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Football Kickoff
Special Series $500
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 485 polls
Max pull
32.1×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 485 polls
Range: -24.6% to -6.1%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
4.08%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.080%
grail odds
Median pull
$356
0.71× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Immaculate Collection · psa 10.0
$16,070
32.14×
—
0.0400%
$6.43
—
2
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$8,287
16.57×
—
0.0400%
$3.31
—
3
Trevor Lawrence
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,617
3.23×
—
2.0000%
$32.34
—
4
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,100
2.20×
—
2.0000%
$22.00
—
5
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$691
1.38×
—
2.0000%
$13.81
—
6
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$691
1.38×
—
2.0000%
$13.81
—
7
Jonathan Taylor
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$690
1.38×
—
2.0000%
$13.80
—
8
Brock Bowers
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$682
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$13.64
—
9
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$592
1.18×
—
2.0000%
$11.84
—
10
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$553
1.11×
—
2.0000%
$11.06
—
11
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$509
1.02×
—
2.0000%
$10.18
—
12
Derrick Henry
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$503
1.01×
—
2.0000%
$10.05
—
13
Travis Kelce
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$498
1.00×
—
2.0000%
$9.97
—
14
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$496
0.99×
—
2.0000%
$9.92
—
15
Travis Hunter
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$492
0.98×
—
2.0000%
$9.84
—
16
Colston Loveland
2025 Panini Instant NFL Draft Night · psa 10.0
$453
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$9.06
—
17
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$450
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$9.00
—
18
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$439
0.88×
—
2.0000%
$8.79
—
19
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$430
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.60
—
20
Jordan Love
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$429
0.86×
—
2.0000%
$8.59
—
21
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$422
0.84×
—
2.0000%
$8.43
—
22
Lamar Jackson
2023 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$412
0.82×
—
2.0000%
$8.24
—
23
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$404
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$8.09
—
24
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini · psa 10.0
$394
0.79×
—
2.0000%
$7.89
—
25
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$370
0.74×
—
2.0000%
$7.40
—
26
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$359
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$7.18
—
27
Breece Hall
Pop 1
2022 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$356
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$7.12
—
28
Lamar Jackson
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$344
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$6.88
—
29
Patrick Mahomes II
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$344
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$6.88
—
30
Travis Kelce
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$330
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.60
—
31
Joe Burrow
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$329
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.58
—
32
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$329
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.58
—
33
De'Von Achane
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$329
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$6.58
—
34
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$296
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$5.93
—
35
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$286
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$5.72
—
36
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$280
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.61
—
37
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.58
—
38
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.57
—
39
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.57
—
40
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$279
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$5.57
—
41
Matthew Golden
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$267
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.33
—
42
Joe Burrow
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$263
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$5.26
—
43
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$248
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$4.96
—
44
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$246
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.91
—
45
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$243
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$4.87
—
46
Brian Thomas Jr.
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$235
0.47×
—
2.0000%
$4.70
—
47
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$228
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$4.56
—
48
DK Metcalf
2019 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$216
0.43×
—
2.0000%
$4.31
—
49
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$202
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.05
—
50
Joe Burrow
No Market Comps Found
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$200
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$4.00
—
51
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$127
0.25×
—
2.0000%
$2.54
—
52
Patrick Mahomes II
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$90
0.18×
—
2.0000%
$1.80
—
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$421.32
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