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Football
Bronze $25 WARM
Peak 7d
-11.6%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
42.8×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -33.7% to -11.6%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
3.81%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$15
0.60× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2019 Panini Unparalleled · psa 9.0
$1,071
42.84×
0.0100%
$0.11
8d
2
Justin Herbert
Grail
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,044
41.74×
0.0100%
$0.10
14d
3
Bo Nix
Grail
2024 Panini Origins · psa 10.0
$979
39.16×
0.0100%
$0.10
3d
4
Drake Maye
Chase
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$130
5.20×
0.2600%
$0.34
7h
5
Nick Chubb
Chase
2018 Panini National Treasures · beckett 9.0
$130
5.20×
0.2600%
$0.34
8h
6
Malik Nabers
Chase
2025 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0
$102
4.06×
0.2600%
$0.26
8h
7
Bryce Young
Chase
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$100
4.02×
0.2600%
$0.26
7h
8
J.J. Watt
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$100
4.02×
—
0.2600%
$0.26
8h
9
Marcus Allen
Chase
1983 Topps · psa 9.0
$78
3.14×
—
0.2600%
$0.20
6h
10
Patrick Mahomes II
Chase
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$78
3.14×
—
0.2600%
$0.20
8h
11
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$52
2.08×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
3h
12
NFC Rookie Force Checklist
1991 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$40
1.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
13
Cam Ward
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$40
1.60×
—
0.2600%
$0.10
6h
14
Brock Purdy
2022 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$34
1.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.67
6h
15
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Pop 1
2020 Panini Certified · psa 9.0
$31
1.24×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
9m 12s
16
Reggie Wayne
2012 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$29
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
5h
17
Jeff Bostic
1983 Topps · psa 9.0
$29
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
1h
18
Lamar Jackson
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$28
1.12×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
6h
19
Terry Bradshaw
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$28
1.12×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
7h
20
Rome Odunze
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$27
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.53
6h
21
Troy Aikman
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$22
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
4h
22
Alvin Kamara
2019 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$22
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
23
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$21
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$0.42
6h
24
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
25
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$20
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$0.38
1h
26
John Wolford
2020 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
37m 1s
27
James Conner
Pop 1
2019 Panini Certified · psa 8.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
3h
28
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0
$18
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
3h
29
Shannon Sharpe
1991 Bowman · psa 9.0
$18
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.35
2h
30
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$17
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$0.34
2h
31
Kurt Warner
1999 Collector's Edge Odyssey · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
2h
32
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$16
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
4h
33
Jeremiah Castille
1986 Topps · psa 9.0
$16
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
34
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$15
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$0.30
3h
35
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
36
Jayden Daniels
2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
5h
37
Kevin Johnson
2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 10.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
4h
38
Ricky Pearsall
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$14
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$0.27
1h
39
Tank Dell
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$12
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
2h
40
Hugh Taylor
1953 Bowman · sgc 6.0
$12
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
7h
41
Bubba Franks
2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
1h
42
Michael Penix Jr.
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$12
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.23
6h
43
Josiah Deguara
Pop 1
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
4m 8s
44
Zac Taylor
No Market Comps Found
2007 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
5h
45
Dak Prescott
2016 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
2h
46
Jalen Royals
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
1h
47
Tim Couch
No Market Comps Found
1999 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
4h
48
Chris Cole
No Market Comps Found
2000 Upper Deck Graded · sgc 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
9m 12s
49
Alex Bannister
No Market Comps Found
2001 Fleer Authority · beckett 8.5
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
1h
50
Daryle Lamonica
No Market Comps Found
1970 Topps · sgc 5.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
4h
51
Reggie Bush
2006 Score · beckett 9.5
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
5h
52
David Boston
No Market Comps Found
1999 SP Authentic · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
1h
53
Jaren Hall
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023 Panini Origins · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
3h
54
Joe Mixon
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
5h
55
Jared Verse
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
1h
56
Jake Plummer
2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 8.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
3h
57
Peter Warrick
2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 9.0
$9
0.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.18
5h
58
Van Jefferson
2020 Panini Illusions · psa 10.0
$8
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$0.17
1h
59
Ron Dayne
2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0
$8
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
9m 12s
60
Will Anderson Jr.
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$8
0.30×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
4h
61
Chris Redman
2000 Collector's Edge Supreme · psa 9.0
$4
0.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.08
3h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$18.81
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