You're viewing the public snapshot — data is 6 hours behind. Create a free account for the 1-hour view plus save & track — Pro unlocks live data + Rip Mode.
Sign up free →
Football
Emerald $500 WARM
Peak 7d
-12.1%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
34.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -24.4% to -12.1%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$347
0.69× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
Upgrade to Pro →
Pool composition
You're underwater on 74% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $500 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Justin Herbert
Grail
1 of 1
2020 Panini National Treasures · beckett 8.5
$17,000
34.00×
0.0300%
$5.10
13d
2
Tom Brady
Grail
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$11,033
22.07×
0.0300%
$3.31
4d
3
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2017 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.5
$11,033
22.07×
0.0300%
$3.31
12d
4
Colston Loveland
Chase
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,840
3.68×
0.2500%
$4.60
3d
5
Jordan Love
Chase
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,725
3.45×
0.2500%
$4.31
4d
6
Patrick Mahomes II
Chase
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,650
3.30×
0.2500%
$4.12
3d
7
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,638
3.28×
0.2500%
$4.10
1d
8
Jaxson Dart/Abdul Carter
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,638
3.28×
—
0.2500%
$4.10
1d
9
Justin Jefferson
Chase
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,418
2.84×
—
0.2500%
$3.54
2d
10
Amon-Ra St.Brown
Chase
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,409
2.82×
—
0.2500%
$3.52
1d
11
Ashton Jeanty
Chase
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,209
2.42×
—
0.2500%
$3.02
6h
12
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$893
1.79×
—
1.9600%
$17.50
18h
13
Trevor Lawrence
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Obsidian · beckett 9.5
$790
1.58×
—
1.9600%
$15.48
19h
14
Jalen Hurts
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$790
1.58×
—
1.9600%
$15.48
12h
15
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$733
1.47×
—
1.9600%
$14.36
15h
16
DK Metcalf
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$618
1.24×
—
1.9600%
$12.12
22h
17
Tom Brady
2014 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$563
1.13×
—
1.9600%
$11.03
1d
18
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$553
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$10.84
7h
19
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$540
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$10.58
17h
20
A.J. Brown
2019 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$525
1.05×
—
1.9600%
$10.29
17h
21
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$517
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$10.13
12h
22
Tom Brady
2005 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$510
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$10.00
12h
23
Tom Brady
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$510
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$10.00
16h
24
Tom Brady
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$498
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$9.77
1d
25
Peyton Manning
2025 Panini Prizm Black · beckett 9.5
$432
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$8.48
16h
26
Tom Brady
2010 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$432
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$8.48
13h
27
Tom Brady
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$432
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$8.48
20h
28
Jared Goff
2016 Panini Spectra · beckett 9.5
$429
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$8.41
22h
29
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$429
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$8.41
22h
30
Tyreek Hill
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$382
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$7.48
15h
31
Quentin Johnston
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$380
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$7.45
15h
32
Adrian Peterson
2007 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$369
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$7.23
8h
33
Breece Hall
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$369
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$7.22
17h
34
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$368
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$7.21
16h
35
Breece Hall
Pop 1
2022 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$356
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$6.98
16h
36
Tom Brady
2017 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$347
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$6.80
1d
37
Patrick Mahomes II
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$344
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$6.74
8h
38
Dan Marino
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$344
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$6.74
23h
39
John Elway
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$339
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$6.64
1d
40
Tom Brady
2002 Topps · psa 9.0
$311
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$6.09
1d
41
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$309
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$6.05
13h
42
Peyton Manning
2003 SP Authentic · psa 8.0
$301
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$5.90
19h
43
Tom Brady
2003 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$291
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$5.71
15h
44
Tom Brady
2002 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$291
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$5.71
2d
45
Maxx Crosby
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$291
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$5.70
12h
46
Maxx Crosby
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$291
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$5.70
8h
47
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$287
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$5.63
2h
48
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$284
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$5.56
1d
49
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$5.47
12h
50
Bruce Smith
1999 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$5.47
15h
51
Christian McCaffrey
2024 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0
$272
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$5.33
15h
52
Tom Brady
2000 Skybox · psa 8.0
$270
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$5.30
4d
53
Terry Bradshaw
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$255
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$4.99
15h
54
Ben Roethlisberger
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$251
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$4.92
8h
55
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$246
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$4.82
3d
56
Patrick Mahomes II
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$240
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$4.71
3d
57
Colston Loveland
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$226
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$4.43
1d
58
Dallas Turner
Pop 1
2024 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$3.92
1d
59
Tom Brady
2004 Upper Deck Reflections · psa 8.0
$163
0.33×
—
1.9600%
$3.19
13h
60
Tom Brady
2006 Flair Showcase · psa 10.0
$97
0.19×
—
1.9600%
$1.90
15h
61
Tom Brady
2008 Topps Chrome · beckett 8.0
$70
0.14×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
17h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$421.23
View Football Emerald on Arena Club →
Opens Arena Club in a new tab · we're independent and earn nothing from your click