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Football
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-19.8%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
46.2×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -35.4% to -19.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
5.48%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$62
0.62× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Joe Burrow
Grail
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,618
46.18×
0.0200%
$0.92
9d
2
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$2,917
29.17×
0.0200%
$0.58
11d
3
Josh Allen
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$2,917
29.17×
0.0200%
$0.58
—
4
Kurt Warner
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$338
3.38×
0.2500%
$0.84
13h
5
Walter Payton
Chase
1976 Topps · psa 3.0
$301
3.01×
0.2500%
$0.75
16h
6
Jayden Daniels
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$276
2.77×
0.2500%
$0.69
1d
7
Ja'Marr Chase
Chase
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$274
2.74×
0.2500%
$0.69
15h
8
Barry Sanders
Chase
1989 Topps Traded · psa 10.0
$260
2.60×
—
0.2500%
$0.65
8h
9
Patrick Mahomes II
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$255
2.55×
—
0.2500%
$0.64
8h
10
Jared Goff
2016 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$255
2.55×
—
1.9600%
$5.00
7h
11
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$244
2.44×
—
1.9600%
$4.78
6h
12
Randy Moss
Chase
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$195
1.95×
—
0.2500%
$0.49
1d
13
A.J. Brown
Chase
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$155
1.55×
—
0.2500%
$0.39
1d
14
DK Metcalf
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
7h
15
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
7h
16
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$109
1.09×
—
1.9600%
$2.14
7h
17
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.9600%
$1.97
6h
18
Isaac TeSlaa
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
6h
19
Jaxson Dart
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
6h
20
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$1.86
6h
21
Mike Evans
2014 Topps Platinum · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$1.82
6h
22
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.80
6h
23
Barry Sanders
1989 Score · psa 8.0
$91
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$1.79
7h
24
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$90
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$1.77
6h
25
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$1.52
6h
26
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$1.51
7h
27
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.43
7h
28
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.42
6h
29
Deuce Vaughn
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$1.39
3h
30
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Instant · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
6h
31
Pat Bryant
2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · beckett 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
7h
32
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$68
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$1.34
8h
33
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
6h
34
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
6h
35
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
6h
36
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$1.21
7h
37
Tom Brady
2008 Leaf Limited · psa 8.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$1.20
6h
38
Chad Johnson
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$1.20
6h
39
Tyler Shough
No Market Comps Found
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$1.20
8h
40
Shedeur Sanders
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$1.20
6h
41
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$1.17
10h
42
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$1.16
7h
43
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
6h
44
Tom Brady
2004 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
9h
45
CeeDee Lamb
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
6h
46
Brock Bowers
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
6h
47
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
7h
48
Aaron Rodgers
No Market Comps Found
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
6h
49
Tom Brady
2004 Topps · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
8h
50
Chris Olave
2022 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
7h
51
Eddie George
1996 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
6h
52
Xavier Legette
2024 Panini Certified · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
8h
53
Tom Brady
2008 Upper Deck First Edition · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.89
8h
54
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
7h
55
Jordan Love
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
56
Matt Ryan
2008 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
57
Joe Schmidt
1956 Topps · sgc 3.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
8h
58
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.77
10h
59
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$0.73
7h
60
Peyton Manning
1998 Fleer Brilliants · psa 9.0
$31
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
9h
61
Tom Brady
2005 Upper Deck ESPN · psa 9.0
$29
0.29×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$78.77
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