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Football

Silver $50
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EV
-31.4%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-7.1%
16h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
2000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -39.4% to -7.1%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
3.24%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$26
0.52× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
16% of pulls are worth at least the $50 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Football · Silver · $50 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 2.21% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 5.88% chance .2-.35 6% .35-.55× pack price — 45.08% chance .35-.55 45% .55-.75× pack price — 19.60% chance .55-.75 20% .75-.9× pack price — 5.88% chance .75-.9 6% .9-1× pack price — 5.88% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 3.92% chance 1-1.25 4% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 7.84% chance 1.25-1.75 8% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.96% chance 1.75-2.5 3% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.750% chance 2.5-4 1% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.030% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 2000× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:18 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
2000.00×
—
0.0001%
$0.10
14d
2
Joe Burrow Grail
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$1,875
37.50×
—
0.0100%
$0.19
1d
3
Patrick Mahomes II Grail
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,416
28.33×
—
0.0100%
$0.14
2d
4
Patrick Mahomes II Grail
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,394
27.87×
—
0.0100%
$0.14
1d
5
Justin Herbert Chase
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$139
2.77×
—
0.2500%
$0.35
3h
6
Wan'Dale Robinson Chase
2022 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$132
2.64×
—
0.2500%
$0.33
8h
7
Jayden Daniels Chase
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$130
2.60×
—
0.2500%
$0.33
6h
8
Jayden Daniels Chase
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$123
2.46×
—
0.2500%
$0.31
9h
9
Marcus Allen Chase
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$112
2.24×
—
0.2500%
$0.28
6h
10
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini The National VIP · psa 10.0
$102
2.04×
—
1.9600%
$2.00
6h
11
Jayden Daniels Chase
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$96
1.91×
—
0.2500%
$0.24
13h
12
Drake Maye Chase
2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$91
1.83×
—
0.2500%
$0.23
11h
13
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$85
1.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.67
7h
14
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$81
1.62×
—
1.9600%
$1.59
7h
15
Sean Taylor
2004 Topps · psa 9.0
$65
1.30×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
6h
16
Travis Kelce
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$64
1.28×
—
1.9600%
$1.26
6h
17
Randall Cunningham
1987 Topps · psa 9.0
$60
1.20×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
6h
18
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$54
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
6h
19
Drew Brees
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$48
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$0.95
7h
20
Earl Campbell
2015 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$47
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
6h
21
Josh Allen
2020 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$47
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
6h
22
Barry Sanders
1989 Pro Set · psa 9.0
$43
0.85×
—
1.9600%
$0.83
6h
23
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
24
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$39
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
6h
25
Eric Stokes
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$34
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.67
6h
26
Jordan Addison
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
6h
27
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$32
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$0.64
6h
28
Cam Smith
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
7h
29
Penei Sewell
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 8.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
6h
30
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$29
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
31
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$29
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
32
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$29
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$0.56
6h
33
Cam Skattebo
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$28
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
34
Micah Parsons
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$28
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
35
Sam Darnold
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$26
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.51
6h
36
Kevin Greene Pop 1
1996 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$26
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.51
6h
37
Jaylen Waddle
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$25
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
38
Ladd McConkey
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$22
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.44
6h
39
Patrick Mahomes II/Travis Kelce
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 8.0
$22
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
40
Andrew Luck
2014 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
41
Tony Gonzalez
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
42
Travis Hunter
2025 Panini National Treasures · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
43
Brock Purdy
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
44
Kyler Murray
2019 Panini Unparalleled · beckett 9.5
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
45
Deion Sanders
1993 SP · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
4h
46
RJ Harvey Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
47
Terry McLaurin
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
48
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
49
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
50
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
51
Justin Herbert No Market Comps Found
2022 Panini Prestige · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
52
DJ Moore
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
53
AJ Dillon
2020 Panini Immaculate Collection · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
54
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
55
Cris Carter Pop 1
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
56
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
57
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
58
Michael Penix Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$17
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
59
Nick Bosa
2019 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$16
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
60
Najee Harris
2021 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$10
0.21×
—
1.9600%
$0.21
6h
61
Chase Young
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$8
0.15×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
6h
62
Barry Sanders Chase
2023 Topps Composite · arena_club 10.0
$6
0.13×
—
0.2500%
$0.02
8h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$34.29
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