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Football

Bronze $25 WARM

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-25.8%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-11.6%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

42.8×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -33.7% to -11.6%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.11%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$17

0.68× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

18% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Troy Aikman · 1989 Score · PSA 8 pulled

23s ago

$22

↑

Hines Ward · 1998 Bowman · PSA 9 added

23s ago

$37

↓

C.J. Stroud · 2024 Panini Prizm · PSA 10 pulled

5m 45s ago

$50

↓

Michael Penix Jr. · 2024 Panini Select · PSA 9 pulled

5m 45s ago

$23

Live activity is Pro

See pulls and adds as they happen

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Patrick Mahomes II Grail

2019 Panini Unparalleled · psa 9.0

$1,071

42.84×

—

0.0100%

$0.11

Justin Herbert Grail

2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0

$1,044

41.74×

—

0.0100%

$0.10

14d

Bo Nix Grail

2024 Panini Origins · psa 10.0

$979

39.16×

—

0.0100%

$0.10

Drake Maye Chase

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$130

5.20×

—

0.2600%

$0.34

Nick Chubb Chase

2018 Panini National Treasures · beckett 9.0

$130

5.20×

—

0.2600%

$0.34

J.J. Watt Chase Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$121

4.84×

—

0.2600%

$0.31

Jaxson Dart Chase

2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$121

4.84×

—

0.2600%

$0.31

Malik Nabers Chase

2025 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0

$102

4.06×

—

0.2600%

$0.26

Bryce Young Chase

2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$100

4.02×

—

0.2600%

$0.26

Patrick Mahomes II Chase

2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$78

3.14×

—

0.2600%

$0.20

Trevor Lawrence Chase

2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$67

2.68×

—

0.2600%

$0.17

Tom Brady

2005 Donruss Gridiron Gear · psa 8.0

$30

1.20×

—

1.9600%

$0.59

Brian Thomas Jr.

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$29

1.17×

—

1.9600%

$0.57

DK Metcalf

2019 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$28

1.14×

—

1.9600%

$0.56

Lamar Jackson

2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$28

1.12×

—

1.9600%

$0.55

Terry Bradshaw

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$28

1.12×

—

1.9600%

$0.55

Michael Penix Jr.

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$26

1.04×

—

1.9600%

$0.51

Dan Fouts

1976 Topps · psa 8.0

$26

1.03×

—

1.9600%

$0.51

Ja'Marr Chase

2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$25

1.00×

—

1.9600%

$0.49

CJ Stroud

2023 Topps Composite · psa 10.0

$24

0.98×

—

1.9600%

$0.48

22m 5s

Drake London

2022 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$23

0.92×

—

1.9600%

$0.45

38m 50s

Jayden Daniels

2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$22

0.90×

—

1.9600%

$0.44

Jalen Hurts

2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Caleb Williams

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$22

0.87×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner

2022 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0

$21

0.84×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

38m 50s

Michael Penix Jr.

2024 Donruss · psa 10.0

$21

0.84×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

Justin Herbert

2020 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0

$20

0.80×

—

1.9600%

$0.39

Ja'Marr Chase

2021 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

Marvin Harrison Jr.

2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

Shannon Sharpe

1991 Bowman · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

Dion Sims Pop 1

2013 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

Jayden Daniels

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$17

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Jordan Love

2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0

$17

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Dan Marino

1995 Fleer · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Ja'Marr Chase

2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 8.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Marvin Harrison Jr.

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Jim Harbaugh

1989 Topps Traded · psa 9.0

$16

0.65×

—

1.9600%

$0.32

Jamal Reynolds Pop 1

2001 Topps · psa 9.0

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Jeremiah Castille

1986 Topps · psa 9.0

$16

0.63×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Mark Brunell

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 10.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.26

16m 54s

Mark Brunell

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 9.0

$12

0.50×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Bubba Franks

2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0

$12

0.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

54m 14s

Raymond Clayborn

1978 Topps · psa 6.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Tyjae Spears Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

43m 58s

Brian Urlacher No Market Comps Found

2018 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

David Boston No Market Comps Found

1999 SP Authentic · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

43m 58s

Jamal Lewis No Market Comps Found

2000 Topps Season Opener · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Neal Anderson

2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · beckett 8.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Hugh Taylor

1953 Bowman · sgc 6.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Shaun Wade Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2021 Panini Score · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Bruce Smith

1968 Topps · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Cole Strange No Market Comps Found

2022 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Drake Maye

2024 Panini Select · sgc 7.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Corey Linsley No Market Comps Found

2015 Panini Ohio State Buckeyes · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

22m 5s

Jake Plummer

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jared Goff

2020 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0

0.38×

—

1.9600%

$0.18

Mark Gastineau

1983 Topps · psa 8.0

0.37×

—

1.9600%

$0.18

Peter Warrick

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 9.0

0.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.18

Van Jefferson

2020 Panini Illusions · psa 10.0

0.34×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

54m 14s

Chris Redman

2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0

0.26×

—

1.9600%

$0.13

Ricky Pearsall

2024 Panini Clearly Donruss · psa 9.0

0.22×

—

1.9600%

$0.11

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$18.55

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