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Football
Ruby $250 WARM
Peak 7d
-10.3%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
38.4×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -25.7% to -10.3%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.59%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$182
0.73× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 88% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Joe Burrow
Grail
2020 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$9,600
38.40×
—
0.0300%
$2.88
11d
2
Sean Taylor
Grail
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$9,134
36.54×
—
0.0300%
$2.74
3d
3
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.0
$4,320
17.28×
—
0.0300%
$1.30
13d
4
Matthew Golden
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$696
2.78×
—
0.2500%
$1.74
4d
5
Brock Bowers
Chase
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$681
2.72×
—
0.2500%
$1.70
2d
6
Cam Ward
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$681
2.72×
—
0.2500%
$1.70
12h
7
Mike Evans
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$573
2.29×
—
0.2500%
$1.43
6h
8
Tom Brady
Chase
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$573
2.29×
—
0.2500%
$1.43
1d
9
Cooper Kupp
Chase
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$567
2.27×
—
0.2500%
$1.42
20h
10
Tetairoa McMillan
Chase
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$491
1.97×
—
0.2500%
$1.23
10h
11
Cam Ward
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$314
1.26×
—
1.9600%
$6.16
18h
12
Rome Odunze
Chase
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$299
1.20×
—
0.2500%
$0.75
4d
13
Maxx Crosby
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$291
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$5.70
8h
14
Jalen Hurts
2019 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$288
1.15×
—
1.9600%
$5.64
7h
15
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.9600%
$5.16
8h
16
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Certified · psa 10.0
$250
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$4.90
7h
17
Cam Ward
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$249
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$4.88
7h
18
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$247
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$4.84
11h
19
Drew Brees
2014 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$235
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$4.61
9h
20
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$232
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$4.55
9h
21
Brian Thomas Jr.
2024 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$229
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$4.50
10h
22
Barry Sanders
1989 Pro Set · psa 10.0
$228
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$4.46
7h
23
Joe Burrow/Trevor Lawrence
No Market Comps Found
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$4.25
11h
24
Justin Herbert
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$4.25
11h
25
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$4.25
10h
26
Christian McCaffrey
2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$209
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$4.10
13h
27
Joe Burrow
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$201
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$3.94
10h
28
Tom Brady
2002 Playoff Contenders · psa 9.0
$199
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$3.91
11h
29
Brian Thomas Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$195
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$3.82
8h
30
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$193
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$3.78
6h
31
Deion Sanders
1990 Topps · psa 9.0
$189
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$3.71
11h
32
Christian McCaffrey
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$187
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$3.67
7h
33
Dave Stachelski/Tom Brady
2000 Fleer Tradition · psa 9.0
$186
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.64
10h
34
RJ Harvey
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$185
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.62
1d
35
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$184
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$3.60
8h
36
Calvin Johnson Jr.
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$182
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$3.57
15h
37
Tony Romo
Pop 1
2016 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$179
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$3.51
8h
38
Barry Sanders
1990 Score · psa 10.0
$176
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$3.46
8h
39
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$174
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$3.41
9h
40
Thurman Thomas
1989 Score · psa 10.0
$172
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$3.36
7h
41
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$168
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$3.28
6h
42
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$166
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$3.25
9h
43
Garrett Wilson
2022 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$160
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$3.13
9h
44
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$3.04
8h
45
Myles Garrett
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$152
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$2.98
8h
46
Lamar Jackson
Pop 1
2024 Panini Encore · psa 9.0
$148
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$2.90
9h
47
Bo Nix
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$145
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$2.85
8h
48
Malik Willis
2022 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$145
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$2.84
8h
49
Jayden Higgins
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$142
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$2.78
10h
50
Brian Urlacher
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 8.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$2.77
7h
51
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$136
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$2.67
6h
52
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$129
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$2.52
6h
53
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$128
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$2.52
13h
54
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$125
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$2.45
6h
55
De'Von Achane
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$124
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$2.42
11h
56
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$120
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$2.35
8h
57
Brett Favre
1991 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$117
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$2.30
7h
58
Earl Campbell
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2015 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
17h
59
Brian Dawkins
Pop 1
2023 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
13h
60
Tom Brady
2022 Panini Illusions · psa 9.0
$92
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$1.79
8h
61
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Gold Standard · psa 8.0
$60
0.24×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
11h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$195.50
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