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Football

Bronze $25 WARM

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-28.2%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-11.6%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

42.8×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -33.7% to -11.6%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.11%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$15

0.60× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

16% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Drake Maye · 2024 Panini Select · PSA 9 pulled

3m 9s ago

$21

↓

Trevor Lawrence · 2021 Panini Rookies & Stars · PSA 9 pulled

3m 9s ago

$19

↓

Joe Theismann · 1983 Topps Stickers · PSA 9 pulled

3m 9s ago

$10

↓

Bryce Young · 2021-22 Bowman Next Basketball and Football · PSA 9 pulled

3m 9s ago

$10

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▲

Card · Set

Value ▲

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Larry Ned

2002 Upper Deck Graded · psa 9.0

0.14×

—

1.9600%

$0.07

Emmitt Smith

1991 Pro Set Platinum · psa 9.0

0.22×

—

1.9600%

$0.11

36m 2s

Ron Dayne

2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0

0.31×

—

1.9600%

$0.15

8m 12s

Van Jefferson

2020 Panini Illusions · psa 10.0

0.34×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

DK Metcalf Pop 1

2024 Panini Totally Certified · psa 8.0

0.34×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

Peter Warrick

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 9.0

0.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.18

Jake Plummer

2000 Collector's Edge EG · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Zac Taylor No Market Comps Found

2007 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Dak Prescott

2016 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Tim Couch No Market Comps Found

1999 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Alex Bannister No Market Comps Found

2001 Fleer Authority · beckett 8.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Reggie Bush

2006 Score · beckett 9.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Landry Jones

2013 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Cam Akers

2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Donnell Woolford No Market Comps Found

1989 Pro Set · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jaren Hall Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2023 Panini Origins · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Joe Mixon Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jared Verse No Market Comps Found

2024 Donruss · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Josiah Deguara Pop 1

2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$11

0.44×

—

1.9600%

$0.22

3m 9s

Michael Penix Jr.

2024 Donruss · psa 9.0

$12

0.46×

—

1.9600%

$0.23

Bubba Franks

2000 Collector's Edge T3 · psa 9.0

$12

0.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Tank Dell

2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$12

0.50×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Hugh Taylor

1953 Bowman · sgc 6.0

$12

0.50×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Ricky Pearsall

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$14

0.55×

—

1.9600%

$0.27

Jalen Hurts

2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Jayden Daniels

2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Jeremiah Castille

1986 Topps · psa 9.0

$16

0.63×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Justin Herbert

2020 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$16

0.63×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Kurt Warner

1999 Collector's Edge Odyssey · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Jayden Daniels

2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$17

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Puka Nacua

2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$18

0.70×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Joe Burrow

2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$18

0.70×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Marvin Harrison Jr.

2024 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

Shannon Sharpe

1991 Bowman · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

Travis Etienne Jr.

2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$18

0.72×

—

1.9600%

$0.35

James Conner Pop 1

2019 Panini Certified · psa 8.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

Justin Jefferson

2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$20

0.78×

—

1.9600%

$0.38

Justin Herbert

2020 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 9.0

$20

0.80×

—

1.9600%

$0.39

Jaxson Dart

2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$21

0.86×

—

1.9600%

$0.42

Rome Odunze

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Troy Aikman Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Alvin Kamara

2019 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Jalen Hurts

2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Michael Penix Jr.

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$26

1.04×

—

1.9600%

$0.51

Lamar Jackson

2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$28

1.12×

—

1.9600%

$0.55

Ladd McConkey Pop 1

2024 Panini Photogenic · psa 9.0

$28

1.12×

—

1.9600%

$0.55

Terry Bradshaw

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$28

1.12×

—

1.9600%

$0.55

Reggie Wayne

2012 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$29

1.16×

—

1.9600%

$0.57

Donovan Peoples-Jones Pop 1

2020 Panini Certified · psa 9.0

$31

1.24×

—

1.9600%

$0.61

8m 12s

Brock Purdy

2022 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$34

1.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.67

Marcus Allen Chase

1983 Topps · psa 9.0

$78

3.14×

—

0.2600%

$0.20

Patrick Mahomes II Chase

2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$78

3.14×

—

0.2600%

$0.20

Dak Prescott Chase

2016 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$92

3.66×

—

0.2600%

$0.24

Bryce Young Chase

2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$100

4.02×

—

0.2600%

$0.26

J.J. Watt Chase Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$100

4.02×

—

0.2600%

$0.26

Malik Nabers Chase

2025 Panini Luminance · psa 10.0

$102

4.06×

—

0.2600%

$0.26

Drake Maye Chase

2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$130

5.20×

—

0.2600%

$0.34

Nick Chubb Chase

2018 Panini National Treasures · beckett 9.0

$130

5.20×

—

0.2600%

$0.34

Bo Nix Grail

2024 Panini Origins · psa 10.0

$979

39.16×

—

0.0100%

$0.10

Justin Herbert Grail

2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0

$1,044

41.74×

—

0.0100%

$0.10

14d

Patrick Mahomes II Grail

2019 Panini Unparalleled · psa 9.0

$1,071

42.84×

—

0.0100%

$0.11

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$17.96

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