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Football

Legendary $2500 WARM

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-19.0%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-17.9%

2d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

14.2×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -22.9% to -17.9%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

0.56%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.080%

grail odds

Median pull

$1,893

0.76× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 76% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $2500 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Bo Nix · 2024 Panini One · PSA 10 pulled

43m 10s ago

$1,789

↑

Lawrence Taylor · 2025 Panini Absolute · PSA 10 added

43m 10s ago

$1,538

↓

Tom Brady · 2000 Collector's Edge Supreme · BECKETT 8 pulled

2h ago

$2,415

↓

Ashton Jeanty · 2025 Topps Finest · PSA 10 pulled

2h ago

$1,666

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Justin Herbert Grail Pop 1

2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$35,400

14.16×

—

0.0400%

$14.16

—

Rob Gronkowski Grail

2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 10.0

$29,000

11.60×

—

0.0400%

$11.60

—

Tom Brady Grail

2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$19,669

7.87×

—

0.0400%

$7.87

—

Josh Allen Chase

2018 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0

$5,784

2.31×

—

0.2200%

$12.73

21d

Joe Burrow Chase

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$5,579

2.23×

—

0.2200%

$12.27

Randy Moss Chase

2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$4,930

1.97×

—

0.2200%

$10.85

23h

Myles Garrett Chase No Market Comps Found

2025 Panini Absolute · psa 8.0

$4,930

1.97×

—

0.2200%

$10.85

Justin Jefferson Chase

2020 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0

$4,816

1.93×

—

0.2200%

$10.60

Brock Bowers Chase

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$4,727

1.89×

—

0.2200%

$10.40

15d

Tom Brady Chase No Market Comps Found

2018 Panini Certified · beckett 9.5

$3,856

1.54×

—

0.2200%

$8.48

14d

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$3,856

1.54×

—

1.9600%

$75.58

18h

Lamar Jackson Chase

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,778

1.51×

—

0.2200%

$8.31

—

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · beckett 9.5

$3,650

1.46×

—

1.9600%

$71.54

20h

Tom Brady

2014 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$3,516

1.41×

—

1.9600%

$68.92

Jaylen Waddle

2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$3,477

1.39×

—

1.9600%

$68.15

Joe Montana

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$3,090

1.24×

—

1.9600%

$60.56

22h

Joe Burrow

2020 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0

$3,073

1.23×

—

1.9600%

$60.23

Tom Brady

2009 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0

$2,930

1.17×

—

1.9600%

$57.43

21h

Marcus Allen

2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$2,748

1.10×

—

1.9600%

$53.86

Joe Burrow

2020 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$2,726

1.09×

—

1.9600%

$53.43

23h

Barry Sanders

1997 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0

$2,659

1.06×

—

1.9600%

$52.12

Patrick Mahomes II

2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0

$2,505

1.00×

—

1.9600%

$49.10

10h

Joe Namath

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$2,453

0.98×

—

1.9600%

$48.07

Bo Jackson

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$2,423

0.97×

—

1.9600%

$47.49

Josh Allen

2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5

$2,318

0.93×

—

1.9600%

$45.43

Patrick Mahomes II

2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$2,234

0.89×

—

1.9600%

$43.79

Patrick Mahomes II

2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$2,153

0.86×

—

1.9600%

$42.21

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$2,078

0.83×

—

1.9600%

$40.74

Tom Brady

2000 Pacific Paramount · psa 10.0

$2,058

0.82×

—

1.9600%

$40.34

Caleb Williams

2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$1,983

0.79×

—

1.9600%

$38.87

Caleb Williams

2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$1,983

0.79×

—

1.9600%

$38.87

Ja'Marr Chase/Joe Burrow

2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$1,963

0.79×

—

1.9600%

$38.47

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · psa 9.0

$1,954

0.78×

—

1.9600%

$38.30

Peyton Manning/Reggie Wayne

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$1,927

0.77×

—

1.9600%

$37.77

Tom Brady

2007 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$1,924

0.77×

—

1.9600%

$37.72

Tom Brady

2016 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$1,893

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$37.10

Joe Burrow

2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$1,891

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$37.06

20h

Tom Brady

2000 Pacific Vanguard · psa 8.0

$1,889

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$37.02

Tom Brady

2003 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0

$1,854

0.74×

—

1.9600%

$36.34

Peyton Manning

1998 SkyBox E-X2001 · psa 10.0

$1,810

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$35.48

17h

Bo Nix

2024 Panini One · psa 10.0

$1,789

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$35.06

17h

Ben Roethlisberger

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$1,726

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$33.83

Luther Burden III

2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0

$1,721

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$33.73

20h

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · psa 8.0

$1,677

0.67×

—

1.9600%

$32.86

18h

Patrick Mahomes II

2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$1,670

0.67×

—

1.9600%

$32.74

18h

Joe Namath

2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$1,667

0.67×

—

1.9600%

$32.67

Ashton Jeanty

2025 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$1,666

0.67×

—

1.9600%

$32.66

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · psa 8.0

$1,612

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$31.60

Tom Brady

2000 Fleer Metal · beckett 9.0

$1,500

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$29.40

Tom Brady

2000 Fleer Metal · beckett 9.0

$1,500

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$29.40

Patrick Mahomes II

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5

$1,399

0.56×

—

1.9600%

$27.42

Derrick Henry No Market Comps Found

2016 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

Peyton Manning No Market Comps Found

2025 Panini Black · psa 10.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

DK Metcalf 1 of 1

2019 Panini Immaculate Collection · beckett 9.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

18h

Tom Brady No Market Comps Found

2022 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

20h

George Kittle Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2025 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

10h

Michael Irvin No Market Comps Found

2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0

$1,000

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$19.60

Khalil Mack

2019 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$965

0.39×

—

1.9600%

$18.92

Tom Brady

2000 Upper Deck Black Diamond · beckett 8.5

$729

0.29×

—

1.9600%

$14.29

Tom Brady

2003 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$650

0.26×

—

1.9600%

$12.74

Tom Brady

2002 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.0

$63

0.03×

—

1.9600%

$1.23

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$2026.24

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