa 10.0
$2,000
0.40×
—
3.0600%
$61.20
14d
42
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2026 Topps Chrome · beckett 10.0
$2,000
0.40×
—
3.0600%
$61.20
5d
43
Aaron Judge
2013 Bowman Draft Picks & Prospects · psa 9.0
$933
0.19×
—
3.0600%
$28.55
5d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$4132.21
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