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Football
Silver $50 WARM
Peak 7d
-16.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
37.7×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -32.1% to -16.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.53%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$34
0.67× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $50 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Tom Brady
Grail
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$1,883
37.66×
—
0.0100%
$0.19
1d
2
Trevor Lawrence
Grail
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,838
36.76×
—
0.0100%
$0.18
2d
3
Tom Brady
Grail
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,005
20.10×
—
0.0100%
$0.10
11d
4
Jayden Daniels
Chase
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$167
3.34×
—
0.2500%
$0.42
1d
5
Travis Kelce
Chase
Pop 1
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$156
3.13×
—
0.2500%
$0.39
19h
6
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Chase
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$150
3.00×
—
0.2500%
$0.38
19h
7
Barry Sanders
Chase
1990 Sports Illustrated for Kids · psa 9.0
$150
2.99×
—
0.2500%
$0.37
1d
8
Isaac TeSlaa
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$124
2.48×
—
0.2500%
$0.31
10h
9
Cam Ward
Chase
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$100
2.00×
—
0.2500%
$0.25
10h
10
Jaylen Waddle
Chase
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$98
1.96×
—
0.2500%
$0.24
6h
11
Chop Robinson
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$98
1.96×
—
0.2500%
$0.24
11h
12
Barry Sanders
1992 Pacific · psa 9.0
$94
1.88×
—
1.9600%
$1.84
6h
13
Justin Jefferson
2022 Panini XR · psa 10.0
$68
1.36×
—
1.9600%
$1.33
7h
14
Cedric Tillman
Pop 1
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$64
1.28×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
8h
15
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$62
1.24×
—
1.9600%
$1.22
6h
16
Christian McCaffrey
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$56
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$1.09
7h
17
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$52
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
9h
18
Tom Brady
2004 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$49
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$0.97
6h
19
Michael Pittman Jr.
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$47
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
7h
20
Josh Allen
2023 Panini Prestige · psa 9.0
$45
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$0.88
7h
21
Michael Penix Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.83
16m 40s
22
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
6h
23
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
7h
24
Daniel Jones
2018 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$41
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$0.81
6h
25
Ricky Pearsall
2023 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$41
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$0.80
5h
26
Micah Parsons
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
3h
27
Josh Allen
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
8h
28
Richard Lane
1957 Topps · sgc 4.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
29
Ronnie Lott
1992 Topps · psa 10.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
4h
30
Deebo Samuel
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
31
Adrian Peterson
2007 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.5
$39
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
7h
32
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$38
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.74
12h
33
Randall Cunningham/Fred Barnett
1991 Score · psa 10.0
$37
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$0.73
6h
34
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$35
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
3h
35
Michael Penix Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$34
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.67
7h
36
J.J. McCarthy
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$34
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$0.66
5h
37
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 8.0
$34
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$0.66
7h
38
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$33
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
7h
39
DeAndre Hopkins
2013 Score · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
7h
40
Andre Rison
1989 Score · psa 10.0
$32
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$0.64
7h
41
Christian Kirk
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$32
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$0.63
7h
42
Calvin Johnson
2007 Score · psa 9.0
$30
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$0.60
10h
43
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$30
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.59
9h
44
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$30
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
6h
45
Travis Kelce
2021 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$30
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
6h
46
Patrick Mahomes II
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$29
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
7h
47
Brent Jones
1990 Fleer Update · psa 10.0
$29
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$0.58
6h
48
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$28
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
49
Puka Nacua
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$28
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
50
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$27
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
7h
51
Breece Hall
2022 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$27
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
7h
52
Packers Checklist
1993 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$26
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.51
6h
53
Jayden Daniels
2024 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$26
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$0.51
8h
54
Malik Nabers
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
7h
55
Jimmy Garoppolo
2014 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
7h
56
Chris Horn
2003 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
7h
57
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
13h
58
Isiah Pacheco
2022 Panini Donruss Elite · psa 9.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
11m 40s
59
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Chronicles · sgc 9.5
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
8h
60
Jaxson Dart
Pop 1
2025 Panini Revolution · psa 8.0
$25
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.49
6h
61
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$16
0.33×
—
1.9600%
$0.32
7h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$39.50
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